4.1 Globalisation and trade Flashcards

1
Q

What is globalization?

A

The process of economies and cultures becoming more interconnected through trade, capital and technology and media
-Global GDP share accounted by exports has risen from 12% in 1960 to 30% now

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2
Q

What are the features of a globalized world?

A

Free movement of:

  • Goods and services
  • Labour free to move wherever wanted
  • Investment and capital flow - FDI, mergers, stock and bonds
  • Tech and ideas
  • Connectivity
  • Global brands rising
  • Deeper specialization in labour
  • Trade and investment routes made
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3
Q

What are the causes of globalisation?

A
  • Transport - containerisation, loading, air transport costs, computerisation
  • Communications - internet, low costs, speed, online retail, services provided anywhere
  • Remove trade barriers - WTO has 164 countries
  • Trade blocs - eliminate etrade barriers
  • Collapse of communism - open China to FDI and trade in 1989
  • Deregulation of financial markets
  • Differences in tax systems - cutting tax to attract FDI
  • Less protectionism
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4
Q

What are TNCs?

A
  • Transnational corporations base manufacturing, assembly, research and retail operations in a number of countries, growing with globalisation.
  • Biggest 500 TNCs account for 70% of trade value
  • Locate to areas with low unit costs for profits and returns
  • Gives poorer countries comparative advantages in the industry TNCs set up
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5
Q

What are the benefits of globalisation?

A
  • Firms grow beyond national boundaries - EofS
  • Exploit lower costs so greater profits and surplus
  • Consumer confidence rises
  • Consumer choice rises
  • Growth and reduced poverty - gain in economic welfare
  • Rising tax revenues from FDI and growth
  • Technological advancements
  • Spread of best managerial practices
  • Greater specialization and division of labour
  • Competitive markets - less monopoly profit
  • Drives economic growth and per capita incomes
  • Adds financial opportunities for developing countries - stock and bond markets
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6
Q

What are the costs of globalisation?

A
  • Rising inequality at national and international scale
  • Environmental damage
  • Resource shortages
  • Import dependence, deficits, failure of domestic markets
  • Risk of contagion - shocks affect entire economy
  • Exploit labour and resources
  • Tax avoidance
  • Dominant global brands more powerful
  • Structural unemployment as outsourcing out competes
  • Trade deficits

Evaluation:

  • Loss of domestic economy
  • Political pressure e.g. migration
  • Recession may spread internationally
  • Environmental cost - TNC go to less laws
  • Richer countries gain more so increased inequality
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7
Q

What is the benefit of globalisation to the UK.

A
  • Higher surplus and consumer choice
  • Retail prices and inflation
  • UK firms relocate to low wage economies
  • Net migration into UK - spending and tax
  • Inward investment into UK
  • Share prices and profits of UK companies rise.
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8
Q

What are external shocks?

A

-Outside domestic systems could be positive or negative e.g. technology may be positive:

Negative:

  • GFC
  • crisis
  • Commodity prices
  • Growth slowing down in emerging nations
  • Investment deals
  • Currency volatility
  • Extreme weather
  • Conflict
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9
Q

What are the reasons and advantages of FDI?

A
  • Market seeking
  • Resource Seeking
  • Efficiency seeking

Creates:

  • Jobs
  • Tax revenues
  • Capital
  • Infrastructure
  • Technology
  • Human capital
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10
Q

What are the disadvantages of FDI?

A
  • Tax breaks reduce tax revenue
  • Profits repatriated to home country
  • Investment decisions made overseas with little domestic influence
  • Investors seeking low wage economies move elsewhere as wages rise
  • Investors exploit lack of safety and environmental regulations
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11
Q

What does it mean to have absolute advantage?

A

A country can supply a product using fewer resources than another nation. If a country uses the same factors of production but can produce more of a product, it has absolute advantage and is more efficient.

Example:

Workers A and B work for 10 hours

A lays 80 bricks and bakes 20 cakes

B lays 40 bricks and bakes 50 cakes

A has absolute advantage in brick laying and B in cake baking

If they both specialize fully and trade then the output of bricks and cakes can increase.

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12
Q

What does it mean to have comparative advantage?

A

If a country is able to produce a good for and the relative opportunity cost of production is lower in that nation than another.

It is more productively efficient, and so a country so specialize resources in the goods and services you are relatively best at to lead to a more efficient allocation of resources

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13
Q

What is an example of comparative advantage?

A

Consider both countries using half of their available resources to each industry

Australia make 250 in beef and 200 in tobacco
The opportunity cost is therefore 5:4

Malawi makes 100 beef and 150 tobacco
The opportunity cost is therefore 10:15

Malawi has a comparative advantage in producing tobacco and Australia in beef - Australia lose more in tobacco to produce more beef than Malawi does

At current outputs, 350 beef and 350 tobacco is made.

If Australia specializes in beef, it can make 500 in beef and if Malawi specialize in Tobacco it can make 300 and then if they trade this can be split at the same ratio it was at before i.e. 250:100 beef goes to 270:130 beef and so more is made (350:400)

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14
Q

What is some evaluation to comparative advantage theory?

A
  • Assumes constant returns to scale - no EofS
  • Perfect factor mobility between industries
  • No trade barriers which change prices
  • Low transportation costs
  • No significant externalities
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15
Q

What are the gains from trade?

A
  • Allows deeper specialisation and benefits from EofS
  • Increases market competition and choice - innovation and quality
  • Increased market contestability reduces prices for consumers leading to higher real incomoes
  • Better use of scarce resources e.g. trade in sustainable technology
  • Improve allocative efficiency as lower marginal cost
  • Increase productivity efficiency as EofS
  • Improve dynamic as innovation
  • Reduces X inefficiency as keep unit costs low
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16
Q

How is the benefits from trade illustrated?

A

Imagine the EU supply and demand as a normal supply demand curve for e.g. coal

The EU equilibrium price is a tariff free price lower than what domestic supplies can offering

Non EU members can export coal into the EU at a lower world price, causing EU demand to expand and EU supply to contract - this is illustrated by a vertical Non EU supply diagram - perfectly elastic as high amount.

This increases consumer surplus but decreases producer surplus for coal producers in the EU.

17
Q

What are the drawbacks with specialisation and trade?

A
  • Volatile global prices affect export revenues and profits - especially if overspecialise in commodities
  • Risks may be affected by other factors e.g. conflict and disasters
  • May cause structural unemployment in industries as industry changes
  • Countries specialise in few commodities suffer from resource trap as they are dependent on exporting primary commodities
  • Transport costs
  • Negative externalities
  • Inequality rises
  • Pressure on real wages to fall in advanced and emerging economies
18
Q

What is the geographical pattern of trade for the UK?

A
  • EU 46% of UK exports and 54% of imports
  • Fallen in recent years - in 1999 was 55%
  • China accounts for 7% of imports - was 1.5% in 1999

LEDCs tend to have high levels of primary product dependence

  • Angola - 89% exports oil and 8% diamonds
  • Zambia 80% Copper
  • ethiopia 25% coffee
19
Q

How do the patterns of trade change

A

With development the pattern changes
-Switches from growing and extracting to processing and refining primary industries through to assembly and manufacturing

Patterns also change as countries develop new comparative advantages in industries such as financial services, transportation and tourism.

Over 70% of global merchandise exports are manufactured goods - mainly China US and Germany

Tourism, health and education, financial services and foreign exchange dealing, accountants, IT, information etc. all service exports - mainly US, UK and Germany

20
Q

What factors may change comparative advantage?

A
  • Natural resources - quality and quantity
  • Unit wage cost
  • Infrastructure
  • Non price factors - design, innovaiton, branding
  • Protectionism
  • Exchange rates
  • Demographics - ageing, migration, women
  • New capital investment rates
  • Investment in R&D
21
Q

What is the impact of emerging economies on trade patterns?

A

Emerging:

  • BRICS
  • Rising income means more goods and services bought elsewhere and above basic necessities
  • Increased commodity imports - may push up prices
  • Attract TNC activity
  • Selling manufactured items
  • Currency volatility impact on commodity prices and raw material prices
  • Tension between developed countries can result in trade wars e.g. China and US
22
Q

What are the types of trade bloc?

A
  • Preferential - reduce protectionism on select goods amongst countries involved
  • Bilateral - between 2 countries
  • Free trade area - complete free trade between country but each country can have own rules outside their country e.g. UMSCA
  • Customs union - complete free trade but also same restrictions on other countries e.g. EU
23
Q

What are the terms of trade?

A

Measures the relative prices of a country’s exports relative to the cost of imports - ratio of weighted price index for exports to price index for imports

Index of export price / index of import price x 100

24
Q

What shows an improvement and reduction of the terms of trade?

A

An improvement is when export prices rise relative to import prices - KEY NOTE IT IS PRICES SO MORE EXPORT PRICE IS BETTER

This is because fewer goods are sold to buy a certain amount of imports

e.g. 100 before

Improvement = 105 so tot better

Worsen = 95 so tot worse

25
Q

What does the terms of trade show?

A

The higher the terms of trade, more imports can be bought with income from each export sold

This shows the improvement from the index year. An improvement means imports are relatively cheaper than exports so imported goods fell in price

However, when exports are more expensive demand may fall and balance may fall in long run.

26
Q

When may both countries benefit using the terms of trade?

A

If the terms of trade lies between the opportunity cost ratios of the two countries they can trade together and benefit

27
Q

How can the benefit of trade be shown on a comparative advantage diagram?

A

Say one country has comparative advantage in good X and another in good Y, the slopes will both be leaning towards them

When you add the trade together, it connects the maximum point of both sides creating a new curve + trade, allowing for better supply of both goods and an artificial shift in PPF

28
Q

What factors influence the terms of trade?

A
  • Raw material prices e.g. gas and oil
  • Exchange rate - SPICED
  • Import tariffs and trade barriers
  • Relative inflation rates
  • Changing factor endowments
29
Q

What is some evaluation for terms of trade?

A
  • Capital intensive production created may not necessarily create new jobs and extra incomes as it may replace jobs e.g. robots
  • Risk of demand pull inflation due to export revenues rising
  • Regressive on lower income bracket