AF_L2 Flashcards

1
Q

What is an option?

A
  • A contract giving the right, not obligation
  • Call: right to buy
  • Put: right to sell
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2
Q

Risk-neutral probability

A
  • Formula: p = ( (1 + r) − d ) / ( u − d )
  • Eliminates risk preferences
  • Used in option pricing
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3
Q

Replicating portfolio

A
  • Combine stock + loan to mimic option payoffs
  • Delta measures shares to buy or sell
  • Matches payoff of the actual option
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4
Q

Delta (Δ)

A
  • Rate of change of option value w.r.t. underlying price
  • Δ = (Cu − Cd) / (Su − Sd)
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5
Q

One-step binomial model

A
  • Stock can move up (u) or down (d)
  • Value option via replicating or risk-neutral methods
  • Simple discrete approach
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6
Q

Black–Scholes formula

A
  • C = S·N(d₁) − PV(EX)·N(d₂)
  • d1 and d2 depend on σ, r, t
  • Continuous-time limit of binomial model
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7
Q

Early exercise considerations

A
  • American call on non-dividend stock rarely early-exercised
  • Dividends can make early exercise beneficial
  • Puts often exercised early if underlying price is very low
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8
Q

Real options

A
  • Flexibility in projects (expand, abandon, delay)
  • Similar pricing logic to financial options
  • Value arises from uncertainty + capacity to adapt
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9
Q

Option to expand

A
  • Invest now → future right to scale up
  • More valuable with higher uncertainty
  • Often seen in R&D or new markets
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10
Q

Option to abandon

A
  • Like a put on the project
  • Exercise if future prospects are unfavourable
  • Limits downside risk
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11
Q

Timing option

A
  • Right to delay an investment
  • Useful if payoffs are uncertain
  • Balances waiting for information vs. immediate returns
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12
Q

Flexible production

A
  • Switch inputs or outputs as prices change
  • Resembles a portfolio of calls and puts
  • Increases resilience to volatility
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13
Q

Key takeaway

A
  • Option pricing tools apply to real projects
  • Identify underlying asset, strike, maturity
  • Use risk-neutral approach or replicating portfolio
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