Big and Research Questions Flashcards
Belief Bias
The strength of an argument altered by how believable the conclusion is, e.g.:
All professors are mortal
All sadists are mortal
Therefore, all professors are sadists
Confirmation Bias
Tendency to search for/remember information that confirms your preconceptions
Experimental Bias
Tendency for experimenters to believe, certify, and publish data that agree with their expectations for the outcome of an experiment, and to disbelieve, discard, or downgrade the corresponding weightings for data that appear to conflict
Conjunction Fallacy
When it is assumed that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one.
Availability Heuristic
Tendency to overestimate the probability of events that are more available in memory (e.g., recent, unusual, emotionally charged)
◦ Accidents
◦ Lottery winning
Gambler’s fallacy
The mistaken belief that, if something happens more frequently than normal during some period, it will happen less frequently in the future, or that, if something happens less frequently than normal during some period it will happen more
Introspection Illusion
A cognitive bias in which people wrongly think they have direct insight into the origins of their mental states, while treating others’ introspections as unreliable.
Data driven research
Reasoning from the data to the general theory
Theory driven research
Reasoning from general theory to the data
Good theory criteria:
- Comprehensiveness
- Precision and testability
- Parsimony
- Heuristic value
Comprehensiveness
Broad enough to account for as much data as possible
•If there are data relevant to a theory that it cannot account for:
• Either adapt the theory to account for the new data
• Develop a new theory that incorporates the new data
•Example: Can the auditory theory account for perceptual phenomena, such as categorical perception, phonemic restoration?
Precision and Testability
A good theory should have concepts that are clearly and explicitly defined:
• Contains rational, logically related statements
• Empirically testable hypotheses
•Some ESP believers argue that the presence of a disbeliever can prevent someone with ESP from being able to perform.
•We aim to disprove theories (not prove them)
Omnipotent theory
So powerful, general, or flexible that they can account for everything
• Not testable/falsifiable
Parismony
Occam’s razor: The explanation of any phenomena should make as few assumptions as possible.
àAll things being equal, the simplest explanation tends to be the best
Heuristic Value
Makes (basic or applied) predictions, generates new knowledge, stimulates future research
Empirical research
Gather new information through observation/measurements