7. (+4) FUND MANAGEMENT Flashcards
ACTIVE SHARE
=[ SUM (Abs diff between weightings in portfolio vs BM)] /2
used to calc degree of active management
tracks disaparity between fund holdings and BM
low active share indicates close replication of index
Tracking error
Indicator of how actively fund is managed
measure of the risk in an investment portfolio that is due to active management decisions made
Max drawdown
Max peak to trough drop as in investor entered @ top and exited @ bottom
= bottom/top - 1 (%)
Active Bond Strats
Duration switching - changing portfolio duration in expectation of rising/falling rates. Rates down = bull market = increase duration (switch low D bonds for high) Rates up = bear market for bonds = reduce duration
Riding yield curve = sitting on curve - buying long dated and riding then selling before maturity and profit from declining yield over time (upwards sloping curve, price pull to par)
Buy beyond investment horizon + sell @ end of period
Bond switching
- policy switching - switch between disimilar bonds to take adv of anticipated changes in IR, yield curve, credit rating, sector, tax etc
- anomaly switching - switch between bonds with similar characteristics (duration/mat/coupon) but whose price/yields are out of line with eachother - will have to weight if there are big differences in duration. 1 for 1 = basic substitution swap
pure income yield pick up = selling stock with low yield and buying high (same JGRY)
-intermarket spread switch - capitalize on discrepancies in yield between bond sectors e.g. HY/IG, corp vs gov
HY bonds naturally less rate sensitive because duration lower
Passive bond strats
Cash flow matching/dedication - bonds purchased to match liabilities as they fall due, simple, can use coupon payments, T bills, gilt strips
Immunization/duration matching - buying portfolio of bonds with duration equal to any liabilities to immunize portfolio against IR movements - must constantly adjust portfolio composition
Multi period immunisation = complex funds w/multiple liabilities - match duration of diff bonds to various liab. PV of assets should be greater/=PV of liabilities
Barbell - invest in series of secs with more than one maturity - short dated and long dated. longer dated = higher attractive yield and short dated creates reinvestment ops
Ladder - buying secs with varying maturities - series of maturities provides options for withdrawal/reinvestment - reduces sensitivity to IR risk. Lock in sec of shorter dated and higher return of longer dated
Focused/Bullet - bonds with maturities/durations close to that of liability
Horizon/Combination matching - part CF matching part immunization hybrid - CF match early liabilities (12m) and immunize at average duration for remaining investment horizon.
Active equity strategies
Active = careful selection/timing of investments - often mandated to beat index benchmarks using skilled analysis
Value investing
Growth investing
GARP
Momentum
Technical analysis
Fundamental analysis
Quant funds
Top down
Bottom up
Quality
Beta investing
Active equity strategies
Active = careful selection/timing of investments - often mandated to beat index benchmarks using skilled analysis
Value investing
Growth investing
GARP
Momentum
Technical analysis
Fundamental analysis
Quant funds
Top down
Bottom up
Quality
Beta investing
Quality
Selecting comps with outstanding/clearly defined quality characteristics
both soft (management credibility) and hard (metrics, high ROE)
financially health with strong balance sheets
Low leverage (debt/equity), earnings stability, high ROE
Beta investing
Aim to identify stocks with potential to realise large price fluctuations (eg B>1)
more aggressive/high risk/reward
low B investing is more conservative - focus on capital presi and downside risk management
timing of investment into high stocks when market is poised to go up
Top down vs bottom up
Top down = assessing macro factors and using that as an input to AA and then stock selection
- economic growth, GDP, employment, business cycle, rates
Bottom up - strategy starts with unique attractions of individual stocks. benchmark agnostic
economy taken into account often as overlay
often there is a combination of the two
Fundamental vs technical analysis
Fundamental analysis = measures secs intrinsic value using publicly avail data. conc of macro and micro economic metrics
view to forecasting future profits and determining fair value/mispricings
Technical analysis = looking @ patterns of price and volume to anticipate market/directions
developing support and resistance price targets for secs
belief info is priced in so no merits in studying the fundamentals
self fulfulling as you reactively sell in response to sell signal and price declines
inverted head and shoulders pattern = bullish price pattern
Quant analysis/funds
Use algorithmic investment strats programmed to make investment decisions - often high freq trading
- algos price and manage complex derivs and use stats to determine which shares are relatively expensive/cheap
- often leverage used to enhance returns and mispricings may be small
- programmes rely on thousands of trading signals
Quant funds
- uses predetermined/pre set models to undertake investment selection
- account for large portion of HFs - large growth but many of these direct trades into same positions
Stat arb utilises mean reversion in pairs tradition of highly correlated secs and spots ops where prices have drifted
Value investing
- FOcus on stocks that appear to trade for less than their intrinsic book value
- established comps, often cyclical, which have been underestimated by market (oversold/out of favour) so can purchase @ discounted price
- may focus on shares with low PE among other metics (low price/book, high book/price)
- provides margin of safety against further derating
- seek to avoid value traps where shares are cheap for a reason that can trigger permanent losses (may get sucked in with divi)
- belief indiv secs will revert to fundamental/intrinsic value
Growth investing
Focus on shares whose earnings are expected to grow in the future
- often smaller/younger comps poised to expand and increase profitability
- competitive adv with insulated earnings
- lower/no divi vs value as earnings reinvested
- look @ margins/ROE, share price perf, historical and future earnings growth
- often trade at higher PEs, higher risk and can have limited track record but potentially higher retirns
- Growth stocks will sell off if earnings expectations are missed as value is based on these future earnings so forecasts must be rigorous
Momentum investing
Aggressive version of growth - focus on comps whose share price has been rising and who continue to gather momentum
- momentum investors profit from ST trades vs growth with is LT
- risk is upwards trend wont last forever, exiting early or late can erode returns
GARP
Less aggressive than growth - reasonable PE is equal/below annual earnings growth rate = PEG ratio (PE/annual EPS growth) <1
- other protective valuation measures include divi cover, borrowings and liquidity
- combines tenets of value and growth to select indiv stocks w/ above avg earnings but excluding those too richly valued
Passive equity strats
Buy and hold
Indexation
- Duplication/complete
- stratified sampling
-Factor matching
- smart Beta
-optimization indexation
-synthetic indexation
Comingling
Impact of TE
index constituents changes = sec drops out of index and price falls as result, investors forced to sell and overpay for new additions
Could underperform an index due to this which is dangeorus since point of passive funds is to match index
can get -ve alpha after costs even tho same risks taken as market
Buy and hold
Buying stocks and holding for long period regardless of fluctations in market
easy and cheap
no advice or trans costs
no concern for short term movements
relies on initial analysis on purchase but doesnt respond to changes in market