5.1 Electoral systems in the USA Flashcards

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1
Q

While the Founding Fathers wanted the public to have control over their government, what did they fear?

A

That the uneducated masses would not make the right decisions - in the original constitution they ensured that only the House of Representatives was directly elected by the people, with Senators being appointed by the state government.

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2
Q

What safety mechanism did the Founding Fathers insert into presidential elections?

A

Voters would choose a small group of people who would decide who the president is

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3
Q

What election was introduced in the 1960s?

A

Primaries and caucuses, in which the public select which candidate will represent a party at elections - not part of the constitution, but has been created by internal party rules.

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4
Q

The presidential elections, which do so much to determine the fate of America and the world, are…

A

compared to most modern democracies, long and controversial.

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5
Q

Explain primaries and caucuses.

A
  • Candidates from the same party compete in a public vote
  • There are separate contests for each state
  • Each voter can only vote in one party’s primary
  • Candidates compete in a state to win delegates, party activists who agree to go to a convention to vote for a specific candidate
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6
Q

What happened in the 2016 Republican South Carolina primary?

A

Trump received 33% of vote, beating Rubio (22%), Cruz (22%), and Bush (8%) - in doing so, he got 100% of South Carolinas delegates.

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7
Q

How do both parties award delegates?

A

Republican primaries traditionally use a winner-takes-all system. Now some states use a proportional system.

Democratic primaries award delegates to candidates in proportion to their vote in that state.

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8
Q

What are the voting rules in caucus states?

A
  • They hold a public meeting and a debate before voting (by standing in a particular group or raising hands)
  • Here voting requires greater deliberation and effort
  • Turnout tends to be much lower
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9
Q

What types of voters are caucuses more likely to attract?

A

More radical, active voters.

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10
Q

Which state use caucuses?

A
  • Iowa
  • Nevada
  • North Dakota
  • Wyoming
  • Kentucky (Republican only)
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11
Q

What are the voting rules in open primary states?

A
  • They allow any voter to participate in either party’s primary - so a voter can choose on the day to vote in the Republican or Democratic primary.
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12
Q

What a the voting rules in semi-closed primary states?

A
  • Allow voters to participate in a party’s primary if they are registered as a supporter of that party or as an independent
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13
Q

What are the voting rules in closed primary states?

A
  • Only allow registered supporters of a party to vote in that party’s primary
  • Voters must tick a box when they register to say they support a particular party, often months ahead of voting
  • Independents cannot vote
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14
Q

In 2016, how many delegates were required to win for Republican and Democrat?

A

Democrat - 2,383 - 2.3 thousand

Republican - 1,237 - 1.2 thousand

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15
Q

What is the day when the largest collection of states hold primaries?

A

Super Tuesday.

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16
Q

What are the advantages of the primary causes process?

A
  • Raises key issues - political education, competition between candidates tests policies, ‘ideas factory’, successful policies of losing candidates can be adopted by winning candidates
  • Electability/proven candidates - Tests ability to raise funds, candidate more likely to win presidency, tests ability to overcome deficiencies
  • Voter choice and democracy - especially true of open primary states, choice by social characteristic, increased participation, choice of competing poles within party
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17
Q

What are the disadvantages of the primary caucus process?

A
  • Internal divides in parties - can reduce popularity, negative campaigning, exposes divisions, people can lose faith in candidate, big problem if only in one party has primary
  • Timing - voting over an extended time, late states can be disenfranchised, early states influence late states
  • Specific procedures - different rules for different states, creates low turnout and excludes certain voters, some states have dubious practices, such as non-binding elections
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18
Q

What are invisible primaries?

A

Happen before primary voting when candidates campaign to establish themselves as viable candidates to win the primary race - potential candidates try to gather support, gain recognition, raise funds and establish a core staff.

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19
Q

When does the invisible primary season increase in intensity?

A

As the first primary vote, which takes place in Iowa, gets closer - candidates with high funding and strong support are likely to be viewed as potential winners.
- This season usually leads to candidates dropping out because they lack funding or public support

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20
Q

What can announcing a presidential bid early enable a candidate to do?

A

‘Capture’ the support of a party faction before another candidate has even declared - Cruz was the first Republican to declare - 9 months before the first primary and year and a half before the presidential election.

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21
Q

What do candidates tend to do in invisible primaries?

A

Spend a great deal of money, mainly on publicity campaigns, adding to the financial burden of running for the presidency.

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22
Q

Who do invisible primaries provide an opportunity for?

A

Lesser-known candidates to establish themselves as realistic challengers to perceived frontrunners - Obama in 2007, for example, who used solid performances in pre-voting debates to establish himself as the main rival to Hillary Clinton.

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23
Q

What are national party conventions?

A

They take place for each party in a presidential election year, usually lasting over three or four days - attended by delegates selected through the primary process.

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24
Q

Why has the role of party conventions, in determining who wins the nomination been lost?

A

Because of the creation of national primaries in 1968.

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25
Q

What significant roles do party conventions have?

A
  • Selecting the presidential and VP candidates for the party - The rules of each party require that a candidate gains more than 50% of delegates - if no candidate achieves this, a brokered conventions take place requiring more rounds of voting
  • Decide the policy platform - delegates debate and vote to determine the policy of the party - takes place over several days, allowing for detailed policy debate
26
Q

What are the superficial roles of national conventions?

A
  • To act as publicity for the candidate - the winner can sell their message to the public, often through attacks on the other party, stage-managed speeches by other politicians and endorsements by celebrities. They are often held in swing states
  • To reunite the party after the divine primary process
  • To rally party activists - they attended and watched by party activists who are crucial in helping a candidate win. They organise events, contact voters and raise funds.
27
Q

What happened at the 2016 Republican National Convention?

A
  • Many prominent Republicans didn’t attend - Trump gained endorsements from some losing candidates
  • Melania Trump gave a speech, but was accused of plagiarising a speech by Michelle Obama
  • Ted Cruz’s speech was remarkable as he used its to snub Trump - he urged voters to ‘vote your conscience’
  • Trumps final-night speech appealed to his populist base - spoke about immigration and his proposed wall at the Mexican border, terrorism and withdrawal from trade deals
28
Q

What happened at the 2016 Democratic National Convention?

A
  • A united convention with progressives such as Warren and Sanders giving highly supportive speeches
  • Barack and Michelle Obama, and Bill Clinton gave speeches
  • Sanders’ team was given a role in drafting the party platform
  • Some Sander supporters organised protests - accusing the DNC of bias against him in the primaries and planning of the convention
  • Made use of music stars including Katy Perry and Lady Gaga
  • Rule was changed to reduce the role of ‘super delegates’ - the Sanders team wanted them to be bound to public voting
  • Clinton’s final-night speech focused on her experience, judgement and compassion
  • She prioritised job creation, appealing to Trump’s key demographic support, climate change and college affordability
29
Q

What does Article II of the constitution highlight?

A

The need for the president to be elected every four years using an electoral college process, with the electorate in all states voting on the same day - the Founding Fathers feared popular sovereignty, so they created the electoral college to act as a filter or check on public opinion

30
Q

How does the electoral college system work?

A
  • Each state has a value of electoral college votes, based on the number of Congresspersons plus the number of Senators (+2) - the 23rd Amendment gave D.C. three
  • Candidates compete on a state-by-state basis
  • All state use a winner-takes-all system - for Maine and Nebraska they use this, but two of their ECV are allocated to the winner of the whole state, and further ECV are awarded to the winner in each district
  • To win the presidency, a candidate requires more than 50% of the electoral votes - 270 of 538
  • The ECV number represents the number of electors who are selected
31
Q

How do electors work?

A
  • Most states require their delegates to vote according to state opinion, but 21 states make no such requirement
32
Q

Why is the electoral college system in use?

A
  • It’s based on a respect for the principle of federalism, with voting taking place in each state and smaller states being protected, as they are over-represented by the allocation of ECV
33
Q

What happens if no candidate wins an absolute majority in presidential elections?

A
  • The Constitution states that it is up to the House of Representatives to choose the president
  • Each state receives one vote
  • Therefore the representatives of each state must first decide between themselves who they support, and then they would vote as one
  • Thus, the winner would require 26 of 50 votes
34
Q

Explain ‘rogue’ or ‘faithless’ electors.

A
  • There are 21 states with no requirement that the electors follow public voting, so some delegates occasionally vote contrary to the wishes of the people
  • This has happened in the majority of elections since 1960, although it has never changed a result
  • In 2016, there were 7 rogue delegates - Clinton lost 5 - 3 of those went to Colin Powell, while Sanders and Faith Spotted Eagle received one each
35
Q

What is meant by a party system?

A

Refers to the number of parties that have a realistic chance of forming a government within a political system.

36
Q

Why is it easy to argue that the US is a two-party system?

A
  • It can easily be seen in the dominance of the Democratic and Republican Parties at all levels
  • All modern presidents have been Democrats or Republicans, and third parties typically have no seats in Congress
  • The 2016 elections were entirely dominated by two parties
  • There are only two parties in Congress - there are no third-party goveners
37
Q

What success have third parties had through direct influence?

A
  • The spoiler effect - In 2000, the Green Party candidate, Ralph Nader, may have prevented Al Gore from winning against Bush by taking votes away from him - Nader received 97,000 votes in Florida - Gore lost by 537
  • Influencing the policy of the Democratic and Republican parties - while Ross Perot failed to win the presidency, his popular economic policy of a balanced budget was embraced by the Republicans and accepted by Bill Clinton - Perot’s policy was successfully executed
  • Infiltrating the 2 main parties, using primaries to gain prominence within a party - arguably, Trump is an example of a successful third-party candidate, using the Republican primaries to run under their banner, even though the Republican establishment opposed his bid
38
Q

In the past 50 years of elections, where the incumbent is in the race, how many presidents have lost?

A

4 - Ford, Carter, Bush, Trump

39
Q

What would the history of US presidential elections suggest about incumbency? Why could this be?

A

That it is an advantage, it is not a cast-iron predictor of victory.

  • This could be due to presidents sometimes exploiting powers of their office to increase there prospects for re-election
  • Personality, character, personal history of candidates, ideology and policies are all influential - unexpected events can also tip it in favour of one candidate
40
Q

What are the incumbency advantages?

A

Executive control and experience:
- Presidents can bring benefits to key groups and swing states or make popular policy shifts - 2011 - Obama announcing withdrawing troops from Afghanistan - and killing of Osama bin Laden
Name recognition and media attention:
- Can attract publicity and sell their message
- Rose Garden strategy - address the nation
Electoral resources and experience:
- An established campaign team with a proven track record
Lack of primary challenge

41
Q

What are the limits to incumbency advantage?

A

Executive control and experience:
- Presidents are answerable to leadership failures - Obama over health care reform, for example - or the failing economy under George H.W. Bush
Name recognition and media attention:
- Others can exploit the media - TV debates allow challengers to impress on voters their advantages over a president - Reagan 1980 - “are you better than you were four years ago
Electoral resources and experience:
- Money doesn’t guarantee success - Jeb Bush, raised record sums in 2016
- Popularity may raise more money
Primary challenge:
- Bush won a primary challenge in 1992, but lost the election - may give a challenger the opportunity to show political strength and to take media focus away from an incumbent

42
Q

Where can expenditure, for campaign finance, come from?

A

Individuals, interest groups and businesses - also money spent by parties and candidates to try to ensure electoral victory - can also include expenditure by other organisations (such as corporations) that isn’t donated to a candidate but is spent, usually in the form of publicity by that group to influence the outcome of elections.

43
Q

What is money spent on by campaigns?

A
  • Candidates raise large amounts of money in order to run an effective campaign, with most of this money being spent on advertising
  • Money also spent on an expensive campaign team, including technology advice and support
  • Without high levels of spending it is extremely difficult for a candidate to compete against other, better funded candidates
44
Q

What happened in McCutcheon v FEC 2014?

A

The Supreme Court struck down limits on individual campaign contributions, ruling that federal limits on combined donations to candidates, parties and PACs were an unconstitutional infringement on free speech.
- Chief Justice John Roberts ruled that Congress ‘may not… regulate contributions simply to reduce the amount of money in politics, or to restrict the political participation of some in order to enhance the relative influence of others’

45
Q

Where does campaign finance go?

A
  • National parties
  • Presidential candidates
  • Super PACs
46
Q

What are the main concerns over the role of money in US elections?

A
  • Excessive influence of major donors
  • Secrecy surrounding who is donating and receiving cash
  • Inequality of expenditure between candidates or parties
47
Q

What are the two major ‘campaign finance regulations’ that have been passed to regulate money in elections?

A
  • The Federal Election Campaign Act (1974)

- The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (known also by its sponsors, The McCain-Feingold Act) 2002

48
Q

What were the main impacts of the Federal Election Campaign Act (1974)?

A
  • Legal limits on campaign contributions - private individual can only donate $2,700 and a group can only donate $5,000 to an individual candidate
  • Creates a maximum expenditure limit for each candidate in the presidential election
  • Requires candidates to disclose sources of campaign contributions and campaign expenditure
  • Created federal funding of presidential and primary elections, which works on a matching funds basis - to quality a part must receive 5% or more of the vote in the previous election
  • Created PACs (Political Actions Committees)
49
Q

What are PACs?

A

Political Action Committees - has to be created by any group wanting to donate money to campaign. Business and interest groups create a PAC that is legally registered with the Federal Election Commission, a 6-member bipartisan committee to oversee finance rules

50
Q

What flaws did the Federal Election Campaign Act (1974) have, which severely reduced the effectiveness of the regulations?

A
  • Soft money
  • Supreme Court - the 1st amendment undermined legislation
  • The end of federal funding
50
Q

What flaws did the Federal Election Campaign Act (1974) have, which severely reduced the effectiveness of the regulations?

A
  • Soft money
  • Supreme Court - the 1st amendment undermined legislation
  • The end of federal funding
51
Q

What is soft money?

A

Donated (by interest groups or individuals) or spent (by parties or candidates) that could not be regulated under the law.

Loopholes allowed for continued donations or spending without regulations.

Business or interest groups spend money on campaign advertising for or against a candidate, without directly donating money to a candidate’s campaign for example.

52
Q

How did the Federal Election Campaign Act undermine the 1st amendment?

A

Limited freedom of expression using campaign finance

53
Q

What was the impact of the end of federal funding, as a result of the Federal Election Campaign Act?

A
  • Candidates became increasingly effective at raising money
  • In 2000 George W. Bush raised more than the campaign limit (approximately $120 million) without using federal funds
  • By rejecting these he wasn’t constrained by campaign expenditure limits
  • This made it much harder for Al Gore, who took matching funds, to compete
  • 2004 - Bush repeated the feat against Kerry, who took matching funds
  • 2012 - first election when neither candidate accepted matching funds; this was repeated in 2016
54
Q

What did the failures of the Federal Election Campaign Act lead to?

A

The creation of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (2002).

55
Q

What did the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (2002) do?

A
  • Banned soft-money donations to national parties
  • Said that soft-money donations to local parties could not be used to support federal candidates, but only for genuine party-building activists
  • Said that issue adverts could not be funded by unions or corporations
  • Said that issue adverts mentioning a candidate’s names couldn’t be shown within 60 days of an election, or 30 days of a primary, unless approved by one of the candidates, with money spent being covered covered by spending regulations
56
Q

How have campaign finance laws had limited effectiveness?

A
  • The ability of groups to find loopholes (soft money)
  • The First Amendment and the ideological balance of the Supreme Court in striking down key provisions
  • The lack of legislation on the issue, which occurs both because it is difficult to pass legislation through Congress and perhaps due to unwillingness for politicians to regulate themselves
  • The difficulty in amending the Constitution to regulate elections, such as Sanders’ failed ‘Democracy for all’ amendment - this would grant Congress the the ability to limit the raising and spending of money in campaigns for public office
57
Q

How was the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act 2002 dealt a major blow?

A

With the Citizens United v Federal Election Commission ruling in 2010 - this struck down key parts of the legislation
- The 5-4 ruling declared that the BCRA infringed 1st amendment rights

58
Q

What did the Citizens United v Federal Election Commission ruling in 2010 give rise to?

A
  • New organisations set up solely to influence electoral outcomes without directly working with or donating to a candidate - Super PACs
59
Q

How did Super PACs work?

A
  • They raise funds from individual and group donors and spend this mainly on campaign advertising, without any campaign finance restrictions
  • They are typically created to support a particular presidential candidate
  • Since the 2010 mid-term elections, campaigns have been dominated by these organisations
60
Q

What did Opensecrets.org report with regards to how many Super PACs there were?

A

That by 2016 there were 2398 Super PACs, raising over $1.5 billion during that year’s elections

61
Q

Give some examples of Super PACs in 2016.

A
  • Priorities USA Action - supporting Hillary Clinton - over $130m
  • Right to Rise - supporting Jeb Bush - over $85m
  • Rebuilding America Now - supporting Trump - almost $20m
  • Conservative Solutions - supporting Marco Rubio - $55m