BIWS Steps in Merger Modeling Flashcards
Step 1
Determine the Purchase Price: • DCF • Public Comps • Precedent Transactions
Step 2
Determine the Purchase Method, using one or a combo of the following: • Cash • Debt • Stock
Upside/Downside of Using Cash in M&A
Upside: • If buyer’s company is undervalued, they would be given their stocks away on the cheap in merger, so cash is the optimal alternative • Interest rate on cash is lower than interest rate on debt Downside: • Forego interest on cash, but usually di minis (less than 0.5%)
Upside/Downside of Using Stock in M&A
Upside: • Necessary if you’re cash-strapped Downside: • It can have dilutive effect
Step 3
Select the Financial Profiles and Statements of the Buyer and Seller - Bucket items on I/S - Shares outstanding and EPS - Debt (for “Has” and “Gets” model)
Step 4
Combine Buyer and Sellers’ Income Statements • Break out synergies (think Wolkoff’s approach to modeling hotel/casino DCF’s)
Step 5
Calculate and Goodwill and Estimate a Purchase Price Allocation
What happens when a buyer acquires a seller to the Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ Equity is wiped out and goes to 0, as it no longer exists as an independent entity
What happens to the balance sheet when the following occurs?
- The buyer has $10,000 in Assets, $8,000 in Liabilities, and $2,000 in Shareholders’ Equity.
- The seller has $1,000 in Assets, $800 in Liabilities, and $200 in Shareholders’ Equity.
- The buyer pays $500 for the seller, using 100% cash.
- Assets increase by $800 ($300 is goodwill)
- Equity is wiped out to $0
Step 6
Combine the Balance Sheets and Adjust for Acquisition Effects, namely:
• Current Assets: You add most of these items, and
subtract any Cash the buyer uses to acquire the
seller.
• Long-Term Assets: You adjust the PP&E value up
or down, and also adjust the values of Goodwill
and Other Intangible Assets depending on the
previous step.
• Current Liabilities: You add everything here,
perhaps adding or subtracting Debt if the
buyer uses Debt to acquire the seller or pays
off the seller’s Debt.
- Long-Term Liabilities: You add most items here, but you add or subtract Debt if the buyer uses Debt to acquire the seller or pays off the seller’s Debt; you may also adjust the Deferred Tax Liability.
- Shareholders’ Equity: You wipe out the seller’s Shareholders’ Equity, but add the dollar value of new shares issued by the buyer
Step 7
Adjust the Combined Income Statement for Acquisition Effects, namely:
• Synergies: If you’ve assumed revenue or expense synergies, you need to reflect them here.
• Depreciation & Amortization: If you’ve assumed changes to PP&E or you’ve created Other Intangible Assets, you need to reflect the new D&A expense
on the combined Income Statement.
- Foregone Interest on Cash: If the buyer uses cash to acquire the seller, this equals Cash Used * Interest Rate.
- Interest Paid on New Debt: If the buyer uses debt to acquire the seller, this equals Debt Used * Interest Rate.
• Shares Outstanding: If the buyer issues shares to raise the funds to acquire the seller, the new number here equals Old Buyer Shares Outstanding + Number of Shares Issued in Deal.
Step 8
Calculate Accretion / Dilution and Create Sensitivty Tables: