C.6 The Risk and Term Structure of Interest Rates Flashcards

1
Q

Risk structure of interest rates

A

The relationship among the interest rates on various bonds with the same term to maturity

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2
Q

Term structure of interest rates

A

The relationship among interest rates on bonds with different terms to maturity

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3
Q

Default occurs when

A

the issuer of the bond is unable or unwilling to make interest payments when promised or to pay off the FV when it matures

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4
Q

Risk premium

A

The spread between the interest rate on bonds with default risk and the interest rate on default-free bonds

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5
Q

A bond with default risk will always have a ______ risk premium, and an _____ in its default risk will ______ the risk premium

A

positive; increase; raise

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6
Q

Bonds with relatively low risk of default are called ______ and have a rating of ______ or higher

A

investment-grade securities; Baa (BBB)

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7
Q

Junk bonds

A

Bonds with ratings below Baa (or BBB) that have a high default risk

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8
Q

Fallen angels

A

Investment-grade securities whose rating has fallen to junk levels

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9
Q

Basis point

A

One one-hundredth of a percentage point

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10
Q

Which long-term bonds are the most liquid

A

Canada bonds

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11
Q

Lower liquidity of corporate bonds relative to Canada bonds ______ the spread between the interest rates on these two bonds

A

increases

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12
Q

Yield curve

A

A plot of the interest rates for particular types of bonds with different terms to maturity

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13
Q

Inverted yield curve

A

A yield curve that is downward-sloping

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14
Q

When yield curves slope _____, the long-term interest rates are ______ the short-term interest rates

A

above

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15
Q

Interest rates on bonds of different maturities _____ over time

A

move together

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16
Q

When short-term interest rates are low, yield curves are more likely to have an ______ slope

A

upward

17
Q

Yield curves almost always slope ______

A

upward

18
Q

The three theories to explain the term structure of interest rates

A
  1. Expectations theory
  2. The segmented markets theory
  3. The liquidity premium theory
19
Q

Which theory can explain all three empirical facts on the term stricture of interest rates

A

Liquidity premium theory

20
Q

Expectations theory

A

The proposition that the interest rate on a long-term bond will equal the average of the short-term interest rates that people expect to occur over the life of the long-term bond

21
Q

Perfect substitutes

A

Bonds with different maturities must have equal expected returns

22
Q

Segmented markets theory

A

A theory of term structure that sees markets for different-maturity bonds as completely separated and segmented such that the interest rate for bonds of a given maturity is solely determined by supply of and demand for bonds of that maturity

23
Q

Key assumption of segmented markets theory

A

Bonds of different maturities are not substitutes at all, so they have no effect on each other

24
Q

Key assumption of expectation theory

A

Buyers of bonds do not prefer bonds of one maturity over another, so they will not hold any quantity of a bond if its expected return is less than that of another bond with a different maturity

25
Q

What is the argument for the assumption in segmented markets theory

A

Investors have very strong preferences for bonds of one maturity but not for another, so they’ll only be concerned with the expected returns of the maturity they prefer

26
Q

What can the segmented market theory explain

A

That the yield curve generally slopes upwards

27
Q

Liquidity premium theory

A

The theory that the interest rate on a long-term bond will equal an average of short-term interest rates expected to occur over the life of the long-term bond plus a positive term (liquidity) premium

28
Q

Liquidity premium’s key assumption

A

Bonds of different maturities are substitutes, which means expected return on one bonds will affect the expected return on another bond with a different maturity. It also allows investors to prefer a maturity over another

29
Q

Investors tend to prefer _____-term bonds because

A

shorter-term bonds because they have lower interest-rate risk

30
Q

What does the liquidity premium theory add to the expectations theory and why

A

A positive liquidity premium to induce investors to hold longer-term bonds since they prefer shorter-term ones

31
Q

Two facts about the liquidity term premium

A

Always positive and rises with the term to maturity of the bond, n

32
Q

Preferred habitat theory

A

A theory that is closely related to liquidity premium theory, in which interest rate on a long-term bond equals an average of short-term interest rates expected to occur over the life of the long-term bond plus a positive term premium. i.e. if the longer-term bond has a higher expected return then they’ll go against their preference for short-term bonds