Behavioral Finance Flashcards
Over-weighting the recent past
Investor’s like patterns. The recent past represents a nice easy way to find a pattern that can become the basis for an investment decision. An assumption the recent past will repeat in the future.
Self-Affirmation Bias
The belief that when something goes right it’s because you were smart and made the right decision. If it does not work out it’s someone else’s fault or bad luck.
Spotting trends that are not there
Investors seek patterns that help support decisions sometimes without adequate confirming research
Status quo bias
The tendency of investors to do nothing when action is actually called for
Over-reaction
Investors emotionally react towards New Market information
Outcome bias
The tendency to make a decision based on the desired outcome rather than on the probability of that outcome
Overconfidence
The tendency to place too much emphasis on one’s own abilities.
It often works hand-in-hand with confirmation bias
Mental accounting
Looking at sums of money differently, depending on their source or their intended use.
Prospect theory
The different ways people evaluate losses and gains. Researchers Kahnerman & Tversky found that losses have a much greater negative impact than a gain will have positive.
Status quo bias
The tendency of investors to do nothing when action is actually called for.
Loss aversion and risk-taking
Investors are risk-averse when it comes to gains. They do not want to give them up, they are risk seekers when it comes to losses. They will take big risks to avoid realizing them. People often opt for the sure gain. As a result investors are biased towards in action and seriously underweight the cost of missed opportunities. Opportunity cost.
Analysis paralysis
When the fear of either making an error outweighs the potential value of success in a decision made in a timely manner. The imbalance results in a suppressed decision making in an unconscious effort to preserve existing options the options can overwhelm the situation and cause paralysis rendering one unable to come to a conclusion.
Inappropriate extrapolation
The tendency to look at recent events or (market performance) and presume that those events or conditions will continue indefinitely
Hindsight bias
The 20/20 vision we have when looking at the past and thinking we understand it when in reality we may not.
Herd Behavior
The tendency for individuals to mimic the actions of a larger group could also be described as fear of missing out. FOMO