Biostats Flashcards
Number Needed to Harm
NNH = 1/AR
AR (Attributable Risk) = risk of an outcome attributable to an exposure
AR = incidence in exposed group - incidence in unexposed group
Sensitive or Specific
- Which make good screening tests?
- Which make good confirmatory tests?
High sensitivity = good for screening in a disease with low prevalence
High specificity = good for confirmation after a positive screening test
Definition: Negative Predictive Value
NPV = probability of being disease free if test result is negative
- NPV varies with pretest probability and disease prevalence:
- patient with high probability of having disease will have a low NPV with a negative test
- patient with low probability of having disease will have a high NPV with a negative test
Define reliability in terms of a test
Reliability = reproducibility (similar or very close results on repeat measurements)
NOT the same as validity = accuracy
Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR)
ARR = event rate in control group - event rate in treatment group
Define Latent Period
- The initial steps of pathogenesis and/or exposure to a risk factor sometimes occur years before clinical manifestation of disease are evident
- Exposure to risk modifiers may need to be continuous over a certain period of time before influencing the outcome
Specificity (DFN)
The ability of a test to exclude those without the disease
Good for confirmatory tests
What does lowering the cut off point of a test accomplish?
Lower cutoff point:
- increased sensitivity
- increased true positives
- increased false positives (more than TP)
- decreased PPV
- decreased FN
Sensitivity (DFN)
The ability to correctly identify those with the disease
Good for screening tests
Power (Formula + DFN)
Power = 1 - Beta; the probability of seeing a difference when there is one
Beta = Type II error; the probability of concluding there is no difference between two groups when one exists
Define Effect Modification
the main exposure has a different impact on the outcome in different circumstances (ie in the presence of a different variable)
UW 1279 [7812851]
In positive skew….
There is an outlier making the positive tail long
Mean > Median > Mode