Asymmetric Info Flashcards
Perfect Info
both purchasers and providers know who is high/low-risk
– each group is charged a price equal to the group’s probability of adverse event
– prices are actuarially fair for each group, everyone will buy full insurance
– no market failure
asymmetric info
a situation where purchasers and sellers differ in what they know
– a common phenomenon in insurance
Completely asymmetric info
extreme but can happen
Approach 1: Asking people their risk types
- ask people if they are low-/high-risk
- causes free-riding
- pricing structure is unsustainable
expected profit from the high-risk type
Premium from the high-risk type minus exp. payout to the high-risk type
Pooled price approach
the price that is actuarially fair for the population as a whole
Adverse Selection High-Risk Pooled Price
– less than their actuarially fair price: ρ < pH
→ The pooled price is a good deal. Buy full coverage
Adverse Selection Low-Risk Type Pooled Price
The pooled price is greater than their actuarially fair price: ρ > pL
→ The pooled price is a bad deal. Buy no or partial coverage
Adverse Selection
The phenomenon that the people who most want to buy insur. at the pooled price are those with a high risk of suffering the adverse event
Does Raising Prices Combat Adverse Selection?
Raising the price won’t necessarily solve adverse selection
– Instead, it can sometimes make the problem worse:
– If the price is higher, more low-risk individuals will drop out
⇒ The risk pool will be more strongly tilted toward the high-risk type
⇒ Avg. payouts will be even higher, and the insurer may again lose money
Unraveling EQ:
– adverse selection causes the market to collapse
– low-risk individuals drop out and do not buy insurance
– high-risk individuals buy full coverage at their actuarially fair price, pH
Conditions for Unraveling EQ
W/ two risk types, there are three conditions for the market to unravel:
1. sL small relative to sH
2. pH much larger than pL
3. Low-risk individuals are not very risk-averse
Pooling EQ conditions
- sL big relative to sH
- pH not much larger than pL
- Low-risk individuals are strongly risk-averse
Pooling EQ
– Adverse selection is not severe enough to distort the insurance market
– Everyone buys full insurance coverage at the pooled price
– all low-risk want to buy full coverage at the pooled price (No adverse selection)
Separating EQ
two distinct insurance options: (a) Full coverage at a high price & (b) Partial coverage at a low price
– Induce low-/high-risk to reveal their types via self-selection
– High-risk have strong demand for insurance; prefer (a)
– Low-risk have weak demand for insurance; prefer (b)