7.2 Effect on labour market, changes in factor price Flashcards
What are the 2 types of technological change which affects labour market?
- Product demand shifts caused by invention of products
- Change in production process caused by invention of new processes or inputs
Normally focus on second one (automation)
- Many changes showed in data may be caused by first, and many consequences may be similar
How do we model automation?
Y = f(L,K)
- Represent function with isoquants - combinations of K and L
Properties:
- Downward sloping
- Dont intersect
- Higher isoquants have higher Y values
- Convex to the origin
Slope of an isoquant is the change in capital / change in labour
( MPL / MPK ) OR (DY/DL / DY/DK)
The absolute value of this slope is the marginal technical rate of substitution
- Isoquants imply a diminishing MRS between L and K
What are isocosts
Show the firms production costs:
C = wL + rK
- Isocost connects all points with equal costs
Rearrange in same (K,L) as the isoquant, we get
k = c/r - w/r*L
Intercept is C/r - amount capital firm uses if L = 0
- Slope is the ratio of input prices
At what point are costs minimised? What does this NOT imply?
At the point of tangency, where slopes are equal:
MPL/MPK = w/r
Means last £ spent on labour is as valuable as the laast £ spent on capital
MPL/w = MPK/r
Profit maximisin firms minimise costs, but doenst imply profit maximisation:
- Determined by MC = MR condition
How does the model relate to technological change?
Tells us how many workers and capital a firm uses given
- Available technology
- Price of L and K
How can we add technological change to the model?
- Simplest idea is that technological change is relative to factor prices, but this does not capture the most important feature of technology
- Technology also changes what we can produce from a given set of inputs and how we can substitute one input for another
- In other words, technology changes the production function
Increase in technological change:
- Interest rates go down, isocost slope is steeper - substitutes labour for capital, substitution effect
- Inputs cheaper, firm expands production, shifts isoquant out - new isocost tangental to new isocost - scale effect (income effect)
Both mean using more capital - the scale effect increases labour but the substitution effect does not
- Size of the effect is dependents - scale could be bigger
Dependent:
- Elasticity - depends on curvative/elasticity of isoquants
- How easily firms can replace workers with machines
How does this respond when isoquants are perfect substitutes or complements
Perfect substitutes:
- Isocost unitary negative correlation, isoquant below it
If K > L, firm sacks all L and moves from maximum labour and substitutes to K
- Labour loses out
Perfect complements
- A fixed K:L ratio
- Tangency point cannot change if prices change
- Technological change good for workers as it drops interest rates, makes it pivot in favour of labour
- Also known as the Leontif production function
How do you calculate the elasticity of substitution? What do different values indicate?
Responsiveness of factor demand to change sin factor prices:
(delta) = (%change in K/L) / (%change in w/r)
delta > 0 since if w/r rises then K/L cannot fall
delta = 0: perfect complements
delta = infinity: perfectly substitutes
delta = 1: unitary
0 < delta < 1 : elastic
1 < delta < infinity : inelastic
How do you calculate factor demand with many inputs?
- Straightforward to extend basic model to incorporate many inputs
- e.g. using skilled and unskilled labour
Production function now:
Y = f(X1,X2,…,Xn)
The effect of a change in price of input j on input i depends on the size of substitution and scale effects
for example:
- Computers cheaper, firms substitute away from workers
- OUtput increases so firms use more computers and workers
How do you calculate cross elasticity of demand
(delta)ij = %change in xi / %change in pj
If positive they are substitutes
If negative they are complemenets
What is the capital-skill complementary hypothesis?
Unskilled labour and machinery often thought to be substitutes
- If capital is cheaper, firms use less unskilled labour, deltaij > 0
Skilled labour and machinery often thought to be complements
- If capital gets cheaper, firms use more skilled labour deltaij < 0
Might seem obvious that technological change is a threat to unskilled workers, however:
- Technological change not always and everywhere substitute for unskilled workers
- Scale effects may be very important