Analysing the Strategic Position of a Business (3.7) Flashcards
Savings is setting aside…
Setting aside some money for future use (mainly by individuals or retained profit in businesses).
Investment is the purchase of a…
The purchase of a fixed asset (valuable, stay with businesses for a long time).
- Using your money to make money.
Difference between Savings & Investment :
Savings carry almost no risk, investments always carry significant risk.
ROI formula :
Operating Profit
———————– x 100
Capital Invested
Why investment is undertaken :
1) To replace or renew…
2) To introduce additonal, new…
1) To replace or renew assets that have worn out (depreciated) or become obsolete.
2) To introduce additional, new assets in order to meet increased demand for the firm’s products.
Risk of investment (5) :
1) Market may…
2) ___________________ conditions may…
3) Fixed assets purchased may be…
4) ___________________ cost may be higher than expected…
5) ____________________ may develop…
1) The market might change e.g. new demand might not materialise as expected.
2) Economic conditions may change (e.g. high inflation).
3) The fixed assets purchased may be faulty or of low quality.
4) Opportunity cost may be higher than expected (e.g. other possibilities which might have been more profitable might have been missed).
5) Technology may develop more quickly than expected.
3 Methods of Investment Appraisal :
1) Payback period.
2) Average rate of return (ARR).
3) Net present value (NPV).
Investment Appraisal involves making a judgement as to…
Making a judgement as to whether a new investment opportunity being considered by a business is going to be worthwhile.
Payback is assessing how long a particular…
Assessing how long a particular project will take to break-even and move into profit.
- Useful for comparing 2 projects, which pays back the most quickly is the lower risk but not necessarily the best.
(answer is in years/months)
Payback Period is the time it takes for a business to…
Time it takes for a business to payback its initial investment.
- The shorter, the better.
- Results will be generated in time.
How to calculate Payback Period :
1) Calculate NCF if not already (inflows-outflow).
2) Add up each years NCF until you get to the cost of the initial investment (which was Year 0).
3) If the cost of initial investment is in between a year, do this formula.
amount of investment not recovered/revenue generated in the next year x 365
Then add the days and how many years to get payback.
Benefits of Payback Period (4) :
- Simple &…
- Focuses on…
- As it deals with…
- Easy to compare…
1) Simple, easy to calculate + understand.
2) Focuses on cash flow which is key to business finances.
3) As it deals with speed of return its particularly relevant for hi-tech, rapidly changing industries.
4) Easy to compare one project with one another.
Drawbacks of Payback Period (2) :
1) Ignores cash flows after payback is reached e.g. machine may continue to payback for 20 years.
2) Money value in 3.5 years may be worth less than money today (e.g. inflation).
ARR (Average Rate of Return) calculates the annual…
- Useful for comparing the potential return with other…
- It’s better than PB as…
- The _________________ the better.
Calculates the annual % profit from an investment.
- Useful for comparing the potential return with other ways in which the business could use it’s money.
- It’s better than PB as it includes profits made after break-even when PB doesn’t.
- The higher the better.
How to calculate ARR :
1) Add up positive cash flows of each year, (not Year 0).
2) Subtract the cost of initial investment e.g. 8M.
3) Divide by lifespan of investment.
4) Divide by cost of inital investment to find %.
4) E.g. NCF all added together is 11. So 11-8 (inital investment) = 3/5 (years) = 600,000 per year, 600,000 as a % of 8m is 600,000/8,000,000 x 100 = 7.5% = ARR.
NPV (Net Present Value) calculates what any…
- Better than ARR because the future…
Calculates what any potential return is worth in “real terms”.
- This is better than ARR as the future profits are more realistic. They take into account inflation whereas ARR doesn’t.
How to calculate NPV :
1) Multiply the NCF by the discount factor for that year (including year 0)
2) Pick the correct discount factor based on the % change, e.g. 10%.
3) Get NPV by adding them up together (including year 0)
4) Minus this NPV from initial investment to calculate return.
Difficulties with conducting appraisals for investment :
- Difficult to predict…
- R________ and…
- Unforseen…
- New…
- Higher than expected…
- Difficult to predict cost and revenues.
- Risks and uncertainties.
- Unforeseen technical difficulties.
- New technology superseding the investment.
- Higher than expected inflation, or a recession.
To overcome these difficulties when conducting investment appraisals businesses should :
- Make ‘contingencies’.
- Calculate alternative results.
- Set more demanding targets to allow for risks (e.g. higher ARR).
Advantages of Net Present Value (NPV) (4) :
+ Takes account of time…
+ Looks at all…
+ Use of discounting reduced the…
+ Has a…
+ Takes account of time value of money, placing emphasis on earlier cash flows.
+ Looks at all cash flows involved through life of the project.
+ Use of discounting reduces the impact of long-term, less likely cash flow.
+ Has a decisions-making mechanism - reject projects with negative NPV.
Disadvantages of NPV (3) :
- More…
- Difficult to select the…
- The NPV calculation is very…
- More complicated method.
- Difficult to select the most appropriate discount rate - may lead to good projects being rejected.
- The NPV calculation is very sensitive to the initial investment cost.
Factors to consider, Investment Appraisals, Influence Risk (4) :
- Length of…
- Source of…
- Size of…
- Economic and…
- Length of project.
- Source of data.
- Size of investment.
- Economic and market environment.
Qualitative influences on Investment Appraisals (4) :
- Product…
- Consistency of…
- Business’ brand…
- A business’ responsibility to…
- Product quality + customer service.
- Consistency of investment decision with corporate objectives.
- Business’s brand and image, including reputation.
- A business’ responsibilities to society & other external stakeholders.
Sensitivity Analysis (Investment Appraisals) created to understand the impact a…
Created to understand the impact a range of variables has on a given outcome, e.g. changing discount factor,
- Allows for more informed decision, do multiple calculations,