Aggression

Question 1

How often must a pot sized bluff be good?

Answer 1

50%

Question 2

How often must a 2/3 pot sized bluff be good?

Answer 2

40%

Question 3

How often must a 1/2 pot sized bluff be good?

Answer 3

33%

Question 4

How often must a 1/3 pot sized bluff be good?

Answer 4

25%

Question 5

Hero: 3d 4s
Villain: Fold- 78, Call- KJ, AJ, AT
Board: 5d 6c Th Jh Jd
Is a 1/2 pot bet profitable?

Answer 5

A 1/2 pot bet must work more than 33% of the time. Villain is folding 78, which totals 16 combinations. The calling hands consist of 28 combinations. 16/44 = .36. The bluff is profitable.

Question 6

Hero: 5s 4s
Villain: Fold- 78, Call- JJ, QQ, KK, AA
Board: 6s 8s 2h Th 9h
Is a pot bet profitable?

Answer 6

A pot bet must work more than 50% of the time. Villain is folding 12 combinations. He’s calling with 24 combinations. 12/36 = .33. The bluff is not profitable.

Question 7

Hero: 2h 2d
Villain: Fold- 99, 67, T9 Call- AT, KT, AQ
Board: 6s 3h Th Qs Js
Is a 2/3 pot bet profitable?

Answer 7

A 2/3 pot bet must work more than 40% of the time. Villain is folding 30 combinations. He’s calling with 36. 30/66 = .45. The bluff is profitable.

Question 8

Hero: Qs As
Villain: Fold- 89, Call- JT, J9, KT, 33
Board: 6s 3h 8h Js Kd
Is a 1/3 pot bet profitable?

Answer 8

A 1/3 pot bet must work more than 25% of the time. Villain is folding 12 combinations. He’s calling with 39 combinations. 12/51 = .24. The bluff is not profitable.

Question 9

Hero: 3d 4s
Villain: Tc 9c
Board: 5d 6c Th Jh
Pot was $10. We shove $20. How often does villain have to fold?

Answer 9

Our equity is around 16%. The final pot will be $50.
50 * .16 = $8
$20 - $8 = $12
We’re risking $12 to win $10. This is a little over x to win x, so we need home to fold 55% of the time.

Question 10

Hero: 5s 4s
Villain: Ad Ac
Board: 6s Qs Kh
Pot was $10. We shove $30. How often does villain have to fold?

Answer 10

Our equity is around 39%. The final pot will be $70.
70 * .39 = $27.3
$30 - $27 = $3
We’re risking $3 to win $10. This is x to win just over 3x, so we’ll need to have him fold about 23% of the time.

Question 11

Hero: As Kh
Villain: Tc 8c
Board: 6s 3h Th
Pot was $10. We shove $24. How often does villain have to fold?

Answer 11

Our equity is around 24%. The final pot will be $60.
60 * .24 = $14.4
$24 - $14 = $10
We’re risking $10 to win $10. This is x to win x, so we need him to fold more than 50% of the time.