B. Capital Investment Decision making Flashcards
what is a relevant cash flow?
future, incremental cash flow
what are examples of non relevant cash flows?
sunk costs:past event
fixed costs:not incremental
committed costs:not affected by future decision
opportunity costs
absorbed fixed overheads: won’t change as a result of decision
depreciation:non cash
what is an opportunity cost?
value of the best alternative that is forgone when a particular course of action is taken
-relevant cost
what is a notional cost?
- similar to opportunity cost
- e.g notional rent is forgone if company occupies premises themselves
- opp cost if there is a willing renter, otw it is not an opp cost
what is an avoidable cost?
specific costs of an activity or sector of a business which would be avoided if that activity or sector did not exist
-not relevant if attributable, specific fixed or apportioned
what is a differential/incremental cost?
the difference in total cost between alternatives. Calculated to assist decision making
what is another name for sunk costs?
irrecoverable costs
how is relevant cash flow calculated?
cash flow if project accepted - cash flow if project rejected
why are qualitative factors ignored in investment appraisal exercises?
difficult to measure
what are some examples of qualitative benefits and costs?
benefits:
- employee morale
- reduced product dev time
- improved service
- increase in manufacturing flexibility
costs:
- brand/reputition damage
- increased noise level
- lower morale
what are some examples of quantitative benefits and costs?
benefits:
- IT system upgrade
- selling inv
- aligning depts
- lower costs
costs:
-input costs;DM, DL, OH
what is the difference between data and information?
data: raw, unprocessed, can’t base decisions on
information: data that is processed, has meaning, improves quality of their decision making
what are some examples of internal data?
sales ledger system purchase ledger system payroll system fixed asset system production sales marketing
what are some examples of external sources of information?
supplier:prices, specifications
newspaper: share prices, info on competition, market research
government: statistics, tax policy, demographic stats, economic growth
customers: product requirements, price sensitivity
employees:wage demands, working conditions
banks: info on customers, national markets
business enquiry agents:info on competitors, customers
internet: almost everything via public and private databases
what are the limitations of externally generated information?
- accuracy
- out of date
- publisher may not be reputable
- external info may not meet exact needs
- difficult to gather external info e.g from customers or competitors
what benefits does collecting, analysing and presenting high quality data present?
collaborative working
customer insight
risk management
governance
what is cited as the most significant challenge to product and service innovation faced by organisations?
identifying changes in customer behaviour
what costs does collecting, analysing and presenting high quality data present?
- software license costs:cost of initially acquiring and deploying software
- software maintenance costs:annual charges
- IT training costs:training IT to manage and maintain
- user training costs:training users of software
- integration costs:making multiple projects work together
- redundant infrastructure costs:cost of managing and maintaining multiple data stores, metadata repositories and other components
what are the main issues with collecting high quality data?
duplication
privacy
integrity
security
why is duplication an issue with high quality data?
in ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) systems, sometimes info is duplicated or multiplied, making it difficult to ensure consistency and security
- inter-department reports rarely agree
- even from the same source, reports may not reconcile due to extraction process
what are some solutions to the threat of natural disasters in IS?
fire procedures
location: not in basement
physical environment:a/c, dust controls
back up procedures
what are some solutions to the threat of malfunction of hardware or software in IS?
network design: cope with high volumes
back-up procedures
what are some solutions to viruses in IS?
antivirus software:run and updated regularly
formal security policy and procedures:downloads from reputable sources
regular audits for unauthorised software
what are some solutions to hackers in IS?
deliberate access to systems
firewall software: provide protection from unauthorised access to the system from the internet passwords and usernames formal security policy and procedures user awareness training of risks data encryption
what are some solutions to electronic eavesdropping in IS?
users accessing private information
data encryption: scrambled prior to transmission and is recovered in a readable format once transmission is complete
passwords and usernames; limit unauthorised access to the system
what are some solutions to human errors in IS?
unintentional errors from using computers and network
training:adequate staff training and operating procedures
what are some solutions to human resource risk in IS?
e.g repetitive strain injury (RSI), headaches and eye strain from computer screens, tripping over loose wires
ergonomic design of workstations should reduce problems such as RSI
anti-glare screens to reduce eye strain
cables should be in ducts
what issue did the NHS face in 2017?
virus infection with ransom demand
appointments cancelled and ambulances diverted
40 hospital trusts became infected by ransomware
part of biggest ransomware attack in history with 57k infections in 99 countries being observed
what are the 2 categories that computer controls fall into?
application controls and general controls
what is an application/Program control?
manual or automated procedures that apply to INDIVIDUAL areas within the system to ensure the completeness, accuracy and validity of the recording and processing of transactions
- completeness checks to ensure all data is processed
- validity checks to ensure only valid data is input/processed
- identification and authorisation checks to ensure users are identifies and authorised
- problem management facilities to ensure problems and recorded/managed on a timely basis
performed automatically by system
what are some examples of application control?
- batch total checks
- sequence checks
- matching master files to transaction records
- arithmetic checks
- range checks
- existence checks
- authorisation
- exception reporting
what is a general control?
policies and procedures that relate to MANY applications and support the effective function of application controls by helping to ensure the continued proper operation of information systems
- personnel controls
- access controls
- computer equipment controls
- business continuity planning
OVERALL CONTROL
what are some examples of general controls?
- network access controls
- staff training
- systems testing and installation controls
- password protection
- restricting physical access to central computers by locks/keypads
- back-up procedures
- disaster recovery procedures
- virus checks
what controls are required in a database to ensure that data integrity and security are maintained?
- control of access to workstations
- user identification required for access by individual passwords
- users only see the icons for the functions where they have access rights
- restrictions on access to certain aspects of the database e.g. using passwords
- users only to have access to those aspects that they need to do their job
- restrictions on use of functions or programs e.g. writing off debts as bad debts
- transaction logs maintained automatically for checking and for back-up purposes
what is business intelligence ‘BI’?
the technical architecture of systems that extract, assemble, store and access data to provide reports and analysis.
It can also be used to to describe the reporting and analysis applications or performance management tools at the top of the BI stack
how is BI used to improve decision making?
company wide recognition that a company’s data is an important strategic asset that can yield valuable management information and implement change so that this information is used to improve decision making
- provides MAs with a wider range of information in more accessible formats
- more forward looking
- financial and non-financial information
what does the base of the BI stack consist of?
source data systems from where data is extracted, translated and loaded by extract, transform and load (ETL) software into a data warehouse
what is the application layer (or BI layer) of the BI stack?
data warehouse and data mining
storage layer
what is in the presentation/delivery layer?
exec dashboards
scorecards and other tools making it easier for managers to find and understand the information and proactively use it in decision making
what is data analysis?
process of collecting, organising and analysing large sets of data to generate trends and other information to aid decision making
-complex analysis, data mining and predictive modelling enabled by BI applications which can access both financial and non-financial data from the business’s data warehouse and external sources
what is data mining?
process of sorting through data to identify PATTERNS and RELATIONSHIPS within a data set between different items, usually with the use of statistical ALGORITHMS
how is the BI scope expanding?
used to spot patterns and trends from structured data
now includes unstructured data
what are sequences in data trends?
forecasting future purchases
e.g if consumer bought pram, they’re likely to buy booster seat next
what is clustering?
splitting consumers into groups so you can target them at a specific time or with a specific need
what is data forecasting?
predicting future e.g sales revenue
what is structured data?
data that is contained within a field in a data record or file e.g databases, data warehouses and spreadsheets
-archived and ordered in an organised manner
what is unstructured data?
data that is not easily contained within structured data fields e.g pictures, videos, webpages, PDF filed, emails, blogs
-often stored in data lakes
what is a data lake?
contains data in its rawest form
- fresh from capture
- unadulterated by processing or analysis
- data just ‘poured’ in
- each piece of data is similar to a molecule of water and can be moved anywhere, is an equal unit and is agile and can be configured and reconfigured as necessary
- unstructured data can be more quickly shaped into necessary form
how can BI lead to increased profitability?
can be used for new reports and analysis which should lead to increased profitability through improved operating performance and better strategic focus on profitable products and segments
what are some examples of how BI can lead to improved profitability?
- better informed sales people can cater to customers
- greater transparency enhances performance. Internal benchmarking between individuals and divisions which are measured on a consistence basis can help to identify best practice and raise standards
- negotiators are better informed of current economy for contracts with customers/suppliers
- advertising and promotional spend can be targeted
- can sell data to others e.g. supermarkets sell EPoD (Electronic Point of Sale) to their suppliers
how does BI reduce costs?
- BI tools are user friendly, cut out need for IT
- savings will include EFFICIENCY gains, often expressed as numbers of full time equivalent (FTE) employees
- BI tools REPLACE others so no need for software licensing and training costs
- BI solution can meet REPORTING standards which are usually done ad hoc so time saving
- reporting can include FINANCIAL and NON-FINANCIAL indicators in commentary
- BI may present READILY ACCESSIBLE data that complies with regulations that didn’t exist before
what are some intangible benefits of BI?
- identifying trends early leads to more accurate forecasts
- prompt month end close gives good impression to investors, especially in terms of risk level and increase in shareholder value
- greater clarity on products, segments, clusters can improve retention or attracting from competition. get rid of less economic customers or improve revenue
- emerging trends spotted earlier, quicker commitment of resources early on so more value delivered
why is it important to consider the time value of money?
capital expenditure projects cash flow usually arises over long term e.g 12m+
what are the 8 steps of the capital investment process?
- Identify objectives
- Search for investment opportunities
- Identify states of nature
- List possible outcomes
- Measure payoffs
- Select investment projects
- Obtain authorisation and implement projects
- Review capital investment decisions
which stages are the creation phase of the capital investment process?
- Identify objectives
- Search for investment opportunities
- Identify states of nature
which stages are the decision phase of the capital investment process?
- List possible outcomes
- Measure payoffs
- Select investment projects
which stages are the impementation phase of the capital investment process?
- Obtain authorisation and implement projects
8. Review capital investment decisions
What does the first stage of the capital investment process entail?
achieve maximisation of wealth by maximising NPV of future net cash inflows
what is a firm’s prosperity dependent on?
ability to create investment opportunities (Stage 2)
what does stage 3 of the capital investment process entail?
data to be gathered about possible future environments that may affect the outcomes of the project
- e.g economic booms/busts, high inflation
- might need to adjust medium term objectives accordingly
what is the role of a Capital Expenditure Committee?
establish an approval procedure that both encourages managers to submit realistic, achievable proposals and ensures that the long-term objectives of the firm are being met
when is the post completion audit/appraisal of the capital investment process usually started?
12 months into the investment project
what are the unctions of the Capital Expenditure Committee?
- co-ordinate capital expenditure policy
- appraise and authorise capital expenditure on specific projects
- review actual expenditure on capital projects against the budget
what might a multidisciplinary/working party set up to investigate individual proposals and report finding comprise of?
- project engineer
- production engineer
- management accountant
- relevant specialist e.g personnel officer
what are the initial assumptions of a capital investment appraisal?
- all cash inflows and outflows are known with certainty
- sufficient funds are available to undertake all profitable investments
- there is zero inflation
- there is zero taxation
what is the time value of money?
money received today is worth more than the same sum received in the future
how do we account for the time value of money when appraising investments?
discounting cash flow (DCF) techniques
what are the 3 main reasons for the time value of money?
consumption preference: receive sooner rather than later
inflation: price rises cause loss of purchasing power
risk: more certainty if received earlier
what is the terminal value? how is it calculates?
future value
V=X (1+r)^n
V=future or terminal value
X= initial value (PV)
r = interest rate
n=number of periods
what does compound interest assume?
that interest is earned on both the initial investment and any interest earned
what is discounting?
opposite of compounding
considers sum receivable in the future in today’s equivalent i.e PRESENT VALUE
how is present value calculated?
present value = future value x discount factor
where discount factor = (1+r)^-n
where r is interest rate
n is the number of time periods
what are the alternative terms used to refer to the rate a firm should use to take account of the time value of money?
cost of capital
discount rate
required rate of return
all are the cost of finance that will be ties up in the investment
what are 4 widely used appraisal methods?
- NPV consider the time value of money and uses discounted cash flow techniques
- IRR considers time value of money and uses discounted cash flow technique
- Payback period
- Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
what is the NPV?
net benefit/loss in PV terms of an investment opportunity
i.e surplus funds earned on project and impacts on shareholder’s wealth
‘difference between the sum of the projected discounted cash inflows and outflows attributable to a capital investment or other long-term project’
what is the decision criteria for NPV projects?
- viable if positive NPV
- not viable if negative NPV
- mutually exclusive projects, pick highest NPV
what does an NPV of zero mean?
no surplus on investment so exact rate of return therefore worth accepting
what are the assumptions used in NPV?
- all cash flows occur at the start or end of a year
- initial investments occur at once (T0), other cash flows start in one year’s time (T1)
why is NPV considered superior in theory to most other appraisal methods?
- considers TIME VALUE of money - ignored by payback and ARR
- ABSOLUTE measure of return - ignored by payback and ARR
- based on CASH FLOWS not profits-less subjective
- considers the WHOLE LFIE of the project- ignored by payback
- should lead to maximisation of SHAREHOLDER WEALTH- a primary objective
- can easily account for RISK
what are the drawbacks of NPV?
- fairly complex
- difficult to explain to non-financial managers-not as intuitive as payback
- may be difficult to determine the cost of capital
- only considers the long-term, so may lead to short-term demotivation