Business Esssentials Flashcards
Mean
The mean (average) of a data set is found by adding all numbers in the data set and then dividing by the number of values in the set.
Mode
The mode is the number that occurs most often in a data set.
Median
The median is the middle value when a data set is ordered from least to greatest.
Standard Deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values.[1] A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean (also called the expected value) of the set, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range.
Standard deviation may be abbreviated SD, and is most commonly represented in mathematical texts and equations by the lower case Greek letter σ (sigma), for the population standard deviation, or the Latin letter s, for the sample standard deviation.
Correlation Coefficient
The correlation coefficient describes how one variable moves in relation to another. A positive correlation indicates that the two move in the same direction, with a value of 1 denoting a perfect positive correlation. A value of -1 shows a perfect negative, or inverse, correlation, while zero means no linear correlation exists.
Descriptive Decision Making Methods
Pros and Cons
Rate and Weight
Flipping coins
Want a tight couple between the quality of the decision and the quality of outcome.
Normative Decision Making Method
Decision analysis
Provide objective framework for for evaluating quantitative measure.
Decouple decision quality from outcome
Not to be used for everything — there is a cost
Mitigation against cognitive biases
Stochastics
Uncertain / Random
What Are Stochastics? In technical analysis, stochastics refers to a group of oscillator indicators that point to buying or selling opportunities based on momentum. In statistics, the word stochastic refers to something that is subject to a probability distribution, such as a random variable.
Decision Analysis Fundamentals
Clarity (required)
Observability (desired)
Usefulness (required)
Clarity is the most important
Aleatory
Epistemic
Frequentists vs Bayesian
Frequentists is East Coast — US Bureau of Statsthey have tons of data. Bayesian is more West Coast it’s messy.
Cumulative Distribution structure —
s-curve with total area maxed out
Binomial Probability Distribution
provides combinations of binary outcomes —ways in which things can possibly occur and sum it all up.