3.3: Portfolio Variance, Bayes, and Counting Problems Flashcards
Joint Probability Function is a function giving…
The probability of joint occurrences of values of stated random variables P(X,Y).
Bayes formula - the rule for updating the probability of an event…
Given a set of prior probabilities for the event, and new information given the event.
Bayes Theorem formula:
P(AIB) = P(B/A)*P(A) / P(B)
Prior probabilities - probability reflecting…
Posterior probabilities - an updated probability that…
Likelihood - the probability of an observation…
Beliefs prior to the arrival of new information.
Reflects or comes after new information.
Given a particular set of conditions.
Multinomial Formula (General Formula for Labeling Problems):
N! / n1!n2!…nk!
The number of ways that n objects can be labeled with k different labels, with n1 of the first type, n2 of the second type, and so on…
A Combination is a listing in which..?
The order of the listed items does not matter.
Combination Formula (Binomial Formula):
nCr = (n / r) = n! / (n-r)!*r!
The number of ways that we can choose r objects from a total of n objects,
Permutation Formula:
nPr = N! / (n - r)!
The number of ways that we can choose r objects from a total of n objects, when the order in which the r objects are listed does matter.