BAR_1B1_Budgeting, Forecasting, and Projection Flashcards
Opportunity cost
Net benefit lost or given up when one option is used instead of another. If there is no alternative use - opportunity cost is zero (no benefit to be lost)
Expected value
Calculated by taking the:
Net profit x % probability of outcome
less
Cost incurred x % probably of negative outcome
equals to expected value
Example:
$100,000 cost for proposal
80% change of winning proposal
$250,000 Net profit
$250,000 x .80 = $200,000
-$100,000 x 0.20 = -20,000
Expected value = $180,000
What are the 3 methods of breaking down mixed costs?
- High-low (cost observed at its high and low levels of activity, difference in the two costs is then divided by the difference in activity between the two extremes)
- Scattergraph (Graphs all observed activity points and draws a regression line based on visual inspection)
- Least Squares (Regression line statistical)
COGM
Cost of Goods manufactured = COGM less difference between Beg FG inv and Ending FG inv.
Margin of Safety
Margin of safety = Budgeted Sales - Breakeven Sales
How is Goodness of Fit measured?
By r-squared (r2) statistic (indicates how well data points fit in a line or curve
Regression analysis
Forecasting technique most relevant for analyzing data prior to creation of a flexible budget