5. US Democracy and Participation Flashcards
What type of candidates do caucuses tend to favour? What 2016 example is there of this (IOWA DEMOCRAT)? - US Democracy and Participation
Caucuses tend to favour more radical candidates than primaries do due to them attracting more militant party members.
In 2016, Bernie Sanders won 66% of the caucus vote compared to 33% for Clinton due to being more ideologically liberal.
What % of the popular vote did Donald Trump take in Arizona in their 2016 primary? How many delegates did this result in him recieving? - US Democracy and Participation
Trump took 46% of the Arizona popular vote in their Republican primary, leading to him taking all 58 delegates for this state.
What % of the vote did Donald Trump recieve in the New Hampshire primary in 2016? What fraction of delegates did this translate to? - US Democracy and Participation
Trump took 35% of the New Hampshire popular vote in 2016, translating into 11 of 23 delegates here.
In how many states did Obama recieve < 90% of votes in the 2012 Democrat primaries? - US Democracy and Participation
Obama recieved < 90% of the primary vote in 14 states in 2012.
What % of the West Virginia primary vote did Obama recieve in 2012? - US Democracy and Participation
Obama recieved only 59% of the West Virginia primary vote in 2012.
What instances are there of incumbent presidents facing severe challenges from within their own party at primaries? What are the impacts of these? - US Democracy and Participation
In 1976, Gerald Ford faced significant opposition from Ronald Reagan. Jimmy Carter faced a challenge from Edward Kennedy, while George H W Bush faced opposition from Pat Buchanan. This promotes major dissatisfaction and a lack of confidence in an incumbent, damaging their campaign.
What was the result of the 2020 Democrat Iowa Caucus? - US Democracy and Participation
Sanders - 26%
Buttigieg - 26%
Biden - 15%
When have super-delegates been significant? Why? - US Democracy and Participation
Super-delegates have been significant in 2008, when neither Obama nor Clinton reached the required absolute majority of state delegates to win a nomination. This meant that Obama was dependent on super-delegates to achieve his majority.
What examples are there of a candidate having a significant post-convention ‘bounce’? - US Democracy and Participation
In 1992, Clinton saw a ‘bounce’ of 16% in the polls. In 1984, Mondale saw a ‘bounce’ of 9%.
What examples are there of a post-convention ‘bounce’ being misleading? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2016, Clinton recieved a ‘bounce’ of 4.5%, superior to Trump’s, yet lost. Furthermore, in 1984, Mondale saw a ‘bounce’ of 9%, superior to Reagan, yet still lost.
What instances are there of Presidential Debates being significant? - US Democracy and Participation
In 1980, Reagan used his closing address to the public to launch a damning attack on the Carter regime, with this creating a stark comparison to Carter’s relatively downbeat and uninspiring address. Furthermore, Trump’s unconventional attacks on Clinton fitted his narrative of being anti-establishment and a political outsider.
What example is there of debates being of limited importance to elections? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2012, Obama’s performance in the first debate was dismal in comparison to the more charismatic Romney, with this threatening to undermine his bid for re-election. However, Obama was still able to win the electio despite this.
What was the % gap between people who thought Romney had won the first debate of 2012 and people who thought Obama had? Who was this in favour of? - US Democracy and Participation
There was a 52% gap between the percieved winners of the 2012 first debate, with this in favour of Romney.
What is the ‘October Surprise’? How was this significant in 2016? - US Democracy and Participation
The ‘October Surprise’ is an event occurring late in a presidential election to the disadvantage of one candidate and effectively finishing any chance of them succeeding in the election. This was seen in 2016 when Clinton’s emails began to be investigated by the FBI. This seriously undermined Clinton’s candidacy.
What was the turnout at the 2020 election? What was the turnout at the 2016 election? What was the turnout at the 2008 election? - US Democracy and Participation
2020 - 66%
2016 - 54%
2008 - 62%
What example is there of Ohio acting as a Bellwether State? - US Democracy and Participation
In all of the last 14 presidential elections, Ohio has suppoorted the winning candidate.
How many of the last 7 incumbents running for President have successfully run for a 2nd term? - US Democracy and Participation
Of the last 7 incumbents to have run for a 2nd term, 5 were successful in winning the Presidency again.
How many incumbent Senators have been defeated in congressional primaries between 1982 and 2016? - US Democracy and Participation
Between 1982 and 2016, only 8 incumbent Senators were defeated in congressional primaries.
What was the incumbency rate in the 2020 Congressional Elections? - US Democracy and Participation
93% of incumbents won their elections in the 2020 elections.
In 2016, how many times more money did Senate incumbents raise compared to their challengers? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2016, Senate incumbents raised 7 times as much money as their challengers.
What is the coattails effect? When has it been significant? - US Democracy and Participation
The coattails effect is the process by successful Presidential candidates manage to help candidates for other offices into power by strong performances at the top of a ticket. This was seen under Reagan, who saw substantial Senate and House gains following his Presidential success.
What caveat is there that limits the impact of the coattails effect? - US Democracy and Participation
Clinton, Bush, Obama and Trump all had either very limited or non-existent coattails, suggesting that this phenomenon is largely in decline.
How many states had split Senate combinations between Democrats and Republicans in 1975? How many were split in 2017? - US Democracy and Participation
In 1975, 44 states had split Senate representations. 12 had split Senate representations in 2017.
What % of congressional districts were competitive in 2016? What does this indicate? - US Democracy and Participation
7% of congressional districts were competitive in 2016. This means that control of the House is likely to remain entrenched with a certain party for prolonged periods. Furthermore, it means that representatives in safe districts can prioritise loyalty to parties and other organisations over their constituents.
Which President saw his party gain seats in both houses of Congress at midterms and when? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2002, Bush gained seats for the Republicans in Congress and the Senate, a rarity.
What examples are there of interest groups in the US using electioneering and endorsement to advance their aims? - US Democracy and Participation
The NRA uses its ‘Victory Fund’ PAC to bypass campaign finance restrictions, the Coalition to Stop Gun Violence endorsed Biden and committed funds to his campaign, while the National Right to Life did the same for Trump.
What example is there of a campaign generating significant publicity and pressurising government? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2020, the BLM movement coordinated significant support following the murder of George Floyd to pressurise government through marches, protests and media campaigns.
What instances are there of legal action being used by pressure groups to create change? - US Democracy and Participation
In 1954, the NAACP organised the Brown v Board ruling to desegregate education, while there was also a lawsuit against the Trump administration’s banning of transgender healthcare protections.
What example is there of an interest group conducting programme monitoring? (Trump immigration policy) - US Democracy and Participation
The ACLU asked for a legal challenge against the Trump administration’s travel ban on 7 Muslim countries.
What examples are there of pro-life activists participating in agenda-building? - US Democracy and Participation
‘Heartbeat bills’ which would restrict abortion availability were lobbied for by Americans United for Life and Faith 2 Action.
Between 2010-18, how many abortion bills were directly copied from those produced by interest groups? - US Democracy and Participation
Between 2010-18, 400 abortion bills were copied from those produced by pro-life groups.
What instance is there of a pressure group acting to preserve citizen’s political participation and political rights? - US Democracy and Participation
CitizensUnited.org led to the ending of restrictions on soft money donations made by organisations, with this ruling effectively credited with creating Super PACs in line with the First Amendment and its right to free speech.
In 2022, how much money was spent on attempts to lobby the federal government? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2022 $3.7bn was spent on attempts to lobby the federal government.
What instance is there of successful lobbying over environmental issues during the Trump presidency? - US Democracy and Participation
Under Donald Trump, regulations surrounding the environment were reduced following an attempt to lobby the federal government by fossil fuel companies. This occurred through an Executive Order to end carbon emission restrictions.
What instance is there of pressure groups attempting to lobby legislators over the Trans-Pacific Partnership? How many groups participated? - US Democracy and Participation
1500 pressure groups participated in a mass letter signing exercise of constituents designed to oppose the US’s participation in the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
What % of successful House candidates had a greater level of funds than their opponents in 2012? - US Democracy and Participation
In 2012, 95% of successful House candidates had a greater level of funds than their opponents.