Behavioural Economics Flashcards
Prospect theory
Prospect theory highlights an inconsistency with expected utility theory as humans have different risk attitudes for positive and negative prospects
Main difference between the utility function and the value function ?
Normal expected utility theory implies decisions should be made with respect to final wealth, whereas prospect theory suggests value is defined over gains and losses
Describe the prospect theory value function (can’t do images on brainscape)
- The value function is twice as steep for losses as for gains
- For losses people become risk seeking but for gains people are risk averse
What is the prospect theory probability weighting function ?
Plots probability against decision weight, and shows for probabilities near 0 and near 1 humans struggle to view as linear
Core Heuristics (rules of thumb)
- Availability
- Representativeness
- Anchoring
- Overconfidence
Availability (core heuristic)
If something is more available we see it as more likely, such as recent terror attacks making people think they’re more likely to happen again
Repressentativeness
Adding extra details makes an outcome less likely, however if it makes sense within the context than people we see that outcome as more probable. For example, a random women being a pregnant english teacher seems more likely then them just being an english teacher but this is wrong
Anchoring
Context can shape decisions to push you towards them