Capital Allocation( one risky, one risk- free) Flashcards
expected return
We simply assume that investors only care about expected returen and risk.
Future return is unknown, it can be seen as a random variable.
risk aversion
Investors who are risk averse are willing to give up in order not to face the risk. In finance we call it certainty equivalent: the guaranteed amout of money that an individual would view as equally desirable as a risky
asset
risk and uncertainty
Future is uncertain, and risk is different from uncertainty
Risk is a quantity susceptible of measurement, uncertainty is unmeasurable. In casino we face risk as probability is known and fixed. In real world probability is unknown and time- varying.
The presence of risk means that more than one outcome is possible.
utility
A way to assign score to competing portfolios on the basis of ER, Risk and Risk averison. The effect of risk depends on A. For a risk seeking investor (A<0) risk increases utility
feasible portfolio
All feasible portfolio lies on captial allocation line , which is a straight line that combines risk- free and risky portfolio. It is the investment opportunity set. The sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of risk. The highr the sharpe ratio, the steeper the CAL.
indifference curve of mean-variance investor and how to rank portfolio
In the 4 quadrant, portfolio above the curve is preferred .When A<0, 2nd Quadrant is all prefered. When A=0, both 1st and 2nd quadrant is preferred.
optimal portfolio
Indiffernce curve is tangent to the capital allocation line
problems when using past data
- The past does not always repete itself, especilly the one with high variance. 2. What time period do we choose to compute the mean. 3. How do you choose outliers.
problems when applying optimal fraction of risky assets(one risky, one risk- free)
- what is your utility function?
- what is your risk aversion
- what is your estimate of risk and return?
Risk aversion questions
- Risk- averse investors only accept risky investments that offer risk premiums over the risk- free rate.
- Risk- averse investors reject investments that are fair games.
- Risk- neutral investors look only at expected returns when making an investment decision.
- The more risk averse the investor, the less risk that is tolerated for a given rate of return.
- The level of return a investor prefers has not much to do with his risk tolerance.
slope of indifference of mean-sd graph
The risk-return trade-off is one in which greater risk is taken if greater return can be expected, resulting in a positive slope.
Indifference curve of a risk- averse investor
Indifference curves plot trade-off alternatives that provide equal utility to the individual (in this case, trade- offs are the risk- return characteristics of portfolios)
An investors indifference curves are parallel (thus they cannot intersect) and have positive slopes. The highest indifference curve (the one in the most northwestern position) offers the greatest utility. indifference curves of investors with similar risk- return trade- offs might intersect.
The riskiness of individual assets should be
considered in the context of the effect on overall portfolio volatility and should be combined with the riskiness of other individual assets in the proportions these assets constitute the entire portfolio.
The relevant risk is portfolio risk; the riskiness of an individual security should be considered in the context of the portfolio as a whole.
The certainty equivalent rate of a portfolio is
the rate that a risk- free investment would need to offer with certainty to be considered equally attractive as the risky portfolio.
The capital allocation line is
investment opportunity set formed with a risky asset and a risk- free asset with the intercept of a risk- free rate.
The CAL consists of combinations of a risky asset and a risk- free asset whose slope is the reward- to- volatility ratio
A reward- to- volatility ratio is useful in understanding how returns increase relative to risk increases