3. Real Assets Flashcards
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Physical economic resource, direct creator of consumption opportunity.
Real Asset
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Real asset that is not currently being used. Value of undeveloped land lies in the future consumption.
Undeveloped Land
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Investors purchase undeveloped land for the purpose of developing the land in the future. Key, is they plan on selling it to home-builders in the future.
Land Banking
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Lots are vacant, but zoned for development.
Paper Lots
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Process of development has begun, rough grading and temporary drainage. Some development and building permit fees have not been paid.
Blue Top Lots
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Lots are ready for construction and all developmental fees paid. Only remaining, payment of building permit fees and property inspection.
Finished Lots
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- Type: more uses for a property, higher value. Thus, single use property risky. 2. Location: lots in path of development or near cities, high value. Thus, rural lots risky.
Key Risks of Undeveloped Residential Land
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Strike: construction and other costs incurred for development. Time to Exp: generally unlimited Underlying Asset: combination of land and improvements Option Payoff: diff. between value of completed project and all costs of development& construction
Land as a Call Option
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current value of improved property= (UpVal x UpProb) + [DownVal x (1-UpProb)]
Binomial Option Pricing Model to Evaluate Land
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- long term investments in wood via existing forestland - returns exhibit low correlation to with stock and bond returns
Timberland
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- low correlation with stocks and bonds - may act as hedge against inflation - invest in real asset, land - renewable resource although long growth cycle - flexibility of harvesting - timber used for variety of products
Advantages of Timberland Investing
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-trees destroyed by fire - value tied to cyclical industries - supply not fixed - tech and recycling may reduce need - investment horizon long
Disadvantages of Timberland Investing
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- real asset that generates crop income - more closely related to commodity prices than rent
Farmland
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- renewable annual cash flow - steady cash stream - short growth cycle - multi-purpose option - expected increase in world population - not dependent on local economies, listed on international futures - scalable: strong competition to lease farmland
Farmland Benefits
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- agency risks - political risks - less harvest flexibility - natural forces can destroy - farm specific inefficiencies - revenues driven by market factors
Farmland Disadvantages
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Based on - correlation - volatility - current closeness to profitability
Option to Produce Alternative Crop
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- best way is to own - two indices: DAX Global Agribusiness Index & Thomson Reuters in the Ground Global Equity Index - ETF: MOO
Farmland Exposure
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broadly defined as the underlying foundation of basic services, facilities, and institutions upon which society depends
Infrastructure
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infrastructure investments that must be constructed
Greenfield Projects
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infrastructure projects that may already exist and could be transferred from public to private sector
Brownfield Projects
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Positive: - significant need - economic growth tied - proceeds from sale can be used for other things Risks: - regulatory risk - continued government influence - right to revoke a lease
Government Influence on Infrastructure Projects
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- Listed Stocks and Listed Funds - Closed End Funds: structured like private equity - Unlisted (evergreen) Open End Funds
Types of Infrastructure Investments
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intangible asset that can be owned
Intellectual Property
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- discounted cash flow model V = (p x CF1)/(r-g)
Intellectual Property Modeling
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- results in lower price and return volatility, which makes assets look less risky than they might be
Smoothing
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- returns were generally positive and volatility low - strong Sharpe ratio - returns based on appraisal - tendency to smooth - based on quarterly
Historical Performance of Timber and Farmland (January 2000- December 2010)
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- requires the borrower to pay a constant periodic amount, usually monthly, that will completely pay off the loan amount with the last payment - over time larger amount becomes principal repayment, less interest
Fixed Rate Constant Payment, Fully Amortized Mortgage
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MP = MB x [i/ (1 -i)^-n)] where: MP= constant monthly payment MB= mortgage balance at beginning of loan i = monthly interest rate n = number of months in the loan term
Monthly Mortgage Payment Calculation
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Book One, Page 290
Calculating Monthly Interest, Principal and the Outstanding Balance
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- borrowers may make additional payment - cause balance to decline more rapidly - benefit borrowers in a falling interest rate environment
Unscheduled Principal Payments
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calls for interest only payments during the first part of the loan , and fully amortized payments during the second part of the loan
Interest Only Mortgages