Book: Financial Markets And Expectations Flashcards

1
Q

What determines bond and stock prices

A

Expectations

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2
Q

What is expected present discounted value

A

Aka expected present value discounting the time value of money

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3
Q

What id the discount favtor

A

The present value of a future dara
1/(1+k)

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4
Q

What is another word for interest rate when talking about time value of money

A

Discount rate

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5
Q

Can you calculate present value in real terms

A

Yes, definitely, absolutely, simply change k to r from i

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6
Q

What is the term structure of interest rates

A

The yield if bonds in relation to their maturity

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7
Q

What does an upward sloping yield curve indicate

A

That long term interest rates are much higher than short term

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8
Q

What are bonds that pay a single sum at maturity called

A

Discount bonds and the payment is called the face value

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9
Q

What are bonds that pay both up to and at maturity called

A

Coupon bonds and the payment coupon payment except the final that is called face value. The ratio of coupon payments to face value is called coupon rate and the current yield is the ratio of coupon payment to the bond price

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10
Q

What are indexed bonds

A

Bonds that account for inflation

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11
Q

What is the expectations hypothesis

A

The assumption that investors only care about return and not risk

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12
Q

What is arbitrage between two bonds

A

That their present values are the same at the same time. A two year bind will be worth a one year bind in one year

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13
Q

How are bond yields aproxjmately calculated

A

I(n*t) ~ avg. interest and risk premium

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14
Q

What can you assume about expectations if the yield curve is sloping downward

A

That people think that the interest rate will be lower in the future

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15
Q

Why is the yield curve normally sloping upward

A

Because longer term bonds have a higher risk premium

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16
Q

What id the ex dividend price of a stock

A

The price if a stock after dividend has been payed

17
Q

What is equity premium

A

The risk premium of providing a firm with equity

18
Q

How does higher expected future dividends affect the stock price

A

It increases it

19
Q

What lowers a stock price

A

Higher risk premium and expected real interest rates

20
Q

How may the stock market react to a monetary expandiont

A

It may go up because of the lower interest rate, stay neutral if it is according to expectations or go down if it is seen as a sign of weakness in the economy. It depends on the central banks motives and expectations

21
Q

How does the stock market react to increased consumption

A

It depends if the fed increases interest rates or not. If they do it decreases if they don’t it increases

22
Q

What are rational speculative bubbles

A

When people expect that others expect prices to rise

23
Q

What are fads in the stock market

A

When people look back at past returns and expect similar results in the future. Often heading to excessive optimism

24
Q

What is the fundamental value of a stock

A

The present value of a stocks expected real dividends discounted using the interest rate plus equity premium. In the absence of bubbles or fads this would be the price of the stock