Balance of Payments Flashcards

1
Q

Define the balance of payments… what is it an indicator of?

A

It is a record of the transactions between Australia and the rest of the world during a given period.

Most important economic indicator of the relationship between Australia and the global economy.

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2
Q

What is money that flows into the economy called?

A

Credit

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3
Q

What is the money that flows out of the economy called?

A

Debit

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4
Q

What is the BOP composed of?

A

The BOP is composed of two accounts
1. The current account
2. The capital and financial account

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5
Q

Define what the current account shows?

A

Shows the money flow from all exports and imports of G&S, income flows and non-market transfers for a period of one year; these are non-reversible transactions

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6
Q

What was the value of the current account in 2023/24?

A

( $49.7 Billion in 2021-22 )

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7
Q

Are current account transactions reversible or non-reversible

A

Non-reversible

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8
Q

What are the different aspects that compose the current account?

A

Net goods (good credits - good debits)
Net services (service credits - service debits)
Balance on Goods & Services (exports - imports + net services)
Net Primary Income (Earns on investments)
Net Secondary Income (Returned from a factor of production)
Balance on Current Account (addition of the BOGS, net primary income and net secondary income)

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9
Q

Define Net Goods… what are the three possible outcomes?

A

The difference between what Australia receives for its exports and what it pays for its imports of goods.

There are three possible outcomes;

Balance → Export Receipts = Import Payments

Surplus → Export Receipts > Import Payments

Deficit → Export Receipts < Import Payments

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10
Q

Define Net Services

A

The services that are bought and sold without people receiving a ‘good’, e.g. transport, insurance charges, telephone calls, etc.

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11
Q

Define Balance on Goods and Services BOGS

A

The amount that is derived by adding net goods and net services together

Balance of goods and services = exports - imports + net services

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12
Q

Define Net Primary Income

A

Earnings on investments - income that is earned as a return from a factor of production; it covers interest payments on borrowings and returns on other foreign investments, such as foreign-owned companies in Australia or foreign land ownership ( -$87 Billion in 2023/24).

When foreigners invest in Australia, income in the form of rent, profits, interest and dividends flows overseas.

When Australians invest overseas, there is a flow of income back to Australia.

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13
Q

Net secondary income

A

Non-market transfers - income that is not earned through a factor of production; these occur when products or financial resources are provided without a specific good or service being provided in return.

This is a small and relatively technical account, which has little importance in the scope of the overall BOP.

Net secondary income includes payouts on insurance claims, workers’ remittances - e.g. foreigners working in Australia and sending money overseas - and funds taken out of Australia in the form of unconditional aid to developing nations, such as funds given as a gift to a foreign government without a specified purpose.

Pensions received by residents from foreign governments - credits - are also included.

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14
Q

Define Balance on Current account

A

Balance on Current Account:

This refers to the addition of the BOGS, net primary income and net secondary income

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15
Q

What was the total value of net goods in 23/24

A

(Surplus of $92 Billion 2023/24 ).

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16
Q

What was the total value of net services in 23/24

A

(-$22.B 2023/24)

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17
Q

What was the total value of the Balance on Goods and Services BOGS in 23/24

A

( $70 billion in 2023/24 ).

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18
Q

What was the total value of Net primary income in 23/24

A

( -$87 Billion in 2023/24).

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19
Q

What was the total value of Net secondary income in 23/24

A

( -$1.6 Billion in 2023/24 ).

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20
Q

What was the total value of the Balance on Current account in 23/24

A

( $19.1 billion in 2023/24 ).

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21
Q

Define the capital and financial account

A

This is concerned with financial assets and liabilities - records the money flows that result from international borrowing, lending and purchases of assets such as shares and real-estate for a period of one year between Australia and the rest of the world.

Transactions are reversible; borrowings can be paid back, and assets that are bought can be sold again.

22
Q

What was the total value of the capital and financial account in 23/24

A

( -$49 Billion in 2023-24 ).

23
Q

Are transactions in the KAFA account reversible?

24
Q

What are the components of the KAFA account?

A

the Capital account
The financial account

25
What two components make up to the CAPITAL ACCOUNT part of KAFA
Capital Transfers Entries for Purchase ( Debit ) & Sale ( Credit ) of Non-Produced, Non-Financial Assets
26
Define Capital Transfers
Capital Transfers; mainly in the form of ‘conditional’ foreign aid grants which are linked to specific capital projects and debt forgiveness - may be in the form of assistance to other countries to build up their infrastructure or capital stock.
27
Define Entries for Purchase ( Debit ) & Sale ( Credit ) of Non-Produced, Non-Financial Assets
Entries for Purchase ( Debit ) & Sale ( Credit ) of Non-Produced, Non-Financial Assets; intellectual property rights such as patents, copyrights, trademarks and franchises - e.g. Australian company buys rights to operate US franchise outlets in Australia.
28
The financial account is categorised by the type of investment, with five main categories; name them:
Direct Investment; Portfolio Investment Financial Derivatives Reserve Assets Other Investment
29
Define Direct Investment
Direct Investment; covers foreign financial transactions to new fund investment in Australia or to buy 10%+ of shares in an existing company ( -$63.8 Billion in 2021-22 ). e.g. A South-Korean company bringing in funds to build a motorway in Sydney. e.g. BHP Billiton sending funds to Indonesia to fund the construction of a copper mine.
30
Define Portfolio Investment
Portfolio Investment; refers to the buying of land, shares and other marketable securities - that can be easily sold - in existing companies; is often the largest item on the CAFA account ( $88.8 Billion in 2021-22 ).
31
Define Financial Derivatives
Financial Derivatives; are a category of complex financial assets that have become increasingly significant in recent years; the value of these investments is normally derived from the performance of specific assets, interest rates, exchange rates or indices ( -$11.4 Billion in 2021-22 )... → e.g. Forward Exchange Contracts; a very important part of global financial markets.
32
Define Reserve assets
Reserve Assets; refer to those foreign financial assets that are available to and controlled by the central authorities for financing or regulating payment imbalances; reserve assets include monetary gold - held by the Reserve Bank - Special Drawing Rights, reserve positions in the IMF and foreign exchange held by the RBA ( -$20.2 Billion in 2021-22 ).
33
Define other investment
Other Investment; a residual category that captures transactions not classified as direct investment, portfolio investment, financial derivatives, or reserve assets; other investment covers trade credits, loans - including financial leases, currency and deposits, and other accounts payable and receivable, etc ( -$41.9 Billion in 2021-22 ).
34
Define the Balance on Capital & Financial Account:
Is determined by adding the categories together; should approximately equal the deficit on the CA ( $49 billion in 2021-22 ).
35
What are net errors and ommisions?
Net Errors & Omissions; statistical discrepancies ( $0.7 billion in 2021-22 ). It is included because under a floating exchange rate system, the balance of payments would always balance to 0. For convenience, the balancing item is often added onto the CAFA account figure to ensure the BOP sums to 0.
36
Since when has the BOGS been in a surplus, what is its average percentage of GDP?
It has been in surplus since 2016–17, averaging 3.2% of GDP.
37
The size and movements on the BOGS and primary income account are influenced by both ? and ? factors;
Cyclical and Structural
38
Define Cyclical factors, provide examples
Those that vary with the level of economic activity; e.g. Changes in global demand for commodities, Australia’s terms of trade and the value of the exchange rate - Dictates whether the size of the current account is a deficit or surplus.
39
Define Structural factors, provide examples
Structural factors are those that are underlying persistent influences on the balance of payments; e.g. The structure of Australia’s export base, the international competitiveness of Australia’s exports, and the level of national savings.
40
What are the 3 cyclical factors that effect BOGS
1. Exchange Rate 2. Terms of Trade 3. Economic Growth rates
41
What are the 2 structural factors that effect BOGS
1. Narrow export base 2. Lack of international competitiveness
42
Define exchange rate and Explain how it (cyclical) effects BOGS
Movements in the exchange rate affect the international competitiveness of Australia’s exports and the relative price of the G&S that Australia imports. A depreciation decreases the foreign currency price of Australia’s exports, increasing the international competitiveness of Australian exports on world markets. At the same time, a depreciation increases the $AUD price of imports and discourages consumers from purchasing imports, also improving the BOGS account. Exchange rate depreciates = import spending reduces Exchange rate depreciates = export revenue increases Exchange rate depreciates = larger BOGS surplus or reduced deficit
43
Define Terms of trade
Measures the relative movements in the prices of an economy’s imports and exports over a period of time. The greatest influence on Australia’s BOP in recent years has been changes in Australia’s terms of trade; the terms of trade shows the relationship between the prices Australia receives for its exports and the price it pays for its imports. → If export prices are increasing relative to import prices, Australia’s TOT will improve. → If export prices are decreasing relative to import prices, Australia’s TOT will deteriorate. An improvement in the terms of trade means that the same volume of exports can buy more imports
44
How do you calculate terms of trade?
Calculated as the export price index / by import price index X100.
45
Define economic growth rates and explain how it effects BOGS
The level of domestic economic growth influences the BOGS balance by affecting demand for imports. - upturn = higher disposable income = high consumption GO READ
46
Define Narrow export base and explain why it effects BOGS example
Narrow export base; Australia’s export base is narrow; weighted to a small number of commodities. Minerals and agriculture - which together account for around ⅔ of Australia’s export earnings. Australia is highly-exposed to movements in prices and demand in these markets; this volatility contributes to annual fluctuations in the BOGS e.g. In recent years, there has been an upturn in prices for agricultural exports - on average 28% higher since 2010 than for the 1990.
47
What is being done to help australia's narrow export base?
The commodities boom benefited Australia’s trade accounts, however economists agree that Australia must reduce its reliance on fossil fuels - start developing in renewable energy sources as a new export product.
48
Define lack of international competitiveness and explain why it effects BOGS example
AUS lacks international competitiveness in manufacturing and relies heavily on imports of value-added products, including consumer and capital goods, while relying on the export of bulk commodities usually exported without value-adding. As a result, BOGS has historically tended to be in deficit rather than surplus because import payments often outstrip export revenues. This is one of the goals of the Future Made in Australia policy announced by the Albanese Government in 2024, which will support manufacturing of solar cells, batteries and clean energy technology.
49
Give two stats relating to the primary income account
Between 2004–05 and 2019–20, the net primary income account typically recorded a deficit between 2 and 3% of GDP. In 2023–24, the net primary income deficit was 3.6% of GDP.
50
What are the 3 cyclical factors that affect the primary income account
1. Domestic Economic Growth 2. Exchange Rate 3. Changes in interest rates
51