All Kmowldege Flashcards
3 decisions of investment managers
Investment principle
Capital structure principle (financing)
Dividend principle
Managers 4 objectives to deal with
Shareholders
Bond holders
Society
Financial markets
Managers vs shareholders
T: shareholders have complete control over management
R: they use AGM and board of Directors to control management and reduce the separation of ownerships an agency issues. But in reality these methods are not very effective
Managers vs bond holders
T. No conflict of interest
P. Bond holders want them to take less risky projects to ensure they receive there payment back
Managers vs financial markets
T. Managers releases info all on time, and are rewarded for doing so, in order for the true value of the firm to be evaluated. Short term gimmicky accounting trick do not work and will be punished
P. Managers do withhold information and release it when it is most suitable to the firm, market inefficiencies and asymmetric information
Managers vs society
T. All social costs and benefits can be traced back to the firm
P. In reality this is not the case and firm can cause damage and good and not be recognised
Environmental costs - water pollution, dirty energy
Social benefit- increased access points, development, employment in shit areas
NPV
Accept project if NPV is positive
Use expected future cash flows and discount them
IRR
Accept if IRR is greater than the cost of capital if project
IRR determined when NPV is equal to zero
IRR good
IRR is unaffected by scale so good for comparison as it’s a percentage
Why is higher NPV despite having lower IRR
Due to growth rate, main cash flows are relatively delayed
IRR failures
No IRR at all if NPV always positive or negative
If benefits occur before the cost then NPV is increasing as a function of discount rate
Multiple IRR, if cash flow signs change more than once
Profitability index good
If projects scalable then choose project with highest PI and scale project to exhaust BC
If there budget constraint where firm can either do one or the other then, they choose project with highest NPV
PI bad
If resources aren’t fully exhausted via PI then choose projects which result in highest NPV
Multiple resource constraints can cause PI ranking to break down
When is deprictiation relevant for cash flows
Reduces the taxable profit of the firm
Cannibalism
New project affects the sales of a previous project
Opportunity cost s
Resources used to generate cash flows if project wasn’t taken
3 ways to analyse projects
Break even analysis
Sensitivity analysis
Scenario analysis
Break even analysis
Levels where NPV equals zero
Sensitivity analysis
Determining what may happen given some shocks and how the NPV may change if assumptions are dropped
Scenario analysis
Calculation of probably outcomes based sensitivity analysis
Objective probabilities or subjective probabilities
Cost of capital
Weighted average of equity and debt cost
Increases with increased risk
Cost of debt
What firm pays on long term borrowing
Cost of equity
What investors expect return to be
Investment risk
Systematic and unsystematic risk
Company risk
Business risk - faced by all equity holders of companies (unstable economy = increased business risk)
Financial risk- only faced by equity holders in leveraged firms (due to d financing being more risky)
Security market line (above/ below)
Stock above line then it has excessive return and is undervalued
Stock below line, smaller return and over valued
Why is debt holder risk less than equity holders
Debt holders are first to be paid in event of bankruptcy
Intrinsic value
Gain/loss that would be made today is option exercise today
Equity as option
Equity can be thought of as a call option
With strike price equal to value of debt
What happens if firms assets is less than total debt
Then firm doesn’t have money to pay shareholders so stock price goes to zero and firm goes bankrupt
Types of real options
Option to delay - value if underlying variable are trending in favourable direction
Expand - value if demand is greater than expected
Abandon - value if demand is less than expected
Payoff for abandon option
Value of liquidating assets - value from continuing
Payoff from delayed option
Value of project exceeds value of delay
BSM comparison
Needs 5 inputs
Restrictive assumptions