BEC review Flashcards
Strategic Planning
setting long-term overall goals and policies. Guides the org’s long-term ops.
Tactitcal planning
focuses on ST objectives and termporary techniques
First step in strategic planning
Creating a mission statement
Mission statement
identifying and org’s purpose and values
Second step in strategic planning
identify goals and objectives that flesh out the org’s mission
Performance measures
measures how well the org is meeting their goals and objectives
Tactics
specific actions to be used to meet goals
Master budget
a static budget (does not adjust for different levels of output) for the company as a whole
2 budgets the master budget summarizes
operating, financial
Operating budget
a projected income statement with its various supporting schedules
Financial budget
projected capital budget, cash budget, B/S, and statement of CFs
Static budgets
analyzes conditions for 1 level of activity. does not each time some volume changes (e.g., sales). These are usually set up for long periods and made for a whole company or each division within a comp
Kaizen budgeting
make cost projections that incorporate expectations for future improvements. If improvements don’t happen, then the budget is not met. Focuses on continous small improvements rather that huge structural changes
Steps in making a master budget
1) Estimate future sales volume 2) Use sales volume to est. revenues 3) Use collection histories to est. collections 4) Est. the cost of sales based on the number of units sold 5) Use current FG inv., budgeted ending inv., and COGS to est. the number of units to be manufactured 6) Use units to be manufactured to est the org’s material needs, labor costs, and overhead costs 7) Use material needs, current RM inv., and budgeted ending inv. to budget future purchases 8) Use purchases to est payments 9) Analyze expense and payment patterns to complete operating and cash flow budgets
Budgets must be prepared in what order?
Sales, production, direct/RM purchases, cash disbursements
How do you determine something like budgeted RM purchases?
Work backwards from budgeted unit sales (sales budget is 1st step in budgeting)
Flexible budgets
Can be adjusted for changes in volumes. This budget is prepared according to how costs behave (variable v. fixed). Thus flexible budgets use variable costing/direct costing
What is the flexible budget equation?
Y = a + Bx……“a” is the intercept or FC……“B” is slope or VC…..”x” is the cost driver….”Y” is TC
What is the slope?
Shows the effect on Y for a change in X. So it shows the effect a change in the cost driver has on the change in Y
What is the advantage to flexible budgeting?
Can be easily adapted to changes in variable costs that result from changes in sales levels. Will show how TC changes when sales levels change.
Correlation analysis
Calculates the correlation coefficient between an independent and a dependent variable.
Range of correlation coefficient
-1 to 1.
What does -1 show?
perfect negative correlation
What does +1 show?
perfect positive correlation
What does 0 show?
neglible relationship
Regression analysis
Shows the relationship btwn a dependent variable and several independent variables (multiple/multivariate regression). Or a dependent variable and only one independent variable (univariate/simple regression)
What does regression analysis do?
Tests what independent variables are the best predictor of the dependent variable
Coefficient of determination
R squared. Percentage of variation in the dependent variable explained by the percentage of variation in the independent variable. Btwn 0 and 1.
F-statistic
measure of the statistical significance of a regression model (model specification)
Model specification
Applying many different combos of independent variables to a dependent variable to see which combo fits best.
p-value
Attached to F-statistic. Probability that the overall predicted relationship (R squared) occurred by chance. P-value is for the overall fit of the model specification.
t-statistics
Attached to p-value. Shows each independents variable’s statistical significance in predicting the dependent variable. So t-statistic is for 1 indep. var. in the model specification.
What is a range of p-values that is very reliable?
.01 - .05. (i.e., there’s only a 1% to 5% chance that the overall predicted relationship of the model occurred by chance.
Responsibility accounting
Helps companies to evaluate manager’s or division’s performance by assigning them to centers of responsibility. This helps to reduce costs/increase efficiency in manufacturing.
Cost center
Manager here is responsible only for the costs incurred in the center
Profit center
responsible for both the revenues and costs of a center
Investment center
Responsible for the revenues, costs, and capital investments of a center
What’s the general rule for responsibility accounting?
Manager’s should not be held responsible for the costs/revenues/investments that they can’t affect
What is the benefit of using ABC for regression?
Yields a greater number of potential cost drivers (b/c costs are seperated into different activities…MOH is not just a single allocation to all products based on a single cost driver). Generally, the more potential cost drivers, the better the regression model.
Value adding costs
Those that actually make the product better. Improvements that the customer will value.
Non-value adding costs
Those that increase the cost of a product but that customers don’t specifically value. (depreciation, storing, handling)
Does ABC seperate costs into value adding and non-value adding?
YES
Service departments
incur OH providing support to the production/manufacturing departments. Under ABC, firms allocate the service department OH to appropriate production departments
2 methods to allocate service department OH costs
Direct: Allocates costs from each service department directly to production departments. Step allocation: firm allocates costs from a service department both to production departments and temporarily to the other service departments
Step-Allocation (service department costs –> production departments)
1) Rank service departments by amount of services performed to the other service departments 2) Costs of 1st service dep. are allocated to remaining service deps. and production deps. Once all of the 1st service dep. costs are allocated, that dep. is removed from process. 3) Costs of next service dep. are allocated to the remaining service and production deps. Process is repeated until the costs of the last service dep have been allocated to production deps.
Econometric models
Regression analyses that incorporate company data AND industry/economy-wide measures to estimate future sales and costs
Time series analysis/models
Subset of regression that forecasts data for a SINGLE firm over time (sales/costs)
Delphi method
The use of experts in different areas when there’s little historical info to use to predict future conditions. Expert opinions are examined and sent back as a whole to each expert until a consensus.
What does the Delphi method avoid when properly used?
Experts simply agreeing with each other if they meet to discuss their opinions. Avoids GROUPTHINK.
Probability distribution
gives the likelihood of possible outcomes occurring from a single action
How do you get the expected value of a probability distribution?
Multiply each of the possible outcomes by its chance of happening and sum the amounts
Gordon Growth Model
Total Return = Distribution Rate + Growth Rate
What does the gordon growth model assume?
Reinvested assets will increase distributions by the amount of reinvestment. Ex. Investment with 3% dividend and 7% growth rate: The dividends will grow 7% each year. Growth rate of assets will be the growth rate of future dividends
Portfolio
A group of investments
Expected return of a portfolio
weighted-average of the expected return of the individual investments
Arithmetic average return rate
Add returns for several periods and divide by the number of periods. Does NOT take into account compounding
Geometric average return rate
Single annual compound rate of return needed to turn the initial value of a investment into its final value over the number of intervening periods.
When single period return rates are different over several periods, which method of average return gives a lower return?
Geometric gives a lower return. This is because compounding is included in the calculation, so a lower return is needed to get the investment to the same value (compared to arithmetic average return).
How do you calculate a geometric average return?
(value one period later - initial value) / initial value
Standard deviation
Measure of the volatility of an investment. Square root of the variance of the investment. Measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean.
What is a shortcoming of standard deviation?
SD gives disproportionate weight to big differences from average return (i.e., outliers skew the SD in 1 direction)
Coefficient of variation
Standard deviation / Expected Return
Modern Portfolio Theory
SD of portfolio of investments will generally be smaller than the SD of the individual investments. This is b/c each investment is unlikely to move up and down at exactly the same time.
Correlation coefficient
1: when one investment goes up, the other investment goes up proportionally the same amount. -1: when one investment goes down, the other investment goes up proportionally the same amount. 0: There is no relationship btwn the investments
T/F: Correlation coefficient < 1 means SD of the portfolio is < the average SD of the individual investments
TRUE; the diffs. in the investmens’ price fluctuations somewhat offset each other
NOTE:
A high covariance means the investments move in similar directions. A low covariance means the investments move in different directions.
How do investors try to eliminate unsystematic risk?
By combining investments that have low covariance with each other.