7.1 An intro to Discrete Probability Flashcards
Probability vocab:
- Experiment
- Sample Space.
- event
experiment:
A procedure that yields one of the given set of possible outcomes.
Sample space and event:
Sample space: set of possible outcomes.
Event: subset of Sample space.
Laplace’s definition of the probability of an event with finitely many possible outcomes:
If S is a finite nonempty sample space of equally likely outcomes, and E is an event, that
is, a subset of S, then the probability of E is
p(E) = |E|/|S|
THM:
probability of complement
proof too
Let E be an event in a sample space S. The probability of the event E = S − E, the complementary event of E, is given by
p(E) = 1 − p(E).
Probability of Union:
proof too
Let E1 and E2 be events in the sample space S. Then
p(E1 ∪ E2) = p(E1) + p(E2) − p(E1 ∩ E2).
Probabilistic reasoning
A common problem is determining which of two events is more likely.
Think of the monty hall 3 door puzzle.