Behavioral finance Flashcards

1
Q

Traditional finance

A

Investors are rational, markets are efficient, returns are determined by risk mean variance; portfolio governs

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2
Q

Behavioral finance

A

Investors are “normal”, markets aren’t efficient, behavioral portfolio theory governs. Risk alone, doesn’t determine returns

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3
Q

Hueristic

A

Approach to problem solving that employs a practical method “rule of thumb”. Easier to make decisions

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4
Q

Affect Heuristic

A

occurs when our current emotional state or mood influences our decisions. Instead of evaluating the situation objectively, we rely on our “gut feelings” and respond according to how we feel. As a result, the affect heuristic can lead to suboptimal decision-making

You might invest in a company because you like the company’s values or mission, even if the stock performance isn’t strong

Think Ceirra B

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5
Q

Affinity Bias

A

Investing in things you love, rather than what’s optimal

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6
Q

Anchoring

A

Holding an investment too long. Anchored to one piece of data rather than looking at the full picture

Fixating on reference points, usually the first piece of info

if an investor reads a positive analyst report about a company’s future prospects, they may anchor their perception of the stock’s potential to that report, ignoring subsequent negative news or changes in market conditions

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7
Q

Availability Heuristic

A

We rely on immediate examples that are available in our mind while making judgements

When trying to decide which store to visit, you choose the one you most recently saw an ad for

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8
Q

Bounded rationality

A

Decision making is bound by limited information. They make the easy choice, not the optimal choice.

when choosing what to wear in the morning, we only consider some outfits we can select

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9
Q

Confirmation Bias

A

We tend to find and remember information that confirms our perceptions

if markets are falling and you form an opinion that it will fall further, you will look for information that reaffirms your belief that the market will fall

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10
Q

Conservatism Bias

A

The tendency to prefer existing evidence over new evidence that might change your view on something, which is caused by resistance to change your opinion about something

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11
Q

Cognitive Dissonance

A

Conflicting believes

Discomfort from having two conflicting beliefs.

“I want to be more aggressive” market correction “i’m so stressed out about the market going down”

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12
Q

Disposition Effect

A

Sell winners quickly, hold losers, comparing price to the purchase price, not market value.

An investor sells a stock that’s increased in value, but holds onto a stock that’s decreased in value

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13
Q

Endowment Effect

A

You value things that you own more than if you have no connection to it.

An investor who inherits stock from a relative might be reluctant to sell it, even if it’s not a good fit for their portfolio or investment goals, simply because they feel attached to it.

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14
Q

Familiarity Bias

A

Bias to overestimate risk of an investment that they are familiar with, and underestimate things they are unfamiliar with

we may only invest in companies with brands that we recognize

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15
Q

Flat Rate Bias

A

Rather pay flat rate, even when a per-use amount might be more optimal

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16
Q

Framing Bias

A

How things are presented determine how we respond

Meat says “80% lean, 20% fat” instead of “20% fat, 80% lean”

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17
Q

Gambler’s Fallacy

A

Must be due for a win

Mistaken belief that if an independent event happens more frequently, it should start occurring less frequently

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18
Q

Herding

A

Do what everyone else is

Follow what everyone else is doing due to fear of missing out

bandwagon effect

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19
Q

Hindsight Bias

A

Looking back, after the fact is known, and assuming they can predict the future

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20
Q

House Money Effect

A

Take more risk: a lot more risk. Disassociate with it emotionally

more willing to spend and take risks with money we’ve obtained easily or unexpectedly

21
Q

Snakebite Effect

A

Take less risk: makes you timid. Avoiding participating to avoid the pain

become scared to consider the risky securities for investment after a big loss, which is none other than the feeling of “snakebite” effect

22
Q

Breakeven-itis

A

Take more risk to get back to baseline

23
Q

Illusion of control

A

People overestimate their ability to control events

Investors may believe they can predict stock market movements or pick winning investments

24
Q

Law of small numbers bias

A

Generalizations about group based on behaviors of a few

An investor might see a stock perform well for a short period (a small sample) and incorrectly conclude that it’s a long-term winner, ignoring potential market volatility or other factors.

25
Mental accounting
Treating money differently Valuing money differently based on source or intended use
26
Money Illusion
Thinking value today is the same as the value tomorrow A bond with a 5% yield might seem attractive, but if inflation is 6%, the real return is negative, meaning the investor's purchasing power is actually decreasing.
27
Overconfidence bias
over estimating your capabilities resulting in poor decisions Hindsight bias and cognitive dissonance are each a type of overconfidence
28
Overreaction
Disproportionate Response Tendency to over-respond leading to over optimism or over pessimism
29
Outcome bias
Good outcome = good decision Tendency to judge how good a decision was based on its outcome
30
Persuasion bias
The more frequent we hear something, the more we believe it
31
Prospect theory
Riskier when losing People are risk-averse for gains (gotta lock in those gains) but risk-seeking for losses (gotta double down)
32
Loss aversion
Losing hurts twice as much as gains of the same magnitude Investing in low-return, guaranteed investments over more promising investments that carry higher risk. Not selling a stock that you hold when your current rational analysis of the stock clearly indicates that it should be abandoned as an investment Falls under prospect theory
33
Recency bias
Giving too much weight to recent observations/stimuli (short term past performance)
34
Regret Avoidance
(also known as the disposition effect) leads investors to take action or to refuse to act in hopes of minimizing any regret over their actions or inactions. In investments, it leads people to sell winners too soon and to hold on to losers too long
35
Salience Bias
Focusing on the information that's most stimulating and vivid an investor might focus on a stock's recent surge in price, ignoring underlying fundamentals, or become overly pessimistic after a high-profile negative event Think Gamestop stock
36
Self Attribution Bias
"Selective credit taking" Credit success to yourself and failure to external circumstances
37
Similarity Heuristic
You draw a conclusion based on a similar experience, though they're not related
38
Status quo bias
Easier to stick with what you know than test the unknown or change your current course of action
39
Sunk cost fallacy
Irrational propensity to continue making additional investments after incurring initial losses
40
Naive Diversification
Investing in every option available. think 401k target date fund example
41
Representativeness
Thinking a good company is a good investment without looking at analysis
42
Belief perseverance
is evident when people are unlikely to change their views given new information refusing to sell a stock despite negative performance, or ignoring expert advice that contradicts their investment strategy.
43
Dunning-Kruger Effect *
The less you know, the more confident you are. The more you know, the less confident you are. Francis confidently assures the group that there’s no kelp in ice cream. They do not work in the dairy industry.
44
Analysis Paralysis
"data overwhelm" Inability to make a decision due to overthinking a problem
45
Fear of regret
"What if i'm wrong?" Inability to make a decision due to fear of making wrong decisions
46
Attachment Bias
Emotions blurring judgement Connections to people, places, or things interferes with decisions refuse to sell an underperforming stock because of sentimental attachment, even when it's in their best interest
47
Financial Emeshment
Parent-child finances Boundaries between parent and (adult) child finances become blurred
48
Financial Infidelity
Partner Financial deception Deliberating hiding or lying about finances to partner/spouse