8 - Bayesian Networks Flashcards
Bayesian Networks
Representation of conditional independence by a DAG
What can be inferred from conditional independence by Bayesian networks?
Joint probability
Monte Carlo Simulation
Approximation Technique
Trade-off of Monte Carlo Simulation
Accuracy Inefficiency
What are probabilities defining?
P. summarize the agent’s belief relative to the evidence.
Why do we use Monte Carlo Simulation?
Exact inference computationally too expensive for large Bayesian Networks
Disadvantage of Enumeration
Inefficiency due to repeated computation (Evaluation Tree)
Independent Probability
No incoming arrows/probabilities (Start Node)
Conditional Independence in logical terms
Cond. Ind.: P(X|Y;Z) = P(X|Z) [y dependent on z]
Sample Space
Set of possible outcomes
Event Space
Contains all possible combinations and outcomes
Advantage of Likelihood Weighting
Avoids the inefficiency of rejection sampling by only generating events including the evidence e.
Disadvantage of Rejection Sampling
Expensive for small P(e)
What is the problem of exact inference in large Bayesian networks?
Computationally too Expensive
Types of exact inference
Enumeration & Variable Elimination