6. Current Account and Financial Account Flashcards
Whats the Definition of Net Exports?
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- aka trade balance
- exports minus imports (of goods and services), yielding a trade surplus (+) or a trade deficit (-)
Why is analyzing a countries trade not enough?
What are other relevant international flows?
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- it doesn´t give a full picture of a country´s performance relative to the rest of the world
1. factor payments to/ from abroad (primary income)
2. transfers to/ from abroad (secondary income)
Relevant international Flows. What is…
- primary income
- secondary income
- Primary Income: factor payments to/from abroad; eg: a german consultant works a week at BNP paribas in paris and gets payment from Paris / BMW gets earning from a factory in the USA / a germany student gets dividend from owning an apple share -> all effect this POSITIVELY
- Secondary Income: Transfers to/ from abroad: eg: donations from germany citizen to paris for building notre dame / immigrants to germany sending money to Bulgaria (remittances; Überweisung) -> all effect position NEGATIVELY
What the the “Current Account”?
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- measures a country´s “performance balance” relative to abroad
- net flow of payments made to domestic residents from foreign residents (on goods, services, factor payments and transfers)
- the sum of net exports, net factor payments from abroad and net transfers from abroad, i.e.
(Payments from abroad for exports - Payments to Foreigners for imports)
+
(Factor payments from abroad - Factor Payments to Foreigners)
+ (Transfers from abroad - Transfers to foreigners)
Any Net Change in Current Account needs to be offset by…..
corresponding change in Financial Account
What´s the Financial Account? What´s an Example?
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- records the increase in domestic assets held by foreigners and the increase in foreign assets held domestically
- defined to that the net floes in the financial account “offset” the net flows in the current account
- current account minus financial account = 0
- i.e. change in current account balance will be matched by a change in the financial account
- i.e. a country that makes net purchases of goods and services on the world market needs to make net asset sales to foreigners (i.e. net capital inflow) to pay the bill
What the net capital outflows?
They correspond to a ….
- the difference between investment by the home country in foreign countries and foreign investment in the home country
- net increase in foreign assets held domestically (domestic residents ledning to foreigners) relative to domestic assets held by foreigners (foreigners ledning to domestic residents)
Net exports (X-M) need to be accompanied by…
… a net capital outflow (S-I) of the same size
A country runs a current account deficit when it has….
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- a negative sum of net exports
- net payments
- and net transfers from abroad
When a country has a current account deficit, it must have a… because…
This implies….
…. net capital inflow in the financial account, because there needs to be a corresponding fund that pays for the current account deficit
…. a net increase in domestic assets held by foreigners (vs foreign assets held by domestic residents, i.e. the country goes into debt)
if a country has a current account deficit (spending more than it earns), it needs to……
if the country has a current account surplus, ….
…. borrow or sell assets to foreigners, leading to a financial account surplus.
…. it will invest abroad and show a financial account deficit.
- If the current account is positive, the country…..
- if the current account is negative, the country…
- is earning more than its spending abroad.
- spending more than its earning
A country that makes net purchases of goods and services on the world market needs to make….
…. net asset sales to foreigners (i.e. net capital inflow) to pay the bill.
What are possible consequences of sustaining a current account surplus over a long time?
Positive:
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Negative:
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- increased national wealth (country accumulated foreign assets; net creditor: holding more foreign assets than foreign liabilities)
- financial stability: bc not reliant on foreign capital inflows
- currency appreciation -> exports become more expensive to foreigners -> reduce competitiveness
- reduced domestic investments: country saves more than it invests domestically, i.e. not fully utilizing domestic resources
- global trade imbalances: eg tensions with trading partners (US cirticizes Ger doesnt import enough)
- over reliance on foreign markets: relying on external demand for goods and services, vulnerable to global economic downturns or trade distruptions
explain this formula:
(S-I) = (X-M)
- shows that net exports must be equal to net capital outflows
- when country exports more than it imports (current account surplus), it ALSO saves more than it invests domestically