Asset Return Modelling Flashcards

1
Q

Why sometimes does the inversion of Beta^TD^-1Beta fail?

A

The matrix is singular meaning their determinant is equal to zero. This happens if some of the columns in Beta are linearly dependent ex: one column is the sum of the other columns.
This means multiple solutions exist so solution is not unique

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2
Q

Why SMB is strongly negative for small company? sm gone wrong

A

Possible explanations could be:
* Other factors, such as sector, which we have omitted from the analysis.
* Sampling error in the historic data.
* Some other reason why Paprika is behaving like a large company in terms
of its historic returns.

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3
Q

How should one compare models

A

Goodness of fit - sum of squared differences - smaller the better.
Also consider the methods proposed if they make sense.

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4
Q

If weights are inversly proportional to variance what are the entries of D^-1

A

1/Var(company)

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5
Q

What would you expect from SMB interpretation

A

Positive for smaller firms and negative for bigger firms - measuring size by market cap
Those with the highest or lowest values of SMB should be in the six companies used to estimate the returns

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6
Q

Commenting on reliability of the estimated factor loadings - small data

A

Unlikely to eb reliable as we are trying to estimate from just X years of annual returns - alot of sampling error expected

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7
Q

Why does the Fama French model use quintiles and describe how method could be changed and its effects

A

Fama french use top and bottom quintiles however choice of quintiles is arbitrary so no reason to think that using more shares than that would invalidate results - for example could you the extreme 3/8 of the same instead and may even be better if less sampling.
Effects: would give different factor loadings, probably higher as the factor returns would reduce with adding more moderate shares

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8
Q

What is the characteristic polynomial

A

Finding the determinant of matrix
Lamda*Identity-Matrix

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9
Q

To find an eigenvector what equation needs solving

A

(Matrix-LamdaIdentity)Vector=0

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10
Q

How can you verify eigenvectors are orthogonal

A

Calculate E^TE to see that its a diagonal matrix - will be the identity if the eigenvectors are normalised.

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11
Q

What matrix A solves: MatrixE=EA

A

A is the diagonal matrix of eigenvalues if E is the matrix of eigenvectors

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12
Q

How to tell if model fit has improved

A

Has sum of squares reduced

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13
Q

How can you analyse the statistical factor models loadings

A

Asses in terms of sector or some sort of category and see if there is a pattern. That would indicate that the first, second etc factor of the statistical factor model is capturing that characteristic.

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14
Q

Is there any relation between factor loadings of Statistical model and SMB and HML factors?

A

NO

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15
Q

Know the weighted sum of squares and residual sum of squares formula in relation to the trace

A
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16
Q

How could you modify the model to take explicit account of the risk-free
rate?

A

Work with returns in excess of the relevant (short term) risk free
rate for each historic period, rather than using the full nominal return