All Topics Flashcards
What is prevalence?
What is it affected by?
What is point prevalence?
Number of current cases at a given moment.
Increased by prolonging lives of sufferers.
Decreased by cures and deaths.
No of sufferers/No at risk
What is the crude death rate?
What is the age-specific death rate?
No of deaths per 1000 population
No of deaths per 1000 in an age group
What are the four disadvantages of case controlled studies?
- Only estimates relative risk
- No absolute incidence rates
- Often prone to recall and selection bias
- Can’t be sure exposure preceeds outcome
What is the incidence?
How do you calculate the incidence rate?
No. of new cases in a given time
Rate=number of new cases/person-years
Person-years=Number of people observed x Number of years observed
What three things can apparent associations results from?
- Chance
- Bias: Selection and Information Bias
- Confounders
What are Confidence Intervals?How do you calculate them?
Values you can be 95% sure the true value lies between.
- Upper = Observed x error factor
- Lower = Observed/error factor
What are the 6 uses of mortality data?
- Identifies cause of death to analyse patterns
- Identifies health problems to inform services
- Uses as incidence date for rapid diseases
- Errors from omissions
- Incorrect diagnoses
- ‘Fashions’ in diagnosis
State and define the fertility determinants (fertility, fecundity, conceptions)
What is fertility increased and decreased by?
Fecundity = Physical ability to reproduces
Fertility = Realisation of fecundity
Conceptions = Live births + miscarriages + abortions
Increased by sexual activity + economic climate
Decreased by contraception and abortions
What is publication bias?
Studies with significant/favourable results are more likely to be published
What are the disadvantages of using historical controls? (3)
- May have been treated differently
- Less information about controls makes confounder adjustment difficult
- Comparison with patients can overestimate the benefits of a new treatment
What are population estimates?
Applying what’s known abouts births, deaths and migrations to the present population
What are the characteristics of the ideal outcome? (12, but divide into 6 groups of two)
Appropriate: to patient, clinician, society
Valid: reasonably linked to treatments compared
Specific
Reliable: different people in different settings with same results
Simple and sustainable: repeatable
Cheap and timely: not expensive or long
What are the four advantages of case-controlled?
- Study rare diseases
- Study range of exposures
- Cheap
- Quick
What is the paradox of the commons, you sexy beast?
The principal that the optimum stratagey from an individual is not the optimum strategy for the community?
Why are there losses to follow up in studies? How can they be minimised? (four)
Clinical condition may necessitate removal or may choose to leave
- Make follow up practical and convenient
- Make clear commitment involved at start of study
- Avoid coercion
- Maintain contact
What are the three types of data?
Binary exposure
Several categories
Continuous
What is a case controlled study?
Classify on the basis of disease and the compare exposure status
What three factors contribute to population size?
Births, deaths and migration
What are the three types of blinding?
What are its benefits?
What are its difficulties?
Single, double and triple
Benefits = Avoids bias
Difficulties = Surgery, lifestyle interventions
What are observed quantities?
What is random variation?
What is affected by random variation to produce observed quantities?
Values that depart from their true value via random variation e.g. incidence, prevalence
Fluctuations in disease patterns that can’t be explained by systematic causes
True underlying tendencies
What is systematic variation?
How can it be used?
What is the problem with it?
Risk varies systematically throughout population
Can give clues as to cause of disease
Can confound relationships between 2 variables
What are the seven disadvantages to cohort studies?
Resource intensive Time consuming Expensive Risk of high number of loss --> Survivor bias Ethical dilemmas Can't study rare diseases Difficulty with confounding variable
What is the problem with incidence and prevalence?
They assume that all members of a population run the same rish, which they don’t
Why use random allocation when designing studies?
Minimise selection biase and confounders
What is a confounder?
How do you minimise them?
Affects both exposure and outcome, but does not lie on causal pathway
Matching using important confounders e.g. Age, Sex and ethnicity
What is the primary outcome?What is the secondary outcome?
Sample size
Side effects
What is selection bias?How do you minimise it?
Specifically selecting cases and controls so more likely to achieve desired result
Cases representative of cases
Controls representative of population
What are the ethical issues behind placebos? (3)
- Deception
- Should only be used when no standard treatment available for comparison
- Patients should be fully informed that they may receive a placebo