C11 Valuation methods Flashcards
What is economic value?
Measure of the benefit provided by a good or service to an economic agent
max. amount of money a specific actor is willing and able to pay for the good ≠ market price (exchange value)
5 different valuation methodologies
(1) Public Market Comparable Analysis: Relative to Peers
(2) Acquisition Market Comparable Analysis: relative to precedent transactions
(3) Discounted Cash Flow Analysis: fundamental/intrinsic value
(4) Merger Consequences Analysis: affordability analysis
(5) Leveraged Buyout Analysis: who is the financial sponsor or private equity firm which can pay for the amount being asked?
Purposes for conducting a valuation
(1) IPOs and SEOs: Public Market Comparables
(2) Debt offerings: credit, high yield and bank debt comparables
(3) M&A:
- buy&sell side advice
- divestures, restructuring, recapitalizations & LBOs(leveraged buy-outs)
- defense analysis: is the underlying company vulnerable to a hostile takeover
- fairness opinions: is the price „fair” from a legal standpoint
(4) Research - Equity Analysts
Three types of CFs
(1) Free Cash Flow (FCF) -> Enterprise Value
(2) Capital Cash Flow -> Enterprise Value
(3) Equity Cash Flow (ECF) -> Equity Value
formula FCF (=unlevered CF)
FCFt = (1-t) x EBITt + Depreciationt - CAPXt - △NWCt
FCFt = NetIncomet + (1-t) x Intt + Dept - CAPXt - △NWCt
with CAPXt ≈ PPEt - PPEt-1 + Depreciation
with △NWCt = △Inventory + △AccPayable - △AccReceivable
formula FCF if depreciation tax shield is given
depreciation tax shield = t x Depreciation
FCF = (Revenues - Costs) x (1-t) - CAPX - △NWC + t x Depreciation
Which discount rate r to use for FCFs?
(1) when all-equity financed: r = rE (exp. return on equity = cost equity)
(2) when all-debt financed: r = rD(1-t) (rD=exp. return on debt holders = cost of capital for debt)
(3) when partly equity- and debt-financed: r = after-tax WACC
formula after-tax WACC
WACC = (E/V) x rE + (D/V) x rD x (1-t)
with E,D,V: market values (!)
with D: net debt = debt - cash
Capital Cash Flow (CCF)
CCFt = FCFt + t x Interest Expenset
CCFt = EBITt - t x EBTt + Dept - CAPXt - △NWCt
CCFt = NetIncomet + Interestt + Dept - CAPXt - △NWCt
Equity Cash Flow (ECF)
ECFt = Capital Cash Flowt - Debt Cash Flowt
ECF = NI + Dep - CAPX - △NWC - [Debt Payments - Debt Issues]
disount rate: rE
Estimating cost of capital for publicly traded firms
via CAPM:
E[R] = rf + ß x ( E[RMkt] - rf )
Estimating ßA for private firms and projects with different asset risk (without taxes)
(1) Find identical or „twin” company(ies)
(2) Find their ßE
(3) Get their ßA by unlevering ßE: ßA = (D/V)ßD + (E/V)ßE
(4) Take an average of the ßA’s
Relever ßA (without taxes)
Using the project’s target capital structure:
ßE = ßA + (D/E) x (ßA-ßD)
Relationship D/V and D/E
D/V = (D/E) / (1+D/E) D/E = (D/V) / (1-D/V)