4.3 Emerging And Developing Economies Flashcards
What is economic development and how can you measure it?
Economic development is the sustainable increase in living standards for a country, typically characterised by increases in life span, education levels, & income
There are many measures of economic development
Single indicators e.g. number of doctors/1000 people; infant mortality rate; % of the population with access to clean drinking water
Composite indicators such as the Human Development Index (HDI)
What is the HDI
Developed by the United Nations, it is a combination of 3 indicators
Health, as measured by the life expectancy at birth e.g.in 2019 it was 81.2 years in the UK
Education, as measured by a combination of the mean years of schooling that 25 year old’s have received, together with the expected years of schooling for a pre-school child
Income, as measured by the real gross national income per capita at purchasing power parity (ppp)
Each indicator is given equal weighting in the index
The index ranks countries on a score between 0 & 1
The closer to 1, the higher the level of economic development & the better the standard of living
A value of < 0.550 is considered low development e.g. Chad 0.394
A value of 0.550-0.699 is considered medium development e.g. El Salvador 0.673
A value of 0.700-0.799 is considered high development e.g Thailand 0.777
A value ≥ 0.800 is considered very high development e.g. Norway 0.957
WHAT ARE THE ADVANTAGES OF HDI?
It is a composite indicator which provides a more useful comparison metric than single indicators do
It incorporates three of the most important metrics for households i.e. health, education & income
It is widely used all over the world which provides an opportunity for meaningful comparisons
It provides a goal for governments to use when developing their policies e.g. it may help identify that the education levels are holding back improvements to the HDI & government policy can target that
It provides citizens with an understanding of how their quality of life compares to other countries
What are the disadvantages of using HDI?
It does not measure the inequality that exists as it uses the mean GNI/capita
It does not measure or compare the levels of absolute & relative poverty that exist
For many countries it does not provide useful short-term information as gathering the data required for the calculation is difficult. This means the data often lags reality by several years
Does not differentiate between rates of development progress within a country, difference in development between urban &rural areas. The HDI does not account for income inequality within a country and the impact of inequality in development. BUT HDI can be adjusted for income inequality = income inequality adjusted HDI.
Incomes, schooling, and healthcare’s scores= weighted equally in HDI – argued to be arbitrary esp if it’s clear that a certain area such as healthcare is lacing more than another. Makes It harder to efficiently allocate funds – aid money directed to areas that aren’t at need
HDI only comprising 3 areas= quite narrow in outlook, development consists of multitude of factors such as freedom, equality, poverty alleviation. HDI used alongside Global competitiveness index, Gini coefficient, global poverty index, to fully analyse a country’s development of progress
What is the Inequality adjusted Human development index ( IHDI)
This is an adjustment of HDI which includes a fourth indicator of development: inequality. The Atkinson Index adjusts measures for education, health and income according to the level of inequality. It is broader than HDI but can still be criticised for not considering more measures and quality.
Created in 2010 to deal with the lack of information that the HDI provides on inequality
The IHDI will be equal to the HDI value when there is no inequality, but falls below the HDI value as inequality rises
This means that the IHDI measures the level of human development when inequality is accounted for
The difference between the HDI & IHDI can be expressed as a percentage & represents the loss in potential human development due to inequality
It provides greater insight into the differences in human development that exist in a country as opposed to the average human development
What is the multidimensional poverty index (MPI)
Launched in 2010 by the Oxford Poverty & Human Development Initiative at the University of Oxford
It measures the complexities of poor people’s lives, individually & collectively, each year
It tracks deprivation across three dimensions & 10 indicators: health (child mortality, nutrition), education (years of schooling, enrolment), & living standards (water, sanitation, electricity, cooking fuel, housing, assets)
It first identifies which of these 10 deprivations each household experiences
Then identifies households as poor if they suffer deprivations across 1/3 or more of the weighted indicators
It can focus in on regions, ethnicities & also any of the three dimensions making it a useful tool for policymakers & non-government organisation (NGOs) working to reduce poverty
What are growth and development pros?
Specialising in production and export of primary commodities oil, gas, copper net exports increase- AD increases= economic growth. Developing countries - abundance of primary resources- in high demand from advanced economies in west & emerging markets. Developing countries – exploit a comparative advantage in primary commodities – OC advantage over other countries- using revenues generated from these sales to purchase capital imports.
Consequently: IPF
Income growth:
GNI/capita in developing countries will rise, basic life sustaining goods and services more affordable, lifting people out of absolute poverty. Job prospects in economy will improve – increase in demand encourage domestic firms – Increase output- increasing demand for labour- reducing U/E,= economic development -rising incomes and potentially an improvement in income distributing indicated by Gini coefficient tending towards 0
Profits for firms- relying on primary commodities for growth/ development- increasing rev/ profits for domestic firms in developing economies. Prices of primary comm -been increasing, driven by high demand from emerging markets like china. Firms can afford tech -reduce environmental pollution/ resource depletion= sustainable econ growth and development as capital stock increases.
Fiscal dividend- exporting and depending on rev from primary commod= fiscal div for gov resulting from higher econ growth. Developing countries- increase in net exports allows incomes, output nd expenditure to riseincreasing receipts from income tax, VAT/corp tax. Rev= hypothecation into health, education, literacy rates, life expectancy levels, 2 areas of develop Michael Todaro features at the most sig development factors. Govinfrastructure – roads, bridges- decreasing transport costs- increase efficiency – achieving sustainable devbusinesses access markets, families access to hospitals and schools
What are growth and development cons?
C, I,,E
Income inequality- gains from commercial exploitation of rich natural resources – kept by power elites in societies, millions of those who live above resource endowment see little significant improvement in SOL where per capita incomes haven’t increase in line with GDP at all. Power elites – increase wealth and incomes, those stuck in agricultural sector – still living in relative and absolute poverty- in poverty trap. Income inequality dealt with fiscal policy – policies unlikely to succeed in corruption ridden developing economies. Income inequality= worse, SOL fall, natural resources are further depleted. Unsustainable econ growth
Negative externalities- primary commodities – rapid depletion of natural resources, neg ext- excessive air pollution, deforestation, resource degradation. Natural resources are exhaustible- risking developing countries being converted from being resource rich- to poor. When this does happen- export earnings- decline rapidly as export sector is responsive for a high proportion of tax rev- severely deteriorate public finances cutting off one major area of development, gov spending on infrastructure develop – improvement of healthcare and education system
Depleting natural resources and other examples – neg externalities ignored but producers following their own interest. Over production= misallocation of resources and a deadweight loss of welfare, over extraction – reducing economic welfare= burden of future generation- constraint on L/T sustainable development
Government corruption-
gov officials use tax money for inefficient purposed such as political oppression, pocketing money themselves in hidden intnl bank accounts. Key development outcomes will not be promoted at all with a divide between elite and worsening of poverty, huge gov failure= misallocation of resources.
a Inflation- uncontrolled and unbalanced economic growth from demand side can trigger high rates of DPI. More pressure is exerted on existing FOP- increasing price of them and thus COP for business- pass these onto consumers via higher prices. Poverty can persist as purchasing power of individuals increases if incomes do not rise in line with inflation, reducing ability to improve material and non-material SOL
What is the evaluation for growth and development?
S, ROG
Growth should be sustainable- future gen benefit from /experience the same econ growth as current gen. E.g., growth without excessive inflationary pressures, significant environ costs and growth with the risk of resource depletion. Effective environmental policy should be enacted and persistent increases in LRAS through supply side policies should be pursued to reduce the risks of inflation conflicts and promote diversification into more valueadded manufacturing sector
For developing countries to achieve true sustainable development via these policies, must be movement towards better and more efficient governance. Includes transparency and accountability to taxpayers – more effective public spending esp on infrastructure and public services such as health and education. Developing countries have high levels of gov fragility High levels of gov corruption and thus gov failure = econ growth = hindered
Role of government = pivotal. S/T whilst demand and success FROM export of primary commodities, gov must ensure tax system in robust, corruption free so full tax rev can be collected = promote development - reduce inequalities may arise from increased growth. Countries that export natural resources experienced faster growth than other economies however HDI does not back this; implying gov promotion of development = ineffective
Gov must act to ensure C.A gains form specialising in primary commodity extraction can be L/T by taxing firms over extracting and risking L/T development. Promote export diversification, sole reliance on export of primary commodities disappear. Subsidising enterprises that produce desired goods and promoting training schemes to provide workers with skills – work in other area, more mobile. L/T solution - promote sust development = a reliance on international trade is still viable, potential to transform a developing economy from unsustainable dependence on export of primary commodities to experiencing L/T gains from continual growth and development
GROWTH IS NECESSARY BUT NIT SUFFIECIENT CONDITION OF DEVELOPMENT (OTHER RESON ABOVE)
What is a single measure of development?
GDP/ capital useful to evaluate SOL. A rise in GDP/ capital = rise in SOL- clear indicator of economic prosperity. Link to poverty alleviation, theory, more equal distribution of income. Comparisons w other countries- evaluate effectiveness of one country’s development to another
GDP/ Capita cons:
Only a single measure of development-
changes in income. Big flaw as development= more than income. Health and education= pivotal factors infras, environment, gender equality, freedom. Composite indict HDI- more acc.
Only accounts for the quantity not quality produced, significant negative externalities in production air pollution, resource degradation, depletion, loss of biodiversity. Existence of these reduces SOL
Provides no information regarding the distribution of income increases in GDP may only benefit elite or small part of the population - growth may’ve been generated from one dominant sector = capital intensive- capital owners only see benefit. Corrupt gov = prevent effective distribution of income from higher levels of GDP - increases in tax rev promoting income inequality. Poor may see no improvements in society reducing SOL / abs poverty remaining
The informal economy = official GDP figures are lower than what they should be. Tend to understate development progress. Informal economy= U/E figures being overstated and tax rev collection being lower than what they should be – impacting gov spending for development
Doesn’t consider remittance incomes. income earned abroad won’t be calc in country’s GDP despite its generated by that country’s production. Remittance income boosts SOL yet no account in GDP calc. given increasingly globalised nature of economy, remittances are a sig finance for developing countries- flaw is significant.
Can misguide development progress by included profit made by MNC’s . MNC profit – repatriated back home country not used to inc SOL in country its located. MNCs may impose poor working condition and very low pay upon workers, inc incomes for managers, directors and shareholders. MNCs sig inc real GDP/ capita w/o noticeable impact on SOL and development
What is primary product dependency and how does this influence growth and development?
PP,S,F,C,B,D, NORMAL
Primary products include agriculture, mining etc. A large amount of most developing country’s economic activity is based on a primary product.
Natural disasters can wipe out production of the primary product and so means that farmers are left with no income. They are often non-renewable
Low-income elasticity of demand. The prebisch singer hypothesis suggests the L/R price of primary goods declines in proportion to manufactured goods, which means those dependent on primary exports will see a fall in their TOT. However, in recent years, there has been a rise in the prices of some key commodities , such as food and a fall in prices of some manufactured goods due to the expansion to places like china. PREBISHC SINGER HYPOTHESIS FULL- China will also face declining terms of trade. The prebishc singer hypothesis states primary products price will fall in comparison to manufactured goods due to them having more low income elasticity of demand. This is due to the fact when incomes rise we are more likely to buy manufactured gods compared to primary products and this decling terms of trade means people in chile will be able to import comparitively less than what they could before meaning sol of matieral goods decreases. However, this problem may be insignificant for chile compared to other countries as extract say they have strengths in tourism and these goods re elastic income elasticities of demand therefore the terms of trade declining may not worsen as much as anticipated,
Resource curse Prebisch singer hypothesis- constraint on growth. Worsens TOT
Dutch disease- country becomes significant commodity producer in S/R causing an increase in demand for the currency – pushes its value up increases export prices= reduction in comp of economy= fall in output.
1960’s Netherlands exporting lots of gas, manufacturing products- less price competitive
In 2022 copper exports from Zambia accounted for 70% of their total exports & primary products in excess of 90%. They are suffering from over-specialisation
Primary products tend to have a very low-income elasticity of demand (YED). As world income rises, there is a less than proportional increase in demand
This means that there is limited scope to continue increasing demand
Primary products have very little added value
Exporting manufactured products raises the added value, incomes & profits
What is volatility of commodity prices and how does this influence growth and development?
Due to the inelastic nature of both the demand & supply of commodities, small changes in demand or supply can lead to large changes in price
In 2020, 25% of Bolivia’s GDP was generated by exports. Commodities accounted for 60% of its exports
When commodity prices rise, GDP rises - & vice versa
A more diversified range of exports prevents this
What is the savings gap?
The Harrod-Domar model identified the following benefits of increased savings
Increased savings → increased investment → higher capital stock → higher economic growth → increased savings
Based on this, any intervention (foreign or governmental) to increase the capital stock in an economy will lead to growth
There are many criticisms of the model including
It does not account for many other factors such as labour productivity, corruption, technological innovation
It was created based on data from wealthier industrialising nations as opposed to very poor undeveloped countries
It focused only on physical investment & ignored other types such as investment in human capital (labour)
Developing countries- lower incomes= save less. Savings gap= difference between actual savings and the level of savings needed to achieve a higher growth rate.
Poor have a higher MPC income. Lack of funds for financial insertions to lend for business investment
Harrod-Domar model suggests savings provide funds which are borrowed for investment purposes and that growth rates depend on level of saving/ productivity of investment. Economic growth depends on amount of labour and capital and that developing countries have a vast labour supply, problems are caused by capital. To improve capital, investment is necessary, and investment requires savings.
EV:
Economic growth is not the same as economic development- difficult for individuals to save when they have little income and borrowing from overseas causes problems with debt- investment could be wasted.
What is the foreign currency gap?
Value of current account deficit larger than value of capital inflows
a foreign currency gap refers to a situation where a country’s expenditures in foreign currency, such as payments for imports or servicing foreign debt, exceed its foreign currency earnings from exports or other sources, such as foreign investment or remittances.
Foreign currency gaps develop for a number of reasons
Oil importing countries have to pay more (reserves decrease) when world oil prices rise whereas oil exporting countries receive less (less flowing in) when world oil prices fall
Large international debt payments may require continual outflows of currency
Capital flight due to uncertainty or sanctions
This means that central banks are forced to use their reserves to buy vital imports
Developing a diversified, healthy export market prevents foreign currency gaps from developing
What is capital flight?
Occurs when money or assets rapidly leave a country
This may happen due to political upheaval, economic sanctions, war, or changes to government policy (e.g. interest rates)
Sanctions applied to Russia in 2022 resulted in $75 billions of capital outflows
Capital flight reduces the money available for investment, reducing growth & development
Rich tend to save money abroad due to higher rates of interest and more stable foreign currency providing lucrative returns. Outflow= capital flight
Outflows of money taken out of country rather than being invested. If placed in banks, credit could be created for consumers and businesses to spend
Where aid is given to elites or corruption
What are demographic factors?
Dependency ratio- The ratio of the number of dependents (children & pensioners) to the total working age population
If the dependency ratio is high it means there is less money available for savings & investment
Many developing countries have high dependency ratios
Population -impact the growth and development of a country. Link between keeping birth rates down and fighting hunger, poverty and environmental damage.
Rapid population growth - complicated efforts to reduce poverty and eliminate hunger in Africa.
What is access to credit and banking?
Developed country- sophisticated banking system
Developing countries = limited access to credit and banking- cannot access funds for investment and struggle to save = may use loan sharks- high interest rates, leave individuals permanently in debt.
Financial institutions enable individuals & firms to borrow money which can be used for investment or to generate growth
A lack of financial institutions prevents this from happening
How does infrastructure influence growth and development?
Good infrastructure reduces business costs & attracts foreign direct investment
Some developing countries have such poor infrastructure that it makes it difficult to generate economic activity
This is one reason why China has invested so heavily in infrastructure projects in Asia & Africa as it unlocks economic potential
How does education and skills impact growth and development?
Investing in this supply-side policy increases the potential output of the country (shifts the production possibility frontier outwards)
Higher education/skill levels → higher human capital → increased productivity → higher output → higher income
What is absence of property rights?
Property rights - individuals are allowed to own and decide what happens to certain resources. A lack of rights mean that individuals and businesses cannot use the law to protect their assets= reduced investment, unwilling to buy machinery, build factories or establish brands.
The loss of property rights in Zimbabwe led to economic collapse.
In many countries, property is the main household asset which can be used to secure loans or generate income
A lack of property rights in some developing countries prevents this from happening
What are non economic factors affecting growth and development?
Corruption: this is a major problem in many countries. Often money intended for investment is siphoned off by corrupt politicians resulting in a lower level of investment. Corruption also diverts funds to certain groups who have bribed or lobbied officials (e.g. multinational firms) resulting in projects that deliver a low level of growth & development
Poor Governance: leads to inefficient use of resources & poor decision-making. It may also result in laws/regulation which directly inhibit growth & development
Wars: conflict destroys infrastructure, disrupts supply chains & often reduces the post war supply of labour. Conflict shifts the production possibility curve inwards
Political instability: if governments keep changing, it results in constantly changing policies & priorities. It also reduces confidence in the economy & international investors are slower to invest as they are fearful of losing their investment
Geography: it is harder for landlocked countries to generate economic growth. Often transportation & administration costs are higher than those with access to ports, which increases the costs of production & decreases international competitiveness. Natural terrain can also be a limiting factor e.g the arid, mountainous terrain of Pakistan
What are sources of development and barriers to development
Improved education can directly improve several development indicators e.g. Adult literacy, enrolment rates. Education can empower women by providing job opportunities and boost health levels through greater understanding of debt, sanitation and disease prevention
Barriers to education for development
Funding.- Indebted gov in developing countries lack funds to provide education free or at an affordable price, reducing access and availability. Even where school do exist, quality, equipment are poor, class sizes may not be adequate to ensure high class education to improve development outcomes.
Income inequality. Rural households with lower incomes than urban counterparts may be unable to afford education. Education is privatised in developing countries. Underdeveloped infrastructure- difficult or time consuming to get to school, limiting access to schooling and development progress.
Culture of child labour. Developing countries age 10= potential income earners. Uneducated parents don’t understand value of education, L/T poverty cycle. Significant barrier to female education, gender equality, empowerment.
2.Healthcare.
Healthcare outcomes - improved through greater number of hospitals, doctors, and nurses. Equipment and vaccination- quality and quantity as well. Health indicators life expectancy/ infant maternal mortality. Productivity, incomes, and quality of life
Barriers to healthcare for development:
§
Indebted govt lack funds to provide universal, free healthcare.
Rural households with lower incomes may be unable to afford healthcare. Significant inequalities
3.Infrastructure.
Essential facilities and services necessary for economic activity to take place such as roads, airports, railways, water systems. Improvements in transport infrastructure make it easier for individuals to access jobs further afield. Families to access school, hospitals businesses. Also reduces costs of production as transporting goods becomes quicker and cheaper= greater profitability, investment, and income growth. Water treatment can help prevent spread of disease
Barriers to infrastructure for development:
Govt lack funds to provide adequate infrastructure. Taxation rev may be limited due to corruption, tax incentives or underdeveloped systems to monitor tax evasion. Only way to access funds is by borrowing in capital markets= excessive debts. Public private partnership can overcome this
- Political stability. Stable govts will work for the wellbeing and betterment of citizen’s pursuing policies to help alleviate poverty and create jobs. Confidence in gov promotes domestic investment, FDI and aid money
Barriers to political stability for development:
5.
Govt corruption and conflict. Corruption Is when gov officials use tax money for inefficient purposes such as political oppression. Key development outcomes won’t be promoted at all – divide between rich elites and worsening of poverty at low end= huge gov failure and misallocation of resources. Conflict and corruption detracts FDI, trade and aid hindering econ growth and hampering development
Taxation
Barriers to taxation for development
Tax exemptions.- To attract MNCs into the developing country and to encourage domestic firms to stay and produce locally, developing country govts often provide tax exemption’s reducing the fiscal reward of commercial activity and thus development spend capabilities.
Corrupt govt - gov officials use tax money for inefficient purposes such as political oppression. Key development outcomes won’t be promoted at all – divide between rich elites and worsening of poverty at low end= huge gov failure and misallocation of resources
Inefficient govts will not have developed system to collect tax rev. For taxation to be monitored for masses a means of digital payment is necessary through bank accounts. In cash dominant developing countries this doesn’t exist reducing fiscal amount. Tax rev is insignificant to fund large scale infrastructure, health and education projects
Greater role of the WTO. Significant reduction in tariffs and thus tariff revenues. Impacted developing countries the most as heavily dependent trading economies. Tariff revenues are easy to collect and generate large sums for gov. gov development spending has taken a hit.