5. Portfolio Mathmatics Flashcards
Covariance
A measure of the co-movement (linear association) between two random variables.
Expected return on the portfolio
Denoted as (E (Rp)). The weighted average of the expected returns (R1 to Rn) on the component securities using their respective weights (w1 to wn).
Independent
With reference to events, the property that the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of another event occurring. With reference to two random variables X and Y, they are independent if and only if P(X,Y) = P(X)P(Y).
Joint probability function
A function giving the probability of joint occurrences of values of stated random variables.
Mean–variance analysis
An approach to portfolio analysis using expected means, variances, and covariances of asset returns.
Safety-first rules
Rules for portfolio selection that focus on the risk that portfolio value or portfolio return will fall below some minimum acceptable level over some time horizon.
Scenario analysis
A variation of the valuation process combining a base case with alternative outcomes, allowing the incorporation of more favorable or adverse scenarios in the valuation process.
Shortfall risk
The risk that portfolio value or portfolio return will fall below some minimum acceptable level over some time horizon.
Stress testing
A specific type of scenario analysis that estimates losses in rare and extremely unfavorable combinations of events or scenarios.
Value at risk
A money measure of the maximum value of losses expected during a specified time period at a given level of probability.