7. Elections and referendums Flashcards

1
Q

What are the different types of voting systems?

A
  • First Past the Post (FPTP)
  • Supplementary Vote (SV)
  • Single Transferable vote (STV)
  • Additional Member System (AMS)
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2
Q

What are the advantages of FPTP?

A
  • Simple: voters put an X next to their preferred canidate
  • easy to understand
  • each constituency is represented by one MP
  • FPTP tends to produce 2 party system - clear choice
  • extremists parties find it difficult to win seats
  • tends to result in majority single party governments
  • governments are easily held accountable
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3
Q

What are the disadvantages of FPTP?

A
  • Millions of wasted votes
  • encourages tactical voting
  • choice of candiates is made by party but not voters
  • voters in safe seats can feel like there is no point in voting
  • ignore safe seat constituencies and focus on marginal seats
  • favours parties with concentrated geographical support
  • minor parties struggle to convince supporters to vote for them
  • UK has a multi-party system with a voting system designed for 2 parties
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4
Q

What is the Majoritarian system? - SV

A
  • Elections for the mayor of London
  • Police and Crime Commissioner elections
  • A canidate needs 50% + 1 vote to win
  • single member constituencies
  • if no canidate wins a majority from the first preferences, the second preferences of all but the top two canidates are counted
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5
Q

What is the Proportional system? - STV

A
  • Northern Ireland elections
  • seats are allocated in proportion to the number of votes received by each party
  • large multi-member constituencies
  • canidate needs a certain number of votes to win a seat
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6
Q

What is the Mixed system? - AMS

A
  • Elections to the Sottish parliament, National assembly for Wales
  • the greater proportion of seats in the legislature are elected using FPTP
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7
Q

What are the advantages of SV?

A

Increased legitimacy; representatives need to command broader support than under FPTP
- Choice: voters can vote for minor parties with their first preference and use their second preference for whichever front-runner they would most like to win

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8
Q

What are the disadvantages of SV?

A
  • Not proportional
  • v. difficult for minor parties to win
  • votes for anyone other than the two main canidates are still wasted
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9
Q

What is the advantages of STV?

A
  • Proportional: voters can support minor parties knowing their vote will count
  • Greatest choice: sing STV, voters can choose both the party and the individual canidate
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10
Q

What are the disadvantages of STV?

A
  • Coalition governments are highly likely: these may be weal or unstable
  • constituencies: the link between the voter and their representative is weaker as the constituencies are so large
  • complex counting system
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11
Q

What is the advantages of AMS?

A
  • Choice: voters can confidently vote for minor parties with their regional list vote
  • split ticket voting allows voters to choose one party for their constituency vote and a different party for their list vote
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12
Q

What are the disadvantages of AMS?

A
  • Does not deliver a fully proportional result, as the majority of the seats are FPTP
  • two classes of representative are elected: some represent constituencies, other larger regions
  • voters cannot choose between individual candidates on the closed list
  • majority governments are less likely than the FPTP
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13
Q

How does age effect voting behaviour?

A
  • 2017 age was the most important predictor of how people voted in the GE
  • Young people are more likely to vote Labour
  • every 10 years you are 10% point more likely to vote for Conservative
  • 2016 EU referendum 18-34 yr old majority voted to remain
  • Turnout increases with age: 57% 18-19 yr olds voted 2017 compared to 84% 70+
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14
Q

How does Class effect voting behaviour?

A
  • Traditionally, class was the main predictor e.g. Working class - labour upper/middle - upper
  • Middle class were more likely to vote remain in EU Referendum
  • the Labour Party - commonly seen as a party for the working classes - received 44% of the overall working class vote (social classes D and E) in the 2017 General Election. - HOWEVER, social classes have been moving away from their traditional party lines as was seen in the 2019 General Election where they same social classes D and E voted 47% for the Conservative Party and only 34% for Labour.
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15
Q

How does Gender effect voting behaviour?

A
  • Women were more likely to vote remain in the EU ref rather than men
  • 2010 election 30% of women aged 18-24 voted Conservative, while the corresponding figure for women over 55 was 42%.
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16
Q

How does Ethnicity effect voting behaviour?

A
  • BAME are significantly more likely to vote labour - 65% BAME 2017 voted Labour
  • BAME - 1997 80% voted Lab
17
Q

How does Region effect voting behaviour?

A
  • Rural English and Southern constituencies are more likely to vote Conserative
  • Conservative gains in 2005 were made almost exclusively in the south
  • 2010 - turnout:
    + turnout in the south-east and south-west was 68% and 69.1% respectively, while in the less affluent north-west it was 62.6%
18
Q

What are the theories on voters choice?

A
  • Rational choice theory
  • issue voting
  • valance issues
19
Q

What is rational choice theory?

A
  • Assumes that voters weigh up all the political options logically and vote for the party that will deliver the best result for them
20
Q

What is issue voting?

A
  • Voter prioritise one issue above all others and vote purely based on that issue
21
Q

What is valance issues?

A
  • Valence issues are those that are universally accepted to be important
  • voters choose a party based on how well they think the party will perform on those issues e.g. Cons & economy Lab & public services
  • Economy is probably the most important Valence issue
22
Q

1979 General election?

A
  • following Winter of Discontent
  • Lab (Callaghan) v Con (Thatcher)
  • 43 seat maj to Cons
  • MC more likely to vote Con WC more likely to vote Lab
  • More media focus on leaders - Thatcher used TV to raise profile
  • Sun switched to Con support
  • Cons - getting economy going again, lowering unemployment - “Labour isn’t working”
23
Q

1997 General election?

A
  • Cons in power since 1979 & Major’s gov tainted with sleaze
  • 179 seat maj to Lab
  • 70% BAME voters, 43% White - Lab
  • NEW LABOUR - getting rid of clause 4
  • Sun switched to Lab - Spin doctors managed Lab integrations with the media
  • Third way - designed to appeal to broad range of voters
  • Cons divided over Europe
  • Campagins focused on leaders
24
Q

2017 General Election?

A
  • Snap election by May - May expected to win
  • Hung parliament - cons lost 13 seats Lab gained 30 seats
  • 46% AB voted con 38% Lab
  • 41% DE voted con 44% Lab
  • 39% men voted lab 45% con
  • 73% BAME Lab 19% Con
  • Corbyn’s polcies highly criticised
  • Sun supported Con
  • Lab used social media to counter negative publicity
  • Cons focus on Brexit - Lab wanted to spend on public services
  • May lost her majority but won most seats - formed gov with DUP
  • Cons unable to deliver on Brexit
25
Q

What are the reasons for calling a referendum?

A
  • constitutional change - give specific mandate for planned constitutional change e.g. devolution
  • political forces - government may feel compelled to all a referendum if nationalists parties are gaining ground e.g. 2014 Scottish independence
  • party or government management - to settle an issue e.g. 1975 Lab divided over EEC
26
Q

UK EEC referendum 1975

A
  • lab PM - party divided over joiningg the EEC or not
  • 67% to stay
27
Q

UK EEC membership referendum 1975

A
  • lab PM - party divided over joining the EEC or not
  • 67% to stay
28
Q

Scottish and Welsh devolution referendum 1979

A
  • growing calls for devolution
  • did not meet the 40% threshold in Scotland and Wales voted against
29
Q

Scottish and Welsh devolution referendum 1997

A
  • introduction of Scottish parliament and Welsh assembly
  • Scotland 74% es
  • Wales - 50% turnout 50.3% yes
30
Q

Good Friday agreement referendum 1998

A
  • aimed to end the troubles
  • 71% yes
  • 81% turnout
31
Q

UK Alternative Vote referendum 2011

A
  • coalition agreement CON&LD
  • 68% voted to keep FPTP
  • 42% turnout
32
Q

Scottish independence referendum 2014

A
  • SNP wanted to have Scottish independence
  • 55% voted remain
  • 84.5% turnout
33
Q

UK EU membership

A
  • 2015 conservative manifesto promised an EU referendum
  • 52% remain
  • 72% turnout
34
Q

What are the positive impact of referendums on democracy?

A
  • enhance direct democracy
  • high turnout in some referendums - evidence that there is improved political participation
  • regular use of referendums since 1998 suggest that they have been an effective means of decision making
35
Q

What are the negative impacts of referendums on democracy?

A
  • governments still hold the power, not the people governments tend not to hold referendums that they think they might lose
  • low turnout in some referendums suggest that the public are not always engaged
  • referendums threaten parliamentary sovereignty and representative democracy
  • poor-quality campagins can mislead or confuse the public e.g. Bojo and Brexit referendum campaign (£350M a week to NHS)
  • referendums offer no protection against the tyranny of the majority