4.5.3 Public sector finances Flashcards
Automatic stabilisers
These are automatic fiscal changes as the economy moves through stages of the business/trade cycle.
They do not require active intervention from the government but happen automatically in the background
- For example, a fall in tax revenues during a recession or an increase in state welfare benefits paid out when unemployment is rising.
Discretionary fiscal policy
A demand-side policy that uses government spending & taxation policy to influence aggregate demand (AD).
- This is normative/political and is purely based on what fiscal policy the government wants to do.
Fiscal deficit
When the level of government spending is greater than the government tax revenue in any given year.
The national debt
The accumulation of any previous deficits.
The deficit in one year adds to the national debt from previous years.
- Also known as the public sector net debt (PSND).
Types of government budget deficits?
- Cyclical deficits
- Structural deficits
Cyclical deficits
Cyclical deficits occur due to downturns in the business/trade cycle, usually as a result of a recession.
- Governments receive less tax revenue as profits and incomes fall – and government spending increases
- These deficits tend to self-correct as the economy starts to grow again.
Structural deficits
Structural deficits is caused by excessive borrowing.
They are present even when an economy may be operating at the full employment level of output (‘a boom’).
- They could also be caused by a widespread tax avoidance culture, or poor governance
- These deficits are difficult to correct.
How are budget deficits financed?
Public Sector Net Borrowing (PSNB) - this allows the government to spend more than it recieves in revenue.
How does the PSNB allow the government to borrow money?
In the UK, the government can borrow the money it needs from UK banks, which will create deposits that the government can spend.
It can also borrow money from the private sector by selling Treasury bills, which the government will pay off over a period of time (e.g. 3 months), or it can borrow money from foreign financial markets.
- Treasury bills are short term (3/6 months)
- Treasury bonds are long term (1/2/5/15 years)
Problems with excessive borrowing
- Excessive borrowing could cause demand-pull inflation, partly due to the fact that government borrowing increases the money supply, so there’s more money in the economy than can be matched by output.
- As borrowing may cause inflation, it can also lead to a rise in interest rates to curb that inflation. Higher interest rates will discourage investment by firms and make a country’s currency rise in value, meaning that its exports are less price competitive.
Problems with a large and long term national debt.
- If a country’s debt becomes very large then it may cause firms and foreign countries to stop lending money to that country’s government. This will constrain the country’s ability to grow in future.
- Future taxpayers will be left with large interest payments on debt to pay off. Debt repayments have an opportunity cost as future governments may have to cut spending to pay off a debt, which may harm economic growth.
- A large national debt suggests that there’s been excessive borrowing, which causes inflation and interest rates to rise. It also suggests that public sector spending is very large, which may ‘crowd out’ private sector spending.
- A country with large debt is less attractive to foreign direct investment (FDI), as foreign countries will be uncertain how the debtor nation’s economy will do in future and whether it will be a good bet for investment.
How can cyclical budget deficits be corrected?
A cyclical budget deficit is caused by recessions and comes about due to a government’s automatic stabilisers (when government spending on benefits increases and tax revenue falls).
- This kind of deficit will be corrected when the economy recovers again — the deficit will be replaced by a surplus.
How can a structual budget deficit be corrected?
A structural budget deficit, caused by excessive borrowing, is much harder to solve.
- To cure this problem, governments will have to raise taxes and reduce public spending so that they can pay off their debt (these are known as ‘austerity measures’). However, these actions could harm economic growth and cause other problems.
Factors influencing the size of fiscal deficits
What unexpected shocks might governments experience?
- Natural disasters
- Wars
- Pandemics
- Financial crashes