4.4 SWFs Flashcards

1
Q

Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) are large, state-owned investment funds that exist to benefit FGSN and possibly to SC

A

Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) are large, state-owned investment funds that exist to benefit future governmental spending needs and possibly to stabilize currencies

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2
Q

As of 2018, SWFs controlled almost _____ in assets (with about XX% of that amount in alternative investments), which is about equal to the assets under management of _______.

A

As of 2018, SWFs controlled almost $8 trillion in assets (with about 20% of that amount in alternative investments), which is about equal to the assets under management of all hedge funds and private equity funds combined.

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3
Q

What is the source of funds for a SWF?

A

Budgetary surpluses at the national level.
Money usually comes from natural resources, such as oil and gas, but may also come from persistent trade surpluses and possibly the receipt of foreign aid that was not used immediately

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4
Q

National governments hold some of their sovereign wealth in the form of foreign currencies. Those currency holdings are typically managed by ______ and referred to as its ________. The RA is affected by inflows and outflows of currencies that result from IT and CF. In aggregate, they comprise the country’s BoP accounts

A

National governments hold some of their sovereign wealth in the form of foreign currencies. Those currency holdings are typically managed by the central bank and referred to as its reserve account. The reserve account is affected by inflows and outflows of currencies that result from international trade and capital flows. In aggregate, they comprise the country’s balance of payments accounts

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5
Q

change in reserve account = X + X

A

change in reserve account = change in current account + change in capital account

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6
Q

The current account measures ________. A country that exports more goods and services than it imports is said to have a ________, while a country that imports more than it exports is said to have a ___________.

A

The current account measures trade in goods and services. A country that exports more goods and services than it imports is said to have a current account surplus, while a country that imports more than it exports is said to have a current account deficit.

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7
Q

The capital account measures _______, such as ________. Net inflows of capital into a country are referred to as a ______, while net outflows of capital are referred to as a ______

A

The capital account measures cross-border investments, such as loans or purchases and sales of assets. Net inflows of capital into a country are referred to as a capital account surplus, while net outflows of capital are referred to as a capital account deficit

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8
Q

A current account deficit tends to be associated with a ______, and a current account surplus tends to be associated with a _______.

A

A current account deficit tends to be associated with a capital account surplus, and a current account surplus tends to be associated with a capital account deficit.

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9
Q

A country’s reserve account increased by $2 billion during the most recent year. Imports were greater than exports by $3 billion for the year. Calculate the country’s capital account surplus or deficit for the year.

A

∆ reserve account = ∆ current account + ∆ capital account

+$2 billion = –$3 billion + ∆ capital account

∆ capital account = +$5 billion

The capital account for the year shows a surplus of $5 billion.

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10
Q

A country’s currency will tend to appreciate if the country has:
1. LI
2. HIR
3. PPCI
4. SIG (FI)
5. A/CA

A
  1. low inflation cf other countries
  2. high interest rates cf other countries
  3. policies promoting capital inflows
  4. slow income growth (cf other countries) (reduces imports)
  5. absolute or comparative advantage in production of goods for export
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11
Q

Countries with floating (market-determined) exchange rates have reserve accounts that are ______. Exchange rates with other currencies will adjust to keep _______roughly in balance with ________.

A

Countries with floating (market-determined) exchange rates have reserve accounts that are relatively stable. Exchange rates with other currencies will adjust to keep demand for exports and imports roughly in balance with inflows and outflows of capital.

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12
Q

How would a country weaken its domestic currency relative to a trading partner’s currency?

A

By selling their currency and buying the other currency in the FX market.

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13
Q

Why would a country weaken its currency relative to a trading partner?

A

To make their exports cheaper for the other country (therefore increase), and reduce imports from that country.

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14
Q

From 19XX to 20XX, the Chinese yuan was pegged at XXX yuan per U.S. dollar.

A

From 1994 to 2005, the Chinese yuan was pegged at 8.28 yuan per U.S. dollar.

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15
Q

Some economies, such as China and Singapore, have export economies built around manufactured goods and services. Others (e.g., many Middle Eastern countries) have an export market focused on commodities, such as oil and gas. Exports based on manufacturing are _____, but commodity exports are ______ because _________

A

Some economies, such as China and Singapore, have export economies built around manufactured goods and services. Others (e.g., many Middle Eastern countries) have an export market focused on commodities, such as oil and gas. Exports based on manufacturing are relatively predictable, but commodity exports are much less predictable because commodity prices can be highly volatile.

For example, the spot price of Brent crude oil in the early 1990s was around $20, but it jumped up to $135 per barrel in July 2008 before crashing back down to the low $40s by early 2016. Such volatility has been reflected in the reserve accounts of countries with oil-focused economies.

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16
Q

SWFs are part of the answer for smoothing the impacts of _______. Commodity-focused economies often put reserves from the good years into a SWF for long-term investment, which will benefit the country in times of _______

A

SWFs are part of the answer for smoothing the impacts of volatile commodity prices. Commodity-focused economies often put reserves from the good years into a SWF for long-term investment, which will benefit the country in times of weak commodity prices.

17
Q

A longer-term concern for commodity-exporting countries is _______

A

Depletion - natural resource such as oil may run out at some point. So may manage their SWFs similarly to endowments to continue benefiting their citizens even if the oil does run out. Or also invest SWF assets in developing domestic industries that will diversify their economies away from oil

18
Q

What are the four types of SWFs?
1. SF
2. RF
3. SF
4. DF

A
  1. stabilisation funds - example of a commodity producing country keeping funds for when commodity prices are lower.
  2. reserve funds
  3. savings funds
  4. development funds
19
Q

Countries that intend to accumulate reserves typically hold them in liquid assets (e.g., cash or fixed-income securities).

Most countries will hold them with _____ for purpose of ______

Some countries, such as ______, may hold excess reserves with _____ instead. Why? (fluc, business cycle). How might this work.

A

Most countries hold their reserves in their central bank, which may use the reserves to implement monetary policy, manage exchange rates, or add liquidity to the banking system when necessary.

Some countries (such as commodity rich countries) choose to hold excess reserves in a SWF rather than in their central bank. This is because there are significant fluctuations in government revenues due to commodity prices, and they would not want government spending to be high in good years and low in bad years because that would make business cycles even more volatile…

So deposit a portion of the revenues from the good years into a sovereign wealth stabilization fund. Typically this is rules based - certain % deposits in good years, permitting certain withdrawals in bad years

20
Q

What is a stabilisation fund?

A

Most countries hold their reserves in their central bank, which may use the reserves to implement monetary policy, manage exchange rates, or add liquidity to the banking system when necessary.

Some countries (such as commodity rich countries) choose to hold excess reserves in a SWF rather than in their central bank. This is because there are significant fluctuations in government revenues due to commodity prices, and they would not want government spending to be high in good years and low in bad years because that would make business cycles even more volatile…

So deposit a portion of the revenues from the good years into a sovereign wealth stabilization fund. Typically this is rules based - certain % deposits in good years, permitting certain withdrawals in bad years

21
Q

What is a savings fund?

A

A country that has adequate funds in the central bank’s reserve account may use any additional assets to create a SWF that is focused on earning a higher return than that received from low-risk, low-return cash and cash equivalents. Those funds can be classified as savings funds or reserve funds.

Would have a total return investing objective with the goal of preserving and growing principal

One reason a country might establish a savings fund is if the source of export revenue will deplete over time.

22
Q

Two types of reserve funds (SWFs)?

A

A sovereign wealth pension reserve fund has a specific goal similar to a traditional pension fund (e.g., to pay future retirement benefits of a country’s citizenry), but the source of funds is export revenue and the goal is to earn high returns.

A sovereign wealth reserve investment fund is included in the country’s reserves but invests with a total return objective (e.g., earning capital gains as well) rather than investing only in cash and fixed-income instruments.

While few pension reserve and reserve investment funds exist, those that do (e.g., Korea, China, and Singapore) are quite large.

23
Q

Examples of SW pension reserve and reserve investment funds?

A

Korea, China, and Singapore

24
Q

What are sovereign wealth development funds objectives?

If they are to meet their long-term objectives, they must _____

A

Objectives that may include diversifying the domestic economy, developing strategic industries, or addressing poverty.
If they are to meet their long-term objectives development funds must be kept independent of political influence.

Development funds are more likely to invest in concentrated positions and alternative assets than other SWFs, in some ways resembling private equity or venture capital portfolios

25
Q

What are the four primary reasons for a country to establish a SWF:
1. insulate
2. enable
3. accrue
4. invest

A
  1. insulate country’s revenues from reductions or unwanted volatility
  2. enable a central bank to offset excess liquidity
  3. accrue funds for future generations
  4. invest in domestic infrastructure and other initiatives that contribute to long-term economic growth
26
Q
A