6.2. Market Efficiency and Investment Strategies Flashcards
Under what circumstances can active management provide value?
• managers need to have an information advantage
• market efficiency tells what types of information is incorporated into prices
• three forms of market efficiency:
- strong: all available information
- semi-strong: public information
- weak form: historical trading informaiton
Active management and weak form of market efficiency
• prices completely reflect historical trading information
• prices follow a random walk
•investors cannot realize abnormal return if their strategy is only based on historical trading information
•managers need to have additional information:
- accounting information
- other information of the firm
- third-party information
Active management and weak semi-strong form of market efficiency
• prices reflect historical information and other publicly available information
• managers need further information:
- insider information
- legal alternative: generating genuinely new information that can hardly be obtained by other market participants
Active management and strong form of market efficiency
- prices reflect all relevant information
* investors cannot realize abnormal returns even if they would use insider information
Rule 10b5-1
- allows insiders to set up predetermine plan to trade company securities
- designed to cover situations in which nonpublic information was not a factor for the trade
- does not allow the executive to influence purchases or sales
Who counts as “insider”?
• Management: - CEO and other officers - Chairman and other board members • Large shareholders: - Shareholders who own more than 10 % • Other people: - E. g. lawyers and consultants •Transactions by insiders relatives are reported as trades from the insider himself
Evidence for inefficient market.
- Regulations of insider trades are in place
- Insider trades are profitable
- The observation of abnormal returns indicates but does not prove market inefficiency