4.3.6 Limits to Growth Flashcards
What are the three key economic models of development?
- Harod-Domar
- Prebisch-Singer
- Lewis
what is the harod-domar model of development?
-Savings enable investment, which enables capital accumulation, which leads to rise in output and incomes, which increases flow of savings, and the cycle repeats
What are the causes of the savings gap?
- Low Incomes
- Debt
- Absence of FDI
- Capital Flight
Why do low incomes cause a savings gap?
When incomes are low, incomes will not be significantly above the cost of living, so households wont have disposable income to save
What is the problem in LEDCs of increasing saving to increase investment, under the Harod-Domar Model?
- LEDCs do not have developed financial markets for investors to borrow the saved money, as most people do not save in a bank.
- Entrepreneurs are rare in LEDCs because of the risk
-What is the Foreign Exchange Gap and how does it cause problems for the process of investment in capital in the Harod-Domar Model?
LEDCs need foreign currency to buy the capital. LEDCs need capital to manufacture goods to export in order to earn foreign currency. Vicious Cycle.
What is wrong with the assertion that capital accumulaion will directly cause an increase in incomes and output under the Harod-Domar Model?
Human Capital needs to be of high enough quality to operate the producer capital. If education is bad, the capital is useless
What external factors can help to reduce the savings gap in LEDCs?
- Aid
- FDI
- Borrowing from the IMF + Debt Cancellation
What is the problem of FDI in reducing the savings gap?
TNCs repatriate the profits generated to the owners in a foreign country
What are the causes of Foreign Exchange Gaps?
- Dependence on primary products for export earnings
- Dependence on importing capital goods
- Servicing Debt
- Capital Flight
What is the Prebisch-Singer Model of Development?
-In the long run, ToT for export led economies with PPD will decrease, but there are short term swings in the ToT so the increased revenue from upswings should be used to break the economy away from PPD
How does the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis relate to low income elasticity of demand for primary products? In other words, why do the terms of trade for primary products decrease in the long run?
Primary Products are more income inelastic than manufactured goods. If you only sell primary products but you buy manufactured goods, as incomes increase, the value of imports will increase much faster than the value of exports so you have to export much more to maintain imports
How would you evaluate the prebisch-singer hypothesis?
- Between 2000-2014 commodity prices rose and manufactured good prices fell.
- Food commodity prices will increase as populations increase
- It’s better to focus on commodities if you have comparative advantage in the production of that good.
What are the factors which limit growth and development?
- Savings Gap
- Foreign Exchange Gap
- Debt
- Civil Wars/Corruption
- Poor Infrastructure
- Primary Product Dependency (PPD)
- Population Issues
- Poor Human Capital
How is debt a limit on growth and development?
LEDC have decreased government spending because they have to finance the debt but sometimes they don’t even generate enough revenue to pay it back