Business Statistics Flashcards
Events
Are just collections of outcomes
Null event
Event with no outcome
Random variable
A number we are not sure about, but have some idea of how to describe its possible values
P(A)
Probability that event A occurs
Four rules of probability
- If an event A is certain to occur, it has probability 1, denoted P(A) = 1
- P(A does not occur) = 1 - P(A)
- If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
- P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B)
Mutually exclusive events
Have no outcomes in common. They both cannot occur
P(A|B)
Conditional probability of A given B
Two events are independent if
P(A|B) = P(A)
If A and B are independent, P(A and B) =
P(A)P(B)
Something is a discrete random variable if
We are able to list all of the possible outcomes
Binary/Bernoulli random variables
Simplest possible random variable takes on one of two values (0 and 1)
Joint probability
P(A and B): I don’t know if either event has occurred
Conditional probability
P(A|B): I know for sure that B has occurred or will occur
Marginal probability
P(A) and P(B)
Joint probability table
Describes all possible joint probabilities between the two random variables. Summing each row or column gives the corresponding marginal probability