5.1 Electoral systems of USA statistics Flashcards
When did Ted Cruz announce he would run
March 2015
How much money did Trump raise in the invisible primary
By January 1st Trump had raised $25.5 million and put up $18million of his own money
Opinion polls being wrong in invisible primaries
Hillary Clinton 2008
Republican invisible primaries 2020
Clear that Trump would be candidate
-unofficial endorsed by the Republican National Committee in 2019
Democrats invisible primary 2020 pool
Largest ever field (29 candidates)
Example of lesser-known candidates establishing themselves in the primaries
-Obama in 2007, used solid performances in pre-voting debates to establish himself as a contender against Hillary Clinton
What percentage of the vote did Trump win
46% (Clinton won 48%)
How many states did Trump win
30 states
How many ECV did Trump win
306 votes ( compared with 232 ECV of Clinton)
How many Rogue voters were there in 2016
7 rogue voters
Example of the spoiler effect
In 2000 Green Party, Ralph Nader may have prevented Al Gore from winning in 2000
Example of 3rd party candidates influencing the main parties
Ross Perot gained significant votes in 1992 and 1996, with his popular economic policy being embraced and executed by Bill Clinton
Example of executive control helping the incumbent
Obama introduced DACA in August 2012
-Appointed the first Hispanic SC judge
Eg of presidents using their name recognition to help them win an election
-2012, Obama speech on the death of US officials in Benghazi
-highlighted his role as commander-in-chief at a time of great national significance
Example of primary challenges to non incumbent candidates
2012- Romney faced a Republican Ron Paul continue to attack Romney after the party convention
