3.2.1.5 The electoral process and direct democracy Flashcards
what is the invisible primary?
The period between candidates declaring an intention to run for presidency and the first primaries and caucuses.
what are primary and caucuses
where popular support is shown for candidates, choose delegates to attend national party conventions
What does the National party convention do?
Confirm presidential and vice-presidential candidates, approve party platform. Acceptance speech delivered by presidential candidate.
Constitutional requirements to be president
- One must be a natural-born American citizen.
- One must be at least 35 years old.
- There is a residency qualification of 14 years.
extra-constitutionla requirements to become president
- Political experience
- Major Party endorsement
- Personal Characteristics
- Ability to raise large sums of money.
- Effective organisation
- Oratorical skills and being telegenic
- Sound and relevant policies
why are the invisible primaries important
- for a candidate to gain name recognition and money, and to put together the necessary organisation
- high correlation between who is leading in the polls at the end of the invisible primary and who wins the presidential nomination.
- media
are televised debates important
- in recent years they havent been as significant as Trump didn’t attend in 2016 and 2024 due his lead in the polls
quote about fundraising in invisible primaries
‘raising must occur in earnest to accumulate a large enough war chest’
what does money bring the ability of
to campaign and advertise, which brings improved poll ratings, which brings more money.
Why is it important to end the primaries as front runner
It was important to end invisible primary as the front-runner, according to opinion polls as, whichever candidate was leading in the polls just before the primaries and caucuses began was usually confirmed as the nominee.
What change happens between primaries and election campaign according to Romney
Mitt Romney in 2012 said once he’d won the candidacy, the republican party needed to change their strategy and policies to get the votes of the general electorate. However this presents candidates as non-genuine.
Primary defintion
state-based elections to choose party’s candidate.
whcih system to each aprty use to award delegates
democrats - proportional
republican - winner takes all
Open-Primary defintion
any voter in the state can choose to vote in either the democrat or republican primary – produces negative voting.
Semi-closed primary defintion
voters who are registered supporters or independents can take part.
closed primary definiton
supporters of a party can vote.
Caucus defintion
public meetings and debate before voting tends to only be activists and most committed voters – least democratic.
front loading defintion
The phenomenon by which a state schedules its presidential primaries and caucuses earlier in the nomination cycle to increase its importance.
whcih states typically go first in primary elections
Iowa and New Hampshire
what benefit is there to holding your primary early
to get attention from the media and gives it a status it wouldn’t normally have
crossover voting
which means that Democrat voters can opt to participate in the Republican primary and vice versa
what is the thought on the corrlation between primaries and candidateship
For many years it was said that a candidate could not win the presidential nomination - or even the White House - without first winning the New Hampshire primary.
What caused the change in 2020 for Biden
Two days before the make-or-break primary, Monmouth University released a poll showing the former vice president with a staggering 20-point lead. That followed a critical endorsement from powerful congressional leader Jim Clyburn. Money gushed in $10 million in 48 hours. The Biden campaign enjoyed a windfall of support from members of Congress, influential African American leaders, and elected officials across pivotal states. If Jim Clyburn was backing Biden, it led many African Americans to vote for Biden.
what is a super delegate?
An unelected delegate who is free to support any candidate for the presidential nomination at the party’s national convention.
What change happened to super delegates in 2020
Superdelegates will no longer vote on the first ballot at the convention unless there is no doubt about the outcome.
why are superdelegates problematic
- they are unelected and have 16% of the vote.
- Can declare before the primaries, who they are going to support, which made led voters to become influenced.
Are incumbents usually relected?
yes
Factors affecting turnout
- demography
- type of primary
- how competitive the nomination race is
- whether the nomination has been decided or not
Importance of primaries
- Presidential primaries play an important role today in the decision of the party nomination.
- In the 1950s and 60s, most states did not hold primaries, the preferred methods were through a series of state party conventions.
McGovern-Fraser Commission
the commission established by the democratic party following the 1968 presidential election to recommend reforms to the presidential nomination process.
Advantages of McGovern-Fraser
- increased participation
- increased choice
- open to outsiders
- a gruelling race
Weaknesses of McGovern-Fraser
- widespread voter apathy and boredom
- voters are unrepresentative of the voting-age population
- process is far too expensive
- process is too dominated
- primaries can easily develop into bitter personal battles
- lack of peer review
- super delegates