400 Question Flashcards - LBO Model

1
Q

What is a leveraged buyout and why does it work?

A
  • In an LBO‚ a PE firm acquires a company using a combination of debt and equity (cash)‚ operates it for several years‚ possibly makes operational improvements‚ and then sells the company at the end of the period to realize a return on investment.
  • During the period of ownership‚ the PE firm uses the company’s cash flows to pay interest expense from the debt and to pay off debt principal.
  • An LBO delivers higher returns than if the PE firm used 100% cash for the following reasons:
  • By using debt‚ the PE firm reduces the up-front cash payment for the company‚ which boosts returns.
  • Using the company’s cash flows to repay debt principal and pay debt interest also produces a better return than keeping the cash flows.
  • The PE firm sells the company in the future‚ which allows it to regain the majority of the funds spent to acquire it in the first place.
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2
Q

Why do PE firms use leverage when buying a company?

A
  • They use leverage to increase their returns.
  • Any debt raised for an LBO is not “your money”‚ so if you’re paying $5B for a company‚ it’s easier to earn a high return on $2B of your own money and $3B borrowed from other people than it is on $5B of your own money.
  • A secondary benefit is that the firm also has more capital available to purchase other companies b/c they’ve used debt rather than their own funds.
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3
Q

Walk me through a basic LBO model.

A

In an LBO Model:
• Step 1: is making assumptions about the Purchase Price‚ Debt/Equity ratio‚ Interest Rate on Debt‚ and other variables; you might also assume something about the company’s operations‚ such as Revenue Growth or Margins‚ depending on how much information you have.
• Step 2: is to create a Sources & Uses section‚ which shows how the transaction is financed and what the capital is used for; it also tells you how much Investor Equity (cash) is required.
• Step 3: is to adjust the company’s Balance Sheet for the new Debt and Equity figures‚ allocate the purchase price‚ and add in Goodwill & Other Intangibles on the Assets side to make everything balance.
• Step 4: you project out the company’s Income Statement‚ Balance Sheet‚ and Cash Flow Statement‚ and determine how much debt is paid off each year‚ based on the available Cash Flow and the required Interest Payments.
• Step 5: you make assumptions about the exit after several years‚ usually assuming an EBITDA Exit Multiple and calculate the return based on how much equity is returned to the firm.

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4
Q

What variables impact a leveraged buyout the most?

A
  • Purchase and exit multiples (and therefore purchase and exit prices) have the greatest impact‚ followed by the amount of leverage (debt) used.
  • A lower purchase price equals a higher return‚ whereas a higher exit price results in a higher return; generally‚ more leverage also results in higher returns (as long as the company can still meet its debt obligations).
  • Revenue growth‚ EBITDA margins‚ interest rate and principal repayment on Debt all make an impact as well‚ but they are less significant than those first 3 variables.
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5
Q

How do you pick purchase multiples and exit multiples in an LBO model?

A
  • The same way you do it anywhere else: you look at what comparable companies are trading at‚ and at what multiples similar LBO transactions have been completed at. As always‚ you show a range of purchase and exit multiples using sensitivity tables.
  • Sometimes you set purchase and exit multiples based on a specific IRR target that you’re trying to achieve - but this is just for valuation purposes if you’re using an LBO model to value the company.
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6
Q

What is an “ideal” candidate for an LBO?

A

Ideal candidates should:
• Have stable and predictable cash flows so they can repay debt (the most important)
• Be undervalued relative to peers in the industry (lower purchase price)
• Be a low-risk business (debt repayments)
• Not have much need for ongoing investments such as CapEx
• Have an opportunity to cut costs and increase margins
• Have a strong management team
• Have a solid base of assets to use as collateral for debt

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7
Q

How do you use an LBO model to value a company‚ and why do we sometimes say that it sets the “floor valuation” for the company?

A
  • You use it to value a company by setting a targeted IRR (for example‚ 25%) and then back-solving in Excel to determine what purchase price the PE firm could pay to achieve that IRR.
  • This is sometimes called a “floor valuation” b/c PE firms almost always pay less for a company than strategic acquirers (no synergies to be realized).
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8
Q

How is an LBO valuation different from a DCF valuation? Don’t they both value the company based on its cash flows?

A
  • The difference is that in DCF you’re saying‚ “What could this company be worth‚ based on the present value of its near-future and far-future cash flows?
  • But in an LBO‚ you’re saying‚ “What CAN we pay for this company if we want to achieve an IRR of say‚ 25%‚ in 5 years?”
  • So both methodologies are similar‚ but w/ the LBO valuation‚ you’re constraining the values based on the returns you’re targeting.
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9
Q

Give me an example of a “real-life” LBO?

A

The most common example is taking out a mortgage when you buy a house. We think it’s better to think of it as “buying a house that you rent out to other people‚” b/c that situation is more similar to buying a company that generates cash flow. Here’s how the analogy works:
• Down Payment - Investor Equity in an LBO
• Mortgage - Debt in an LBO
• Mortgage Interest Payments - Debt Interest in an LBO
• Mortgage Repayments - Debt Principal Repayments in an LBO
• Rental Income from Rentals - Cash Flow to Pay Interest and Repay Debt in an LBO

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10
Q

A strategic acquirer usually prefers to pay for another company with 100% cash - if that’s the case‚ why would a PE firm want to use debt in an LBO?

A

It’s a different scenario because:

  1. The PE firm does not hold the company for the long-term - it sells it after a few years‚ so it is less concerned with the higher “expense” of debt over cash and is more concerned about using leverage to boost its returns by reducing the capital it contributes upfront.
  2. In an LBO‚ the company is responsible for repaying the debt‚ so the company assumes much of the risk. Whereas in a strategic acquisition‚ the buyer “owns” the debt‚ so it is more risky for them.
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11
Q

Why would a PE firm buy a company in a “risky” industry‚ such as technology?

A

Although technology is “riskier” than other markets‚ remember that there are mature‚ cash flow-stable companies in almost every industry. There are PE firms that specialize in very specific goals‚ such as:
• Industry Consolidation: Buying competitors in a market and combining them to increase efficiency and win more customers.
• Turnarounds: Taking struggling companies and improving their operations
• Divestitures: Selling off divisions of a company or turning a division into a strong stand-alone entity.

  • So even if a company isn’t doing well or even if it seems risky‚ the PE firm might buy it if it falls into one of the categories that the firm focuses on.
  • This whole issue of “risk” is more applicable in industries where companies truly have unstable cash flows - anything based on commodities‚ such as oil‚ gas‚ and mining‚ for example.
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12
Q

How could a PE firm boost its return in an LBO?

A
  1. Reduce the Purchase Price.
  2. Increase the Exit Multiple and Exit Price.
  3. Increase the Leverage (debt) used.
  4. Increase the company’s growth rate (organically or via acquisitions)
  5. Increase margins by reducing expenses (cutting employees‚ consolidating buildings‚ etc.)
    • These are all “theoretical” and refer to the model rather than reality - in practice it’s hard to actually implement these changes.
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13
Q

How could you determine how much debt can be raised in an LBO and how many tranches there would be?

A
  • Usually you look at recent‚ similar LBOs and assess the debt terms and tranches that were used in each transaction.
  • You could also look at companies in a similar size range and industry‚ see how much debt outstanding they have‚ and base your own numbers on those.
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14
Q

Let’s say we’re analyzing how much debt a company can take on‚ and what the terms of the debt should be. What are reasonable leverage and coverage ratios?

A
  • This is completely dependent on the company‚ the industry‚ and the leverage and coverage ratios for comparable LBO transactions.
  • To figure out the numbers‚ you would look at “Debt Comps” showing the types‚ tranches‚ and terms of debt that similarly sized companies in the industry have used recently.
  • There are some general rules: for example‚ you would never lever a company at 50x EBITDA‚ and even during bubbles‚ leverage rarely exceeds 10x EBITDA.
  • For interest coverage ratios (e.g. EBITDA/Interest)‚ you want a number where the company can pay for its interest w/o much trouble‚ but also not so high that the company could clearly afford to take on more debt.
  • For example a 20x coverage ratio would be far too high b/c the company could easily pay 2-3x more in interest. But a 2x coverage ratio would be too low‚ b/c a small decrease in EBITDA might result in a disaster at that level.
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15
Q

What is the difference between Bank Debt and High-Yield Debt?

A

This is a simplification‚ but broadly speaking there are 2 “types” of Debt: “Bank Debt” and “High-Yield Debt.” Usually in a sizable LBO‚ the PE firm uses both types of debt. There are many differences‚ but here are a few of the most important ones:
• High-Yield Debt tends to have higher interest rates than Bank Debt (hence the name “high-yield”) since it’s riskier for investors.
• High-Yield Debt interest rates are usually fixed‚ whereas Bank Debt interest rates are floating (they change based on LIBOR or the prevailing interest rates in the economy).
• High-Yield Debt has incurrence covenants‚ while Bank Debt has maintenance covenants. The main difference is that incurrence covenants prevent you from doing something (such as selling an asset‚ buying a factory‚ etc.) while maintenance covenants require you to maintain minimum financial performance (for example‚ the Total Debt / EBITDA ratio must be below 5x at all times).
• Bank Debt is usually amortized - the principal must be paid off over time - whereas High-Yield Debt‚ the entire principal is due at the end (bullet maturity) and early principal repayments are not allowed.

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16
Q

If High-Yield Debt is “riskier‚” why are early principal repayments not allowed? Shouldn’t investors want to reduce their risk?

A

This isn’t the right way to think about it - remember that investors need to be compensated for the risk they take. And now think about what happens if early repayment is allowed:
• Initially‚ the investors might earn $100M in interest on $1B worth of debt‚ at a 10% interest rate.
• Without early repayment‚ the investors keep getting that $100M in interest each year paid directly to them.
• With early repayment‚ this interest payment drops each year and the investors receive increasingly less each year - and that drops their effective return.
All else being equal‚ debt investors want companies to keep debt on their Balance Sheets as long as possible.

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17
Q

Why might you use Bank Debt rather than High-Yield Debt in an LBO?

A
  • If the PE firm is concerned about the company meeting interest payments and wants a lower-cost option‚ they might want to use Bank Debt.
  • They might also use Bank Debt if they are planning on a major expansion or Capital Expenditures and don’t want to be restricted by incurrence covenants.
18
Q

Why would a PE firm prefer High-Yield Debt instead?

A
  • If the PE firm intends to refinance the debt at some point or they don’t believe their returns are too sensitive to interest payments‚ they might use High-Yield Debt.
  • They might also use High-Yield Debt if they don’t have plans for a major expansion effort or acquisitions‚ or if they don’t plan to sell off the company’s assets.
19
Q

How does refinancing vs. assuming existing debt work in an LBO model?

A
  • If the PE firm assumes debt when acquiring a company‚ that debt remains on the Balance Sheet and must be paid off (both interest and principal) over time. And it has no net effect on the funds required to acquire the company. In this case‚ the existing debt shows up in both the Sources and Uses columns.
  • If the PE firm refinances the debt‚ it pays it off‚ usually replacing it w/ new debt that it raises to acquire the company. Refinancing debt means that additional funds are required‚ so the effective purchase price goes up. In this case‚ the existing debt shows up only in the Uses column.
20
Q

How do transaction and financing fees factor into the LBO model?

A

You pay for all of these fees upfront in cash (legal‚ advisory‚ and financing fees paid on the debt)‚ but the accounting treatment is different:
• Legal & Advisory Fees: these come out of Cash and Retained Earnings immediately as the transaction closes.
• Financing Fees: These are amortized over time (for as long as the Debt remains outstanding)‚ very similar to how CapEx and PP&E work: you pay for them upfront in cash‚ create a new Asset on the Balance Sheet‚ and then reduce that Asset over time as the fees are recognized on the Income Statement.

21
Q

What’s the point of assuming a minimum cash balance in an LBO?

A
  • The point is that a company CANNOT use 100% of its cash flow to repay Debt each year - it always needs to maintain a minimum amount of cash to pay employees‚ pay for general and administrative expenses‚ and so on.
  • So you normally set up assumptions such that any extra cash flow beyond this minimum cash balance is used to repay debt.
22
Q

Can you explain how the Balance Sheet is adjusted in an LBO model?

A
  • First‚ the Liabilities & Equity side is adjusted - the new debt is added‚ and the Shareholders’ Equity is “wiped out” and replaced by however much Investor Equity the PE firm is contributing (i.e. how much cash it’s paying for the company).
  • On the Assets side‚ Cash is adjusted for any cash used to finance the transaction and for transaction fees‚ and then Goodwill & Other Intangibles are used as a “plug” to make the B/S balance.
  • There will also be all the usual effects that you see in transactions: Asset Write-Ups and Write-Downs‚ DTLs‚ DTAs‚ Capitalized Financing Fees‚ and so on.
23
Q

Why are Goodwill & Other Intangibles created in an LBO?

A
  • These both represent the premium paid to Shareholders’ Equity of the company. In an LBO‚ they act as a “plug” and ensure that the changes to the Liabilities & Equity side are balanced by changes to the Asset side.
  • So if the company’s Shareholders’ Equity was originally worth $1B and the PE firm pays $1.5B to acquire the company‚ roughly $500M in goodwill & Other Intangibles will be created.
24
Q

How do you project the financial statements and determine how much debt the company can pay off each year?

A
  • The same way you project the financial statements anywhere else: assume a revenue growth rate‚ make key expenses a percentage of revenue‚ and then tie Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement items to revenue and expenses on the Income Statement - and to historical trends.
  • To project the cash flow available to repay debt each year‚ you take Cash Flow from Operations and subtract CapEx.
  • Just as in the DCF Analysis‚ you assume that other items in the Investing and Financing sections are non-recurring and therefore do not impact future cash flows.
  • Note that this calculation only determines how much in debt principal the company could potentially repay - interest expense has already been factored in on the Income Statement‚ and its impact is already reflected in the Cash Flow from Operations number.
25
Q

Is it really accurate to use Levered FCF to determine how much debt can be repaid? Can’t you reduce CapEx spending after a leveraged buyout?

A
  • First off‚ this metric of Cash Flow from Operations - CapEx is not exactly Levered FCF: normally w/ Levered FCF you subtract mandatory debt repayments as well.
  • Assuming that CapEx (or any other big expenses) can be reduced post-LBO is dangerous b/c CapEx‚ in theory‚ drives revenue growth.
  • So if you reduce CapEx and claim that it’s not truly necessary‚ can you still make the same assumptions about the company’s revenue growth?
26
Q

What if the company has existing debt? How does that affect the projections?

A
  • If the company has existing debt and the PE firm refinances it (pays it off)‚ it’s a non-factor b/c it goes away. If the PE firm assumes the debt instead‚ you need to factor in interest and principal repayments on that debt over future years.
  • Normally you do this by assuming that existing debt interest is paid off first after you’ve calculated Cash Flow from Operations minus CapEx. Then‚ you can use any remaining cash flow after that to pay off debt principal for new debt raised in the LBO.
27
Q

What’s the proper repayment order if there are multiple tranches of debt?

A
  • Normally you assume that existing debt on the Balance Sheet gets repaid first.
  • After that‚ it depends on the seniority of the debt and also whether or not the debt can even be repaid early. For example‚ typically you are not allowed to repay High-Yield Debt before its maturity date.
  • So if you have a Revolver (sort of like a “credit card” for a company) and then multiple Term Loans (Bank Debt)‚ normally you’ll repay the Revolver first‚ followed by the most senior Term Loan‚ and then the more junior Term Loans.
  • In theory‚ you should want to repay the most expensive form of Debt first - but unlike w/ student loans‚ car loans‚ or mortgages‚ it’s not always allowed.
28
Q

Do you need to project all 3 statements in an LBO model? Are there are any shortcuts?

A
  • Yes there are shortcuts and you don’t necessarily need to project all 3 statements.
  • For example‚ you do not need to create a full B/S - bankers sometimes skip this if they are in a rush. You do need some form of I/S‚ something to track how the Debt balance changes and some type of SCF to show how much cash is available to repay debt.
  • But a full-blown B/S is not strictly required b/c you can make an assumption for the overall Change in Operating Assets and Liabilities rather than projecting each one separately.
29
Q

What is meant by the “tax shield” in an LBO?

A
  • This means that the interest a firm pays on debt is tax-deductible - so they save money on taxes and therefore increase their cash flow as a result of the debt from the LBO.
  • Note‚ however‚ that the firm’s cash flow is still lower than it would have been w/o the debt - saving on taxes helps‚ but the added interest expense still reduces Net Income by more than the reduced taxes helps the firm.
  • A lot of people get confused about this point and think that this “tax shield” is a really big deal in an LBO‚ but it makes marginal difference compared to all the other variables.
30
Q

How do you calculate the IRR in an LBO model and what does it mean?

A
  • You calculate the IRR by making the amount of Investor Equity (Cash) that a PE firm contributes in the beginning a negative‚ and then making cash flows or dividends to the PE firm‚ as well as the net sale proceeds (basically the Equity Value) at the end‚ positives.
  • And then you can apply the IRR function in Excel to all the numbers‚ making sure that you’ve entered “0” for any periods where there’s no cash received or spent. You can calculate IRR manually‚ but it’s very time-consuming.
  • Technically‚ the IRR is defined as “the discount rate at which the net present value of cash flows from the investment equals 0.”
  • It’s easier to think of it as the effective interest rate: If you’ve invested that cash in the beginning and earned an interest rate of X% on it‚ compounded each year‚ you would earn the positive cash flows shown in the model.
31
Q

What IRR do PE firms usually aim for?

A
  • It depends on the economy and fundraising climate for PE firms‚ but an IRR in the 20-25% range‚ or higher‚ would be “good.” It far exceeds the average annual return of the stock market‚ and is significantly above the yields on corporate and municipal bonds.
  • Sometimes PE firms will go lower and accept a 15-20% IRR‚ but usually they target at least 20%. Remember that PE is a riskier and less liquid asset class than equities or bonds‚ so the investors in the PE fund need to be compensated for that in the form of higher returns.
32
Q

How can you estimate the IRR in an LBO? Are there are any rules of thumb?

A

Yes‚ you can use these rules of thumb to come up with a quick estimate:
• If a PE firm doubles its money in 5 years‚ that’s a 15% IRR
• If a PE firm triples its money in 5 years‚ that’s a 25% IRR
• If a PE firm doubles its money in 3 years‚ that’s a 26% IRR
• If a PE firm triples its money in 3 years‚ that’s a 44% IRR
Remember that “money” here refers to Investor Equity (i.e. the amount of cash the PE firm invests and receives back)‚ NOT to the total purchase price or exit price.

33
Q

So can the PE firm earn a solid return if it buys a company for $1B and sells it for $1B 5 years later?

A

Sure - b/c the PE firm uses a certain percentage of Debt to buy this company in the beginning. So if they raise $500M of Debt and only pay w/ $500M in cash‚ and then the company pays off that $500M of Debt over 5 years and the firm receives back $1B in cash at the end‚ that’s a 15% IRR.

34
Q

What if the equity contributed (investor equity) in the beginning is the same as the net proceeds to the PE firm at the end‚ when it sells the company?

A
  • In this case‚ it’s much tougher to earn a high IRR b/c the major cash inflow at the end is the same as the major cash outflow at the beginning.
  • If nothing else happens‚ the IRR would be 0% in this case. If the company issues dividends to the firm or the PE firm does a dividend recap‚ then the IRR will be higher than 0%.
35
Q

How do dividends issued to the PE firm affect the IRR?

A
  • Any dividends issued‚ either in the normal course of business or as part of a dividend recap‚ increase IRR b/c they result in the PE firm receiving more cash back.
  • Usually dividends make less of an impact than the 3 key variables in an LBO: purchase price‚ exit price‚ and leverage.
36
Q

Don’t you need to factor in interest payments and debt principal repayments somewhere in these IRR calculations? How can you just ignore them?

A

You ignore them b/c the company uses its own cash flow to pay interest and pay off debt principal. Since the PE firm itself is not paying for these‚ neither one affects its IRR.

37
Q

Let’s just say that a PE firm borrows $10M of debt to buy out a company and then sells the company in 5 years at the same EBITDA multiple it purchased it for. If the PE firm does not pay off any debt during those 5 years‚ what’s the IRR?

A
  • This is a trick question because you need more information to answer it.
  • If the purchase price were the same as the exit price here‚ the IRR would be 0%. But the question only says that the purchase multiple is the same as the exit multiple.
  • Most companies grow over a 5-year period‚ so EBITDA in the exit year will almost always be higher than EBITDA when the company was initially purchased.
  • Unless you know what the EBITDA was in both years‚ it’s impossible to say what the IRR was. If EBITDA was initially $100M but only grew to $110M‚ that’s a very low IRR‚ but if it grew to $200M or $300M‚ the exit price was 2-3x the purchase price and that implies a much higher IRR.
38
Q

What is a dividend recapitalization (“dividend recap”)?

A
  • In a dividend recap‚ the company takes on new debt solely to pay a special dividend out to the PE firm that bought it.
  • It would be like if you made your friend take out a personal loan just so he/she could pay you a lump sum of cash with the loan proceeds.
  • Dividend recaps boost the IRR in a LBO b/c they help the PE firm to recover some of its initial investment early. They have developed a bad reputation among some lenders b/c the debt in this case does not actually benefit the company itself.
39
Q

Why would a PE firm choose to do a dividend recap of one of its portfolio companies?

A
  • Primarily to boost returns. Remember‚ all else being equal‚ more leverage means a higher return to the firm.
  • With a dividend recap‚ the PE firm is “recovering” some of its equity investment in the company - and as we saw earlier‚ the lower the equity investment‚ the better‚ since it’s easier to earn a higher return on a smaller amount of capital.
40
Q

How would a dividend recap impact the 3 financial statements in an LBO?

A
  • No changes to the Income Statement. On the Balance Sheet‚ Debt goes up and Shareholders’ Equity goes down‚ canceling each other out‚ so that everything remains in balance.
  • On the Cash Flow Statement‚ there would be no changes to Cash Flow from Operations or Investing‚ but under Cash Flow from Financing‚ the additional Debt raised would cancel out the Dividend paid out to investors‚ so there would be no net change in cash.
41
Q

How would an LBO of a private company be different?

A
  • The mechanics are the same. The only difference is that you think of the purchase price as a lump sum number rather than as a premium to the company’s share price times the number of shares outstanding.
  • Evaluating LBOs of private companies can also be trickier b/c information is limited.
42
Q

What about a buyout of a company where you only acquire a 30% stake?

A
  • This scenario is not a true LBO b/c a PE firm cannot “make” a company take on Debt unless it actually controls the company.
  • So in this case‚ you would model it as a simple equity investment for 30% of the company‚ assume that the company operates for several years‚ and then assume that the PE firm sells its 30% stake at the end of that period.
  • You would base the company’s “ending” value on an EBITDA (or other) multiple‚ and usually you assume that it’s less than or equal to the initial multiple in the beginning to be conservative.