A: Financial Modeling, Projections, and Analysis Flashcards
The payback period computes the length of time required to recover the initial cash investment (i.e., pay yourself back).
When the annual cash flows are equal, the payback period is computed by dividing the initial investment by the annual cash flow.
The payback computation does not consider present value, salvage value, or depreciation.
For capital budgeting purposes, management would select a high hurdle rate of return for certain projects because management:
wants to factor risk into its consideration of projects.
Capital budgeting is the analysis of investment decisions concerning plant facilities and equipment that have a useful life of more than one year, the allocation of resources to investment opportunities in an attempt to obtain the maximum return to the firm, and long-term planning decisions regarding the acquisition and financing of investments.
Capital budgeting attempts to answer questions like the following:
Is this machine profitable?
Which of these machines is most profitable?
Is it profitable to add a product, segment, or new market?
Should a research and development (or advertising, etc.) project be implemented?
Should existing debt be extinguished?
Relevant data for capital budgeting is cash-flow (future) oriented. Past (sunk) costs are irrelevant. Accrual accounting (i.e., depreciation) is irrelevant, although the tax effect of depreciation is relevant.
Relevant data includes:
・initial investment required,
・future net cash inflows or net savings in cash outflows, and
・gain or loss on the disposal of old equipment.
Approaches to capital budgeting commonly used include:
・net present value, ・time-adjusted rate of return, ・payback period, ・accounting rate of return, and ・internal rate of return.
Internal rate of return (IRR) is the method used to determine the rate of return that causes the present value of the net cash flows to equal the initial investment. It is a way of evaluating an investment as the present value of the net future cash flows from the investment, expressed as:
Investment = PV (i,t)
…where i (the rate at which the cash flows are discounted) is unknown.
An acceptable or beneficial proposal is one for which the IRR is equal to or greater than the firm’s predetermined minimum acceptable rate of return on the investment.
The Profitability Index is calculated by dividing the present values of the cash flows after the initial investment by that investment. It takes both the size of the original investment and the value of the discounted cash flows into account.
Present Value of Cash Flows
After Initial Investment
————————— = Profitability Index
Initial Investment
This allows the comparison of various projects with differing initial investment amounts. Note that any project with a positive NPV will, by definition, have a Profitability Index greater than 1.
The Profitability Index is often used to compare two or more mutually exclusive projects. Potential projects might be mutually exclusive in that they represent viable options to accomplish the same task. Other constraints might include a limited capital budget or lack of adequate resources to accomplish multiple projects. The alternative project with the highest profitability index is the most desirable.
project screening:
・Payback method
・Time-adjusted rate of return
・Accounting rate of return
The other choices are all screening methods. Note that the payback method and the accounting rate of return do not consider the time value of money.
project ranking:
Profitability index
PV benefits PI = ------------- Cost
The profitability index is a variation on which of the following capital budgeting models?
Net present value
If the net present value of a capital budgeting project is positive, it would indicate that the:
rate of return for this project is greater than the discount percentage rate used in the net present value computation.
Net present value (NPV) is defined as the excess of present value of cash inflows from a project over the discounted net cash outflows.
A positive net present value indicates that the project’s rate of return is greater than the discount (bundle) rate of interest. Projects promising a positive NPV should be undertaken if funds are available.
The accounting rate of return is a capital budgeting method or technique which disregards the time value of money.
It is not a rate used in a net present value analysis.
cost of capital, hurdle rate, and required rate of return—describes a rate used in net present value analysis.
Hurdle rate and required rate of return are synonyms.
Yipann would be indifferent to the investment at its internal rate of return, i.e., its target rate of return at which the present value of the investment is zero. The average annual cash inflow at the IRR of 24% which gives PV = 0 is (compute the PV of annuity of $1.00 at the end of five periods):
PV average annual cash flow = PV initial cost
(average annual cash flow)(2.7454) = $105,000 (1.0)
= $105,000 / 2.7454
= $38,246
Each of the following will affect a company’s return on investment:
raising prices as demand remains unchanged.
decreasing expenses.
decreasing investment in assets.
Return on investment (ROI) focuses on optimal use of invested capital. Net income from the income statement is divided by invested capital from the balance sheet; therefore, raising prices, decreasing expenses, and decreasing investment in assets would all affect ROI.
The payback reciprocal can be used to approximate a project’s:
internal rate of return if the cash flow pattern is relatively stable.
Payback reciprocal = 1/Payback period
Where:
Payback = Net cash invested/Annual cash inflow
If the cash flow pattern is relatively stable, the payback reciprocal number serves as a good approximation of a present value of an annuity table factor. Using the payback number and a PV of an Annuity table, it becomes a relatively simple matter to look up an interest rate corresponding to the appropriate number of years’ life of a project. This interest rate will be a close approximation of the internal rate of return.
The recommended technique for evaluating projects when capital is rationed and there are no mutually exclusive projects from which to choose is to rank the projects by:
profitability index.
The profitability index is a ratio obtained by calculating the total present value of all future net cash inflows and dividing that by the total cash outflow. This ratio is also called the excess present value index.
This method is considered superior to accounting rate of return, payback, and internal rate of return because it gives full weight to the time value of money and provides a ranking of project profitability.
The profitability index is a more realistic ranking tool than internal rate of return because it assumes reinvestment at cost of capital rather than at the internal rate of return. This is particularly important when capital is rationed.