7. Fiscal and Monetary Policies Flashcards

1
Q

what are the 2 types of fiscal policy

A

fiscal policy= taxations and gov spending
*Automatic fiscal policy: Responds to economic conditions without direct government intervention (e.g., tax revenues changing with GDP, unemployment benefits increasing during a downturn).
-> Unemployment benefits: Automatically increase during recessions, helping to stabilize incomes.
-> Progressive taxation: As incomes rise, people pay higher taxes, which helps moderate inflation.
*Discretionary fiscal policy: Active government decisions to adjust spending or taxation.

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2
Q

def receipts; outlays; Budget Balance; Supply-side effects

A

*Government income (taxes, fees, etc.).
*Government expenditures.
*Surplus (receipts > outlays), deficit (outlays > receipts).
*The impact of policies, innovations, or external factors on the production side of an economy, influencing the availability of goods, services, and productive resources

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3
Q

Effects of fiscal policy on Aggregate Supply & Demand (AS-AD Model)

A

Tax cuts boost supply (incentivize work and investment).
Government spending increases demand but may crowd out private investment.

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4
Q

what is monetary policy

A

Central bank actions to control money supply and interest rates.
-> Objectives: Price stability, high employment, stable economic growth.

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5
Q

what tools are used in monetary policy + how do they handle recession and inflation

A

*Bank rate (interest rate): Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, increasing spending and investment.
*Monetary base (money supply): Includes cash in circulation and bank reserves.

*Inflation: Central bank raises interest rates to cool down demand.
*Recession: Central bank lowers rates to stimulate borrowing and investment.

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6
Q

def comparative advantage

A

Countries or individuals should specialize in producing goods where they have a lower opportunity cost.
Trade allows both to consume beyond their individual production possibilities.

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7
Q

def absolute advantage

A

If one country/person is more productive at producing a good, they have an absolute advantage.
-> more efficient at producing a good BUT doesn’t determine whether trade is beneficial (comparative advantage)

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8
Q

what is specialization

A

Countries specialize in what they do best and trade with others, expanding the Production Possibility Frontier (PPF) beyond what they could achieve alone.

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9
Q

Why Currency Exchange is Necessary in financing international trade

A

When countries trade, they often use different currencies. This requires converting currencies in the foreign exchange market, where the price of one currency relative to another is determined.

-> exchange rate= the value of one currency for the purpose of conversion to another

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10
Q

what are the exchange rate movments while financing international trade

A

Appreciation: If a currency’s value increases compared to another, its exchange rate rises. This makes exports more expensive and imports cheaper (inflation bcs when purchasing power decrease so real value of money decreases)
Depreciation: If a currency’s value decreases, its exchange rate falls. This makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive.(deflation)

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11
Q

what is a balance of payments (BoP)

A

A country’s international financial transactions are recorded in it
-> consist of 3 key accounts:
1. Current Account (CA)
-Tracks exports (X) and imports (M) of goods and services, transfer and income flow.
-trade surplus (X > M) has a positive CA and trade deficit (X < M) has a negative CA.
2. Capital Account (KA)
-Records private financial transactions, such as foreign investments, loans, and business purchases.
-If foreign investors buy assets in a country, KA increases.
-If a country’s businesses invest abroad, KA decreases.
3. Reserve Assets (RA)
-official borrowing/lending by central banks to influence exchange rates and stabilize the economy.
-Central banks may buy or sell foreign currency reserves to adjust the exchange rate.

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12
Q

BoP equation

A

BoP must always balance:
CA+KA+RA=0
-> bcs of double bookkeeping
-> If a country runs a trade deficit (negative CA), it must borrow from abroad (positive KA or RA) to cover the gap. Conversely, a trade surplus leads to financial outflows.

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13
Q

give the equation of current account balance

A

GDP=Y=C+I+G+(X−M)
and GDP=Y=C+S+T where S (private saving), T(taxes)

-> exports-imports+net income-net transfer

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14
Q

Government budget balance in current account

A

T-G: taxes collected by the government- gov expenditure
If T > G (budget surplus), the government is saving money, which can contribute to a current account surplus.
If T < G (budget deficit), the government is borrowing, which may lead to a current account deficit.

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15
Q

Private sector balance- current account surplus or deficit?

A

S-I: personal saving-investment
If S > I, households and businesses are saving more than they invest, contributing to a current account surplus.
If S < I, the country is borrowing from abroad to finance investment, leading to a current account deficit.

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16
Q

in the short run, how to fix current account deficit?

A

in the short run,
-current account deficit (importing more goods and services than it is exporting)
to correct: increase exports or reduce imports.
->through currency depreciation: a fall in the value of the country’s currency relative to others:
1. exports cheaper for foreign buyers → Demand for exports increases.
2. Imports more expensive for domestic consumers → Demand for imports decreases.

17
Q

long run effects of exchange rates (import and exports)

A

In the long run, the real exchange rate (adjusted for inflation) remains stable.
As prices and wages adjust, the temporary boost to exports fades, and depreciation no longer improves net exports.

18
Q

how does Fiscal policy influence the economy’s long-term productive capacity and economic growth

A

*Taxes on income and consumption impact labor supply decisions: Higher taxes-> reduce the incentive to work, affecting total labor supply and productivity.
*Production function: Fiscal policy can shift the production function by influencing labor, capital, and technology, which are key determinants of economic growth.

19
Q

what are the effects of taxes on capital income (if high inflation)

A

*Nominal interest rate dependency: Since taxes on capital income are based on the nominal interest rate (which includes inflation), high inflation can increase the tax burden, even if real returns remain the same.
*Lower saving and investment: Higher capital taxes discourage savings and investment, slowing capital accumulation and reducing the long-term growth rate of real GDP.

20
Q

The AS-AD model helps analyze how fiscal policy affects economic growth, employment and inflation:

A

*Economic growth: Government spending or tax cuts can shift AD, influencing short-run output.
*Inflation: If expansionary fiscal policy increases AD too much, inflation rises.
*Employment: Fiscal stimulus can reduce unemployment, but excessive intervention may lead to overheating and inflation.

21
Q

def automatic stabilizers

A

mechanisms built into government budgets, without any vote from legislators, that increase spending or decrease taxes when the economy slows.
-Tax Revenues: When real GDP decreases, wages and firm profits fall, reducing tax revenues (T↓). During economic booms, tax revenues rise.
-Means-Tested Spending: When real GDP declines, government spending on welfare programs (e.g., unemployment benefits, food stamps) increases, helping stabilize incomes.

22
Q

what are the 2 key mechanisms of discretionary fiscal policy

A

*Government Expenditure Multiplier
When the government increases spending (G), it raises AD, leading to more consumption (C) and possibly boosting GDP.
However, increased government spending can raise real interest rates, leading to the crowding-out effect, where private investment (I) declines because borrowing becomes more expensive.

  • Tax Multiplier
    A tax cut (-T) increases disposable income, leading to higher consumption and demand.
    However, not all of the tax cut gets spent—some of it is saved, so the tax multiplier is smaller than the government expenditure multiplier.
    The crowding-out effect still applies here, as more demand can push up interest rates, discouraging investment.
23
Q

def tax/ fiscal* multiplier

A

measures the change in real GDP resulting from a change in taxes (T).

24
Q

what are the supply effects of discretionary fiscal policy

A

*Tax cuts (-T) → Higher GDP & Employment: Lower taxes encourage work and investment, increasing both AS and AD.
*Government spending (+G) → Higher real interest rates → Lower investment (-I): More spending can stimulate demand but may not always boost production and job creation effectively.

25
challenges in discretionary fiscal policy
*in Theory: Policymakers can calculate the output gap and apply the right fiscal multipliers to correct it. *In Practice: -Timing is difficult: Delays in decision-making and implementation can reduce effectiveness. -Magnitude is uncertain: Estimating the exact impact of G and T changes is complex.
26
inflation targeting as a main monetary policy action (advantages and criticism of central banks targeting inflation)
🔹 Advantages: Creates clear expectations for businesses and consumers. Helps maintain price stability, reducing uncertainty. 🔹 Criticism: Focusing too much on inflation may harm employment and economic growth if interest rates are kept too high.
27
what are the monetary policy instruments? and how it impacts inflation
Central banks use different tools to influence the economy: 🔹 Bank Rate (Policy Interest Rate)= the interest rate the central bank charges commercial banks for borrowing money. -> If the central bank raises the bank rate, borrowing becomes more expensive, slowing down spending and investment (reducing inflation). -> If the central bank lowers the bank rate, borrowing becomes cheaper, encouraging spending and investment (boosting growth). 🔹 Monetary Base= the total amount of money in circulation plus bank reserves (money held by banks at the central bank). -> By increasing or decreasing the monetary base, the central bank controls the supply of money in the economy.
28
what is the monetary policy transmission mechanism
process by which changes in a central bank’s monetary policy—adjusting interest rates or altering the money supply—affect the broader economy
29
what does the monetary policy transmission mechansim affects
*Interest Rates and Exchange Rates *Money and Bank Loans *Long-Term Interest Rate & Loanable Funds *Recession and Inflation
30
explain interest rates and exchange rates as an effect of the monetary transmission mechanism
*interest rates fall: bank rate influences lending rates, commercial banks also lower their interest rates on loans and deposits *exchange rates depreciate: Lower interest rates make domestic assets (bonds, deposits) less attractive to foreign investors (because they offer lower returns) ->reducing demand for the domestic currency (As foreign investors move their capital elsewhere in search of higher returns), which lowers its value relative to other currencies. ->A weaker currency makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive
31
explain Recession vs. Inflation as an effect of the monetary transmission mechanism
🔹 During a Recession: Lower interest rates aim to stimulate economic activity by encouraging borrowing and spending. However, if confidence is low, businesses and consumers may not borrow and spend as expected, limiting the policy’s effectiveness. (cf for long run quantity theory of money Ricardo-Barro effect) 🔹 During Inflation: If inflation is too high, the CB raises interest rates to reduce borrowing and slow down spending, stabilizing price levels. High interest rates attract foreign capital, leading to currency appreciation and lower export demand (-X).
32
explain long-term interest rate (in comparaison to short-term) as an effect of the monetary transmission mechanism
*In the short run: -More bank loans (bcs cheaper so more) lead to an increase in the supply of loanable funds, which pushes long-term interest rates down. -Lower real interest rates encourage higher consumption (C) and investment (I) -> AD increases, boosting real GDP and price levels. *In the long run: -Interest rates are determined more by real economic factors (such as productivity, savings, and investment decisions). -The effects of monetary policy may fade over time, with inflation becoming a more significant concern.
33
explain money and bank loans as an effect of the monetary transmission mechanism
*Quantity of money supply increases: When interest rates fall, banks are more willing to lend, and businesses/consumers are more willing to borrow. *Supply of bank loans increases: Easier access to credit encourages more borrowing for I and C
34
what is the quantity theory of money
In the long run, excessive money supply growth could lead to inflation.
35
what are the 3 main schools of thoughts of macro economics
classical economics; keynesian economics; monetarist economics
36
explain classical economics as a school of thoughts of macro economics
*Key Idea: The economy is self-regulating and always tends toward full employment. *Market Efficiency: Business cycle fluctuations are natural adjustments of a well-functioning economy in response to external shocks. *Wages & Prices: The money wage rate adjusts quickly, ensuring that real GDP equals potential GDP at all times. *Implication for Policy: Since the economy self-adjusts, active government intervention is unnecessary. Keep taxes low, as high taxes discourage work and investment. 🔹 Criticism: Classical theory struggles to explain long periods of unemployment (e.g., the Great Depression).
37
explain keynesian economics as a school of thoughts of macro economics
*Key Idea: Left alone, the economy rarely operates at full employment due to demand-driven fluctuations. *AD & Expectations: Expectations influence AD the most—if businesses and consumers expect a recession, they reduce spending, causing actual economic decline. *Wages & Prices: Money wages are "sticky downward", meaning they do not fall easily even during a recession, preventing the labor market from adjusting quickly. -New Keynesian View: Prices of goods and services are also sticky, making short-run aggregate supply horizontal—meaning output changes more than prices. -> Implication for Policy: Active fiscal and monetary policy is needed to restore full employment. Governments should use spending (G) and tax policy (T) to boost demand in downturns. 🔹 Criticism: Too much government intervention can lead to inflation and inefficiencies.
38
explain monetarist economics as a school of thoughts of macro economics
*Key Idea: The economy is self-regulating, but only if monetary policy is stable and predictable. *Role of Money: The quantity of money (M) is the most important driver of AD. *Causes of Recessions: All recessions are caused by poor monetary policy decisions *Wages & Prices: Similar to Keynesians, money wages are sticky downward, but they believe that with stable money supply growth, the economy will naturally return to full employment. -> Implication for Policy: Avoid erratic monetary policy and keep the money supply growing at a steady rate. Keep taxes low to avoid disincentives to work and invest. Government intervention should be minimal beyond maintaining stable money supply growth. 🔹 Criticism: Monetarists underestimate the short-term instability of markets and the need for active intervention during crises.
39
why is economics relevant for IR scholars
*Economic literacy is essential Knowing basic economic concepts prevents us from being manipulated by policymakers. Every economic policy—minimum wage, trade deals, taxation, social security—is based on an economic theory that often justifies political decisions. Challenging the "No Alternative" Argument (TINA - There Is No Alternative) *Governments and corporations often justify policies as "the only way", but different economic theories suggest alternative solutions. Knowing these alternatives helps in critically evaluating policy choices. Interdisciplinary Nature of IR *IR is not just about politics—it integrates economics, sociology, and psychology. Government policy decisions, economic stability, and trade relations all impact international affairs.