Behaviour Of Markets Flashcards
Anti-selection
People are more likely to take out contracts when they believe their risk is higher than the insurance company has allowed for in its premiums
Moral hazard
Risk that an insured may attempt to take an unfair advantage of the insurer, for example by suppressing information relevant to the assessment of risk or by submitting a false claim
the four theories of yield curve
Market segmentation theory:
the shape of the yield curve will reflect the relative impact of supply and demand at various durations along the curve
liquidity preference:
an upward sloping yield reflects investor’s preference for less volatile shorter dated bonds
expecation theory:
shape of real yield curve is determined by economic factors which drive invetor’s expectations of short-term real interest rates in the future
risk premium theory:
investors require an additional yield on additional yield on longer term conventional bonds to compensate for the risk of inflation being higher than anticipated
why might a yield curve be downwards sloping
may believe that short term rates are expected to decrease going forward
investor demand for long bonds may be higher
government may prefer issuing short term bonds - increasing supply at the shorter end of the yield curve relateive to the longer end
the market segmentation theory is more compensating than liquidity preference