5: Currency Exchange Rates Flashcards
The relationship between:
* the bank and the client
* the size of the trade
* the time of day the trade is initiated
* the currencies involved
* the level of market volatility
significant factors in determining the spread
The FX carry trade seeks to profit from the failure of:
failure of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
Producing: negatively skewed, fat tails
Evaluates the impact of monetary & fiscal policies on interest rates and exchange rates
Mundell-Fleming model of exchange rate determination
Model assumes that output is fixed, and monetary policies primarily affect inflation, which affects exchange rates
Monetary Models
Purchasing Power Parity holds at any point in time
Pure Monetary Approach
Early warning signs of currency crisis:
* Terms of Trade:
* Money Supply (M2):
* Foreign exchange reserves:
- Terms of Trade: exports/imports decrease
- Money Supply (M2): M2= money supply/bank reserve increase
- Foreign exchange reserves: dramatically decline
Ex Ante version of PPP exerts that the expected changes in the spot exchange rate are entirely driven by:
expected differences in national inflation rates
The amount by which exchange rates must adjust to restore current account to balanced positions depends on:
The impact of the currency depends on:
imports & exports
* initial gap between imports & exports
* repsponse of import & export prices to changes in the exchange rate
* response of import & export demand to changes in import & export prices