4.5 Role Of The State In The Macroeconomy Flashcards

1
Q

types of govt. expenditure

A
  • capital expenditure; on investment goods, e.g. roads, schools, hospitals
  • current expenditure; daily payments required to run the govt. and public sector, e.g. wages of public employees and payments for goods consumed in the short-run such as medicines for the NHS
  • transfer payments; govt. payments for which there’s no corresponding output, e.g. benefits and pensions
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2
Q

size and composition of public expenditure

A
  • healthcare (20%)
  • pensions (16%)
  • welfare (13%)
  • education (9%)
  • interest repayments of loans (7%)
  • defence (5%)
  • transport (4%)
  • protection (4%)
  • other spending is around 18%
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3
Q

factors affecting the size and composition of public expenditure

A
  • changing incomes; a rise in income decreases demand for public services as people may instead choose to pay for privately provided services, e.g. private healthcare
  • demographics (changing age distributions); rise in life expectancy means more govt. spending on pension payments and healthcare
  • changing expectations; as societal norms change, expectations change, putting pressure on govts. to change their services, thus resulting in increased spending, e.g. NHS patients wanted online access to their medical records and the govt. spent significant sums on creating the platform to do that. similar example of money spent on NHS COVID app during the pandemic
  • GFC; UK govt. borrowing significantly increased to facilitate the govt. spending required to avoid a long-lasting depression, but this borrowing had to be repaid with interest, and in the years following the crisis, the UK govt. followed a policy of austerity to cut their expenditure and raise taxes
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4
Q

level of public expenditure as a proportion of GDP

A

varies between economies, e.g. in 2021, it accounted for;
* 44% of UK GDP
* 42% of USA GDP
* 59% of France GDP
* 30% of India GDP

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5
Q

impacts of public expenditure

A
  • productivity and growth;
  • govt. can use expenditure on g&d policies which can improve the supply-side of the economy through spending on infrastructure, health, education, etc.
  • critics believe it’ll inhibit growth as the state will inefficiently use resources that have been taken away from the private sector
  • living standards;
  • expenditure improves this as money has been spent to improve development and quality of life, but it may create opportunity for corruption which can reduce standards of living
  • taxation;
  • increase in expenditure means rise in taxes to fund the govt. spending
  • national debt;
  • if taxes aren’t raised, a rise in expenditure must be funded through increased borrowing and debt to balance out the budget
  • crowding out;
  • when govt. spending reduces the amount the private sector can spend due to higher IR, e.g. after buying bonds and increasing IR to increase demand for them
  • equality;
  • transfer payments and proportional tax systems even up income distribution, but if the spending isn’t spread evenly throughout the whole country, it can create inequality of opportunity, e.g N / S divide in UK
  • innovation;
  • drives innovation by providing long-term seed funding for firms and investing in applied research
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6
Q

different tax systems

A
  • progressive; direct taxes; they increase with income so high-income households pay a larger % of tax
  • regressive; indirect taxes; they don’t increase with income, so low-income households are worse off as a larger % of their income is paid in taxes
  • proportional; constant % of income paid; used in Bolivia where tax rate is 13% for everyone
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7
Q

economic effects of changes in tax rates

A
  • incentives to work; higher the tax rate, lower the incentive for unemployed to seek work or for existing workers to work overtime
  • tax revenues; as tax rates rose, a point will be reached where it disincentivises workers to work, resulting in less income and less govt. revenue (Laffer curve - diagram 1)
  • income distribution; progressive system redistributes from higher income to lower income, thus reducing inequality, but sometimes these benefits are eroded through impact of regressive taxes
  • real output and employment; if tax rate rises, more money is withdrawn from the circular flow of income, reducing AD which may increase unemployment levels
  • price level; a rise in indirect taxes increases production costs for firms which can reduce SRAS and cause cost-push inflation, and they reduce disposable income so workers may petition for wage increases, but the economy may face a wage-price spiral, where higher wages lead to further cost-push inflation
  • trade balance (X-M); increase in taxes can reduce disposable income which is likely to reduce the level of imports, thus improving the trade balance. however, lower AD in the long-run will reduce investment which can reduce competitiveness of exports
  • FDI flows; low taxes on profit encourages investment as businesses will see a higher rate of return, and if corporation tax rate rises relative to other countries, there will be less inward FDI as investors lose more money to taxes
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8
Q

difference between automatic stabilisers and discretionary fiscal policy

A
  • automatic stabilisers; automatic fiscal changes which increase govt. spending and reduce taxes during a recession and vice versa during a boom, e.g. people’s incomes often fall in recessions, so they’ll automatically pay a lower tax rate, or automatic rises in welfare benefits when unemployment is rising (unemployment insurance)
  • discretionary fiscal policy; a demand-side policy involving the deliberate manipulation of govt. expenditure and taxes to influence AD
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9
Q

difference between fiscal debt and national debt

A
  • fiscal (budget) deficit; occurs when govt. expenditure > govt. revenue in any given year (5% of GDP)
  • national debt; the accumulation of all previous deficits (99% of GDP)
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10
Q

difference between structural and cyclical deficits

A
  • cyclical deficits; occur due to downturns in the trade cycle as a result of recession - govt. recieve less tax revenue as profits / income fall, but govt. spending rises as they implement expansionary fiscal policies - these deficits self-correct as the economy grows again
  • structural deficits; long-term which occur when cyclical deficit is 0 as it’s present even when an economy is operating at full employment level of output - hard to correct, may be caused by widespread tax avoidance culture, and likely to increase national debt over time
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11
Q

factors influencing the size of fiscal deficits

A
  • state of the economy; fiscal deficits increase during a recession as govt. revenue falls and govt. spending increases
  • housing market; deficit decreases when an economy is doing well as the govt. receives indirect tax from property sales (stamp duty)
  • political priorities; after rescuing UK after GFC, UK prioritised austerity with the focus of eliminating the deficit
  • unforeseen events; many unforeseen events that require govt. support, e.g. Russia-Ukraine War led to £2.8bn spent in aiding from the UK
  • interest rates; higher IR on govt. debt will increase the amount they pay which worsens the deficit
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12
Q

factors influencing the size of national debts

A
  • size of fiscal deficits; the larger the fiscal debt, the worser the level of national debt will be as it’s an accumulation of it - UK running a budget surplus would help reduce it
  • govt. policies; directly impact tax revenue and govt. spending which can change level of fiscal debt, leading to a change in national debt level, e.g. lower corporation tax during a boom will reduce govt. revenue and increase the deficit and debt at a time when it would be naturally decreasing due to automatic stabilisers
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13
Q

significance of the size of fiscal deficits and national debt

A
  • interest rates; the higher the level of debt, the more concerned global lenders will be to continue lending to fund future deficits, so the UK may need ti raise IR ti entice lenders to lend as it increases the debt interest paid back to them
  • debt servicing; the higher the debt, the greater the OC on repayments and interest repayments, e.g. the money spent on repayments could’ve been spent on education improvements instead
  • rate of inflation; high inflation reduces purchasing power, but it allows the govt. to pay back lenders with money worth less than what it was when originally borrowed
  • credit ratings; countries with a good credit rating will be able to borrow funds at a lower interest rate
  • FDI; the higher the level of external debt, the more foreign currency is required by the govt. to repay it, but they may run short of foreign currency, so have to make FDI more attractive to obtain more of it, e.g. by selling assets to facilitate repayments
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14
Q

use of macroeconomic policies

A
  • fiscal policy; changes in public expenditure and taxation
  • monetary policy; changes in interest rates and the money supply
  • exchange rate policy; deliberate manipulation of the ER to influence competitiveness of a country’s goods and affect its level of economic activity
  • supply-side policies; measures to increase efficiency, productivity and international competitiveness
  • direct controls; govt. intervention to control prices or wages in an economy
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15
Q

measures to reduce fiscal deficits and national debts

A
  • reduce public expenditure
  • increase taxes (austerity), but this causes hardships for many households and can increase inequality
  • implement policies to increase economic growth which can reduce the fiscal deficit and national debt as a proportion of GDP
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16
Q

measures to reduce poverty and inequality

A
  • improve quality of education and training for the poor
  • make the tax system more progressive
  • increase inheritance taxes
  • increase the number / range of means-tested benefits (eligibility is based on income and capital)
  • implement measures to reduce unemployment
  • increase the national minimum wage
17
Q

changes in interest rates and the supply of money

A
  • CB can change IR and money supply based on internal needs of their economies, e.g. to control inflation, or due to global issues such as a low ER or a change in world commodity prices
  • a fall in the bank rate will increase the supply of money as there’s more demand for loans
  • there’s some debate about the extent to which the money supply can be controlled;
  • Milton Friedman (a Monetarist) said that inflation can only be produced by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output
  • this opposes the Keynesian view that inflation is the result of a change in output
  • the consensus is that CB should allow inflation caused by supply side shocks (cost-push) but manage demand side inflation (demand-pull)
  • after GFC, some CB, e.g. the BoE, were concerned with deflation, leading to the policy of quantitative easing because IR were so low they couldn’t be lowered anymore
18
Q

measures to increase international competitiveness

A
  • protectionism
  • currency devaluation (SPICED / WPIDEC - weaker pound makes exports cheaper, boosting domestic demand)
  • encourage competition through incentives, forcing firms to be efficient and thus internationally competitive
  • they can join the WTO or sign trade agreements
19
Q

use of macroeconomic policies to respond to external shocks

A
  • recent external shocks to the global economy, e.g. GFC, global pandemic, Russian war on Ukraine, etc. have forced govts. to respond with a range of policies to steer their economies through the crises
  • e.g. a commodity price shock where oil prices greatly rise can lead to the govt. using deflationary policy to reduce the impact on cost-push inflation
  • e.g. IR were lowered to improve confidence following Brexit, but were then raised to deal with inflation caused by the falling value of the pound
  • e.g. Covid-19 pandemic - monetary policies e.g. decrease in IR so it’s cheaper to borrow and spending / investment is encouraged, leading to higher AD, thus limiting the impacts of the pandemic on a fall in AD
20
Q

measures to control global companies’ (TNCs) operations

A
  • TNCs can bring huge gains to an economy through job creation, increased tax revenue, knowledge they bring and investment they undertake
  • however, they can have negative economic and social impacts by destroying local culture, affecting the environment, withdrawing more in profits than they inject through investment, and they also have a history of influencing politicians to take decisions that favour their interests and are involved in tax avoidance
  • in the EU and USA, it’s illegal for TNCs operating in their country to use bribery / corrupt practices and they can be fined
  • some developing countries don’t allow TNCs to set up in their country without first setting up a joint company with a local partner, so some profits are retained within the country and knowledge / technology is transferred
  • many govts. use import contracts with TNCs, meaning that at least some part of the value of the order must be manufactured in the country
21
Q

TNCs abuse of power through transfer pricing

A
  • TNCs can engage in tax avoidance through transfer pricing, which occurs if they produce a good in one country (one with low production costs) then sell it at a low price to one of their own sub-corporations in another country (one with low tax rates), who can then sell it and earn high revenues and pay lesser taxes, thus increasing their profit and reducing their tax bill
22
Q

the regulation of transfer pricing

A
  • companies which don’t allocate sufficient profits in the UK are challenged by HMRC, and this has led to billions of pounds earned in taxes
  • attempts are being made to seek international agreement to ensure that TNCs pay a fair amount of tax in each of the countries in which they operate, e.g. tax payable on turnover in each country may be levied
  • the OECD introduced guidance on the application of the ‘arm’s length principle’ which suggests a transfer price is acceptable if all transactions between associated parties are conducted at arm’s length price, i.e. the price should be the same as if both parties were independent of each other
  • some authorities may even negotiate lower taxes known as ‘sweeteners’ to discourage TNCs from engaging in tax avoidance through transfer pricing
23
Q

other measures to control TNCs

A
  • setting more rigorous labour protection laws
  • establishing more thorough laws around technology transfer between local and TNS firms
  • establishing limits on the level of exports by TNCs
24
Q

limits to govt. ability to control TNCs

A
  • any TNCs are ‘footloose’, i.e. they can move easily between countries in search of the lowest costs and wages (to pay their employees)
  • they often engage in monopsony behaviour and exploit workers by paying them below the market wage rate, and can employ fewer workers than competitive firms
  • the govt. may even waive / reduce environmental regulations and standards, or control / reduce the minimum wage, in order to encourage FDI from TNCs
25
Q

problems facing policymakers - inaccurate information

A
  • short term info such as monthly GDP figures are often inaccurate so the govt. is unable to see any issues within the economy
  • much activity may be hidden from measurement if it takes place in the hidden economy
  • reducing tax avoidance is hard as the govt. doesn’t have full info on the level of avoidance, who’s avoiding the tax, and the best way to reduce it
  • forecasts are notoriously inaccurate and estimates of past data are frequently revised in subsequent years, e.g. of the future of inflation, or the costs of major projects, like HS2
  • full cost-benefit analyses can be time consuming and costly, and it’s impractical for the govt. to gain every bit of info they need
26
Q

problems facing policymakers - risks and uncertainties

A
  • the risks of any policy decision can be hard to identify as they can be greater than expected, i.e. if the risk was underestimated
  • uncertainties are present when the likelihood of future events is incalculable, so they may not even be identifiable when the policy is instituted, so they can’t be eliminated or insured against
27
Q

problems facing policymakers - inability to control external shocks

A
  • external shocks are unpredictable so the govt. is unable to control and prepare for these - the best they can hope to do is lessen their impact
  • policies may not have their intended impacts as it may undermine current policies in place, e.g. Brexit has delayed govt. plans to balance the budget