AM Case study Flashcards
What was the valuation date?
25 September 2018 - the date of the report.
What was included in your Terms of Engagement
- Address of Property
- Client
- Purpose of the Valuation : Internal Purposes
- Basis of Valuation: Market Value
- Valuation Date: 25 September 2018
- Interest to be valued: Freehold
- Status of Valuer External
- Conflicts of Interest: NONE
- Assumptions Title, condition, planning
- Departure from val standards: NONE
- Basis of Measurement: Floor area by client
- Extent of Investigations Defs and Reservations
- Nature and Source of info: Details of development
- Limitation of Liability: £5,000,000
- Fee Basis: £5,000 fixed fee
- Reporting Timescale: Report issued by 25th
- Signature
You said the site was 0.3 acres, what is that in hectares?
Conversion rate: 2.47 so 0.12 hectares.
You mentioned there were existing buildings on the site, could you describe them for me?
The existing building is a small warehouse consisting of 2 storeys of solid brick wall construction with some slight cracking in the brickwork.
Timer-framed single glazed window with brick lintels
Lack of downpipe from the gutter, hence the staining on the left hand side.
Flat Roof
1960s/1950s building
Use Class B8 (Storage and Distribution)
How do you know it is of solid brick wall construction?
Has a combination of headers and stretchers.
What is the other type of brick wall?
Cavity Wall - two layers of brick are tied together with metal ties with a cavity in between.
No headers are used.
Evidence - usually a cavity tray, air brick or weep holes
What are the disadvantages of having a flat roof?
- Lack of drainage as debris and dirt can build up
- Have to replace it every 10-20 years
Why would someone construct a building with a flat roof, rather than a pitched roof?
Cheaper initial cost
If it was a 1950s/1960s building were you concerned about asbestos in the building?
I checked the planning documents and there was no presence of asbestos in the building.
How did you get to your demolition cost?
Cross-checked with building surveyors to see if reasonable.
Includes: site clearance and demolition of the building.
If you had to arrive at a demolition cost yourself do you know roughly how much they are?
Around £5-£10 per sq ft
What did you estimate for a contingency cost? And why?
Contingency is usually around 5% - 10%.
Due to the
- small-scale nature of the scheme
- the unlikely movement in build costs
The Contingency should be 5%
What was included in your estimate for professional fees and how did you estimate them?
- Architects
- M&E consultants
- Project Managers
- Structural Engineers
- Quantity Surveyors
Typically they are around 10/15% of total construction costs
Due to the uncomplex nature of the development, I used the lower end of the scale and established professional fees of 10%.
You mentioned you cross-referenced your residual valuation with other development sites? Are you aware of any Guidance from the RICS on this?
Yes.
RICS Guidance Note Valuation of Development Property 2019
- States that it is best practice to use 2 methods of valuation when valuing developments to cross-reference your figure
How did you analyse the land evidence?
2 comparable land sales near by:
43 Bellenden Road and 91-93 Queens Road
Similar sized development in terms of number of units and had a small element of commercial too, both had planning permission and had no affordable housing.
Analysed on a per dwelling basis.
Why did you analyse them on a per dwelling basis?
I am aware that some developments are analysed on a per acre basis.
However, I did not believe this was appropriate.
In London sites can be over a different site areas but have similar densities. You may have a site of 1 acre but only able to put 10 units on it.
My site was smaller than the Bellenden Road site but larger than the Queens Road site but despite this I felt they would still achieve similar prices.
So it was more comparable to compare the sites on a per dwelling basis.
What developers profit did you estimate and why?
Developers profit ranges between 15-20% usually.
I estimated a developers profit of 17.5% on GDV.
- Low density scheme
- Planning permission
However I felt the presence of the railway line made it slightly more risky than other developments of this size.
So 17.5%
Why did you do profit on GDV rather than on cost?
For residential schemes you tend to do profit on GDV and for commercial you tend to do profit on Cost.
For a commercial scheme your GDV is highly sensitive to changes as you have a number of things affecting it. eg. rent, yield, void periods etc so its not very secure to base your profit on.
Where as Resi GDVs are much more stable and its more secure to base your profit on.
What influences the level of profit by a developer?
- RISK
- If a scheme is low risk (pre-let or pre-sold) a lower return may be required.
- No Planning permission will require a higher profit.
Current market = risker market conditions, therefore percentage of profit required may rise.
Could you give me an example of how you have demonstrated client care during the course of your case study?
Maintained contact with the client throughout instruction and answered any queries they had
I provided a sensitivity analysis to better advise my client if fluctuations in the market were to occur.
I produced a report in the time scale that we pre-agreed with the client.
I verified all information I used in order to provide my client accurate advice.
Can you demonstrate how you promoted trust / integrity during your case study?
I conducted a conflict of interest check to confirm to the client my advice would be objective and independent.
Could you give me an example of how you demonstrated respect during your case study?
I spoke to local agents in the area and maintained respect and professionalism whilst collecting comparable evidence.
Could you give me an example of responsibility during your case study
I held a high level of responsibility throughout my case study from beginning to end.
I successfully drafted a red book compliant report and took responsibility for finding the inputs that provided my client with an accurate Market Value.
You said you adhered to Surveying Safely in your case study, what did you do specifically given it was an industrial site?
It had been abandoned for more than 3 years or so.
I conducted a risk assessment prior to going to the site.
Before - Planned my route
- Ensured my calendar was up to date with
timings and location
- Someone knew my arrival time back
- Checked history of the site and the planning
documents for any contamination reports
- Would I need any PPE? No.
During - Kept an eye out for any hazards:
- Slip and trip hazards - unsecure live wires - Invasive plants - If squatters - needles etc. - Contamination
After: - Secured the site
- informed site manager I was leaving - Reviewed the risks and reported.
Was there any clothing you considered?
PPE (Personal Protective Equipment)
Examples:
- Hi-vis Jacket
- Hard Hat
- Steel toe cap boots
COVID:
- mask
- gloves
- hand sanitzer
Why did you decide that PPE was not applicable here?
Despite the fact it used to be an industrial site, it had been empty for 7 years.
There was no machinery on site the site was not under construction so there were not any risks to warrant PPE.
Were not going to enter the building.
How did you check the site was held freehold
Checked Title Register and Title Plan on the Land Registry.
Were there any easements / restrictive covenants / rights of way over the land?
No
What is an easement?
Right to use another persons land for a stated purpose.
Anything on inspection you were wary of, particularly relating to the railway?
Japanese Knotweed - invasive plant which can damage structures.
What does Japanese Knotweed look like ? If you saw it what would you do?
- Take Photo to confirm
- Advise the client to get specialist advice and remove it.
- Factor in costs of removing Japanese Knotweed into your valuation
- caveat report to say this is on the basis the Japanese Knotweed has been removed.
You mentioned asbestos, what is it?
There are three types, brown, blue and white.
It is a Hazardous Material and can be harmful to health if disturbed.
Regulation: The Control of Asbestos Regulations 2012
What does The Control of Asbestos Regs 2012 Say?
Obligation on the duty holder to:
- Assess whether building has asbestos (if not sure assume)
- Assess Risk & Plan to Manage
- Produce an Asbestos Register
- Make Register Available
- Review (every 6 months)
What are the penalties of The Control of Asbestos Regs? Is there a defence?
Penalties:
- Fine (Max £20,000)
- Prison (12 months)
Defence: Undertook reasonable steps and due diligence
What was your developments profit erosion period ? What is the profit erosion period?
3.3 years
The length of time it takes for the development profit to be completely eroded following the completion of a scheme due to the running costs of the development.
Eg. Service charge, council tax, interest costs.
When you obtained your BCIS figures, did you consider anything else?
I am aware sometimes it is appropriate to allow for inflation due to the time lag.
However, I sense checked my figures with my in-house building surveyors who said it was reasonable without.
If your site did not have planning permission, how would the appraisal differ?
- Increase the time period after purchase and before construction to allow for the time it may take for planning permission.
- Increase developers profit to around 20-25% to allow for the risk that you may not obtain PP.
- Increase planning costs - entirely depends on the site. Would obtain an estimate from my planning team for this area and size.
- Deduct 20% from residual land value - v subjective.
If your site had affordable, would you include CIL?
No, CIL only on private sales.
How do you calculate affordable housing if you had it?
I am aware that there are percentages of affordable housing required by the the local councils in their local plans and the split.
I would look on here and go to my viability team to get a quote for the type of affordable housing and apply that to my appraisal.
How would you distribute the affordable housing sales?
Not after PC.
Before PC as housing associations usually pay a lump sum during construction phase.
Typically around 50% during construction (first brick on the ground) and 50% on practical completion.
Market Norm but can depend
What was included in your construction costs?
Build cost
S106 Path
Contingency
Professional Fees
Finance Rate
What was included in your planning costs?
BIG TOPIC FOR DISCUSSION
Borough CIL £220,000
Mayoral CIL £44,000
(Both obtained from planning permission)
If you did not have CIL in your planning permission, how would you calculate it?
Mayoral CIL
- On government website
- Figures on a GIA basis on a rate per sq m
- Ranges from £20-£50 depending on location
- But increase since April 2019 to allow for cross rail
- This was £35 psm
Now its £60
FIND OUT ON IN RELATION TO YOUR CASE STUDY.
Borough CIL
- On council website
- Figures on a GIA basis on a rate per sq m
- Ranges from
- This was £218 psm for resi
CIL is paid on both resi and commercial over 100 sq meters
And is based on the net additional - even if it is being demolished.
Although not in your planning costs, what others may you find in other developments?
S106 Agreements
s278 payments for highway works
Planning application fees
Cost of Planning Consultants - can be very high. Would get quote from our in house planning team.
How much are planning application fees?
Can vary!
For a development of this size around £12,000.
How did you estimate Build Costs?
BCIS and cross checked with building surveyor
What is BCIS?
HOT TOPIC
Data platform provided by the RICS which provides build costs
What is included in BCIS?
- Base Build Rate
- Contractors overheads and Profit
- Preliminaries
Excluded - EXTERNALS
Where does RICS obtain the BCIS data from?
Obtains monthly updates from Quantity surveyors, Building Surveyors and contractors prices/ tenders.
What are the limitations of BCIS?
- As its area specific, sample may be too small to give a true reflection of build costs.
- Can be outdated so sometimes need to apply inflation
- Large contractors don’t put their figures on BCIS as would give away market advantage
What did you include in your estimate for Marketing Costs and Fees and how did you calculate them?
- Marketing Fee for Both Resi and Commercial
(0. 5% of GDV) - Letting Agent Fee for Commercial (10% of first years rent)
- Letting Legal Fee for Commercial (5% of first years rent)
These are standard market assumptions based on market norms
Did you include National House Building Council (NHBC) warranty for residential schemes?
No - we do not usually account for this in my firm
What date were your inputs take from?
25 September 2018 - the Valuation Date
What was your finance rate (interest rate)?
BIG TOPIC FOR DISCUSSION
6%
How did you estimate your finance (interest rate)?
- In house finance team
who recommended that 6% was appropriate and the rate for speculative lending and the market norm.
BECAUSE:
This is the rate that a hypothetical developer could secure finance for this development to create a level playing field as we do not know the type of developer who may purchase the site. In reality, a well known house builder will get a more favourable rate.
What does your finance rate incorporate? What is it made up of ?
- LIBOR Rate - rate that banks can borrow from each other (1%)
- Premium - risk for property development (couple of percent)
- Project monitory fees, Arrangement fees, Exit fees (couple of percent)
What is current base rate in UK?
0.1 %
Dropped from 0.25% to control the impact of Corona Virus in March 2020
What stages did the developer need to borrow finance? What basis are they represented?
- Site Purchase - calculated on a straight-line basis
- Total Construction Costs & Fees - based on an S-curve to reflect when the money is actually drawn out. (Less at the start, lots in the middle, and less at the end)
- Holding over costs - to cover the voids until disposal of the scheme - again straight line basis compound interest.
What holding over costs need to be accounted for after the development is completed, until disposal of the scheme?
Residential
- Service charge
- Council tax
- Interest charges
Commercial - Rates & Service charge
What capital stack did your residual valuation assume? and Why?
100% Debt Finance
Allowed for a hypothetical developer who may need to borrow 100% debt.
Have to have a level playing field to establish the Market Value
What are the two methods of development finance?
Debt Finance - Borrowing money from a Bank
Equity Finance - Own money, Forward purchase from an investor etc.
What is a Loan to Value ratio?
Measures the risk the lender is willing to take on the loan
Measures the relationship between the amount of money loaned, and the Market Value of the property.
What is a typical Loan to Value ratio?
60%
So Borrower is supplying 40% of the money and borrowing 60%.
Where as LTV ratio of 80% means the Borrower = supplying only 20% of the money.
What are the typical components of a capital stack for development?
- Senior Debt - (TAKES PRECEDENCE) if borrower defaults, they take ownership of the property. eg. bank
- Mezzanine Finance - (SECOND IN LINE) Has higher rate of return than senior debt. (Gets a share if cant pay back)
- Equity - Riskiest and most profitable.
All other capital will be paid back before this one.
When would you use mezzanine funding?
When developer needs additional funding over the normal LTV ratio
What is an overage?
The arrangement made for the sharing of any extra profit.
Would usually be dictated by a pre-agreed formula.
Shared between landowner and developer - known as a Claw Back
What are the limitations of the residual valuation method?
- Dependent on accurate inputs
- Very sensitive to minor adjustments
- Assumptions are hidden and not explicit eg. in yield
- Assumes 100% debt finance - not realistic.
What other variables could you have conducted in your sensitivity analysis?
I did: Build Costs and GDV
Other options:
- Finance rates
- Developers Profit
What are the 3 forms of sensitivity analysis?
- Simple - key variables, yield, GDV, build costs, finance rate
- Scenario - changing scenarios. eg. affordable housing, timing, costs - phasing scheme differently
- Monte Carlo - using the probability theory with software such as crystal ball
What Guidance has the RICS released on valuing development property?
RICS GN on Valuation of Development Property 2019
RICS GN on Valuation of New Build Homes 2019
How is development property defined in the RICS GN on Valuation of Development Property 2019?
Where redevelopment is required to achieve the highest and best use, where improvements or construction is in progress at the valuation date.
According to the RICS GN of Development Property 2019, what should your MV assume?
Optimum development - highest value.
What is the purpose for CIL?
Mayoral - Cross Rail
Borough - Finance the infrastructure that may be needed for the development
What does Profit on GDV Reflect?
It is your profit in relation to your total GDV
Profit / Total GDV
My Case Study: 17.5% (MY INPUT)
What does Profit on Cost Reflect?
It is your profit in relation to your total cost
Profit / Total Cost - as a percentage
My Case study : 21.41 % (DEVELOPERS INPUT)
What does Profit on NDV mean?
Profit on Net Development Value
Profit / NDV including purchaser costs
My case study: 17.63 % (DEVELOPERS INPUT)
What is the Development Yield (on Rent)
Rent of the Commercial / Total Costs of Development
81,696 / 6,062,536
My Case Study: 1.35% (DEVELOPERS INPUT)
What is an Equivalent Yield?
What does the Nominal Mean?
Weighted average between term and reversion.
Nominal - When the rent is assumed to be paid in arrears
My Case Study: 8%
What is an Equivalent Yield (True)
Yield that assumes rent is paid in advance.
My case study: 8:42% (DEVELOPER INPUT)
What is an IRR?
Internal Rate of Return
Return on an investment.
The rate at which a cash flow must be discounted at to get a Net Present Value of Zero.
If NPV > 0 or = 0 then return has been met.
My Case Study : 25.3%
What is Rent Cover?
Rent cover:
Profit of whole development / Rent of commercial element
1,300,000 / 81,696
My Case study: Rent cover = 15 years 11 months
AMOUNT OF TIME IT WOULD TAKE FOR THE RENT OF THE COMMERCIAL TO REACH THE LEVEL OF PROFIT FOR WHOLE DEVELOPMENT
What does ‘Credit Rate 0% (Nominal Mean)
Money you are owed = 0
‘Other’ in Finance Rate
Relates to the Hold Over Period
(Period between completion and selling all flats)
6 Months Holding Over Period to sell flats
If I increase it, the cost would go up
What were the Timings for your appraisal?
Acquisition and Demolition - 3 Months
Construction - 12 months
Holding Over Period - 6 months
What is TPI? Did you link your CIL to this?
The tender price index (TPI)
Difference - 145 - 160 so need to get the percentage.
It measures the trend of contractors’ pricing levels in
accepted tenders, i.e. cost to client, for schemes let on a lump sum basis built up from rates and quantities.
Depends on the year.
Tarrif - 32 - 42 psf - percentage increase.
When was the Planning Permission Granted?
24 April 2018
Took them just under a year
Did you consider Help-to-Buy in your report?
Yes but since only 3 units were below £600,000 I did not consider it a big factor influencing supply and demand.
I therefore anticipated the units would take longer to sell.
What was your GDV of the Residential?
£6.5 million
What was your GDV of the Commercial
£945,000
What was your combined GDV
£7.4 million
What were your Purchaser Costs?
Stamp Duty, Legal Fees, Estate Agency Fees + VAT
5%) (1% sales) (0.5% legal) (VAT on sales and legal 0.3%
What was the Rateable Value of the Current Building
£31,500
Due to be demolished so needs to be re-evaluated.
Describe Peckham as a location
Peckham has a mixture of residential, restaurants, bars and pubs. It is a lively area that more and more people are moving to and is becoming increasingly expensive.
What Due Diligence / Statutory Enquiries did you undertake in your report
- No EPC
- Tenure
- Planning
- Highways - assumed no highway proposals that may have an affect
- Flood Risk - none
- Contamination - report stated that there was no asbestos and no other contamination.
- Business rates
- Coal Mining
- Invasive Plants - JK, Giant Hogweed, Himalayan Balsam.
What did the development consist of?
9 Residential Dwellings and 4 B1 Commercial Units
3 x 2 bedroom flats
2 x 2 bedroom Duplex
4 x 3 bedroom houses
What specification were the apartments?
What features were of higher specification?
They were of high specification, all had outside space.
- Double glazing, aluminium frames
- Large outside space (balconies)
- Developer gave me an order form for what they would usually do in a development of this kind - an example would be oak flooring.
What was the Net to Gross Area
Net was 80% of Gross.
What is B1 Use and where are the definitions for Use Classes?
Town and Country Planning (Use Classes) Order
B1 = Business Use
Describe the two developments that you used for your comparable evidence for 2 bedroom apartments?
2-4 Woods Road
Development of 122 one to three bedroom apartments. Worse spec located closer to transport links and closer to amenities such as restaurants.
If it weren’t for the railway lines I would anticipate subject site would achieve higher values.
Catcher Building
Development of 31 apartments from studios - 3-bedroom flats. Very high specification and better location with amenity space too.
Subject site achieve higher
Describe the most reliable comparable Caulfield Road?
Why did you think it was the best comp?
Refurbished to a high standard in a slightly better location. It was a Victorian terraced house with a garden.
It was large in size, was a recent transaction, and had been newly refurbished.
What does SL mean on your site plan?
SL = Sluice
Sliding gate to control flow of water
What does MP mean on your site plan?
Milepost
What does the purple dotted line mean on your site plan?
Road under construction
What scale is your site plan?
1: 1,250
What scale is your Situation Plan?
1: 10,000
What scale is your Location Plan?
1 : 25,000 m
How did you deal with the New Build Premium?
I used comparable evidence of new build schemes and formed the opinion of my values.
Why did you only conduct a sensitivity anlaysis on the residential element of the development?
The residential element was the largest section of the development and therefore I felt it would be more appropriate to advise my client on the changes to the residential GDV and Build Costs.
Why did you need to include purchase costs?
I used NIY in my calculation for my Commercial Element
Was your contingency a developers contingency or a contractors contingency?
Contractors.
I noted that you inspected this site, did you note anything in particular?
I externally inspected the site looking for:
- Access points
- Contamination
- Surrounding Area
- Walked the boundary
Did not inspect internally as it was due to be demolished.
Where did you get your land comparables from?
Costar
If you increased the timeline, either the build time or the holding over period, how would that affect your valuation?
It would reduce my MV as it would mean more interest would be accrued on the loan
What do you understand by Terms of Engagement
Terms of Engagement set out the obligations and expectations.
It forms the contract that both parties must stick to.