3. Real Assets Flashcards
Real Asset
Physical economic resource, direct creator of consumption opportunity.
Undeveloped Land
Real asset that is not currently being used. Value of undeveloped land lies in the future consumption.
Land Banking
Investors purchase undeveloped land for the purpose of developing the land in the future. Key, is they plan on selling it to home-builders in the future.
Paper Lots
Lots are vacant, but zoned for development.
Blue Top Lots
Process of development has begun, rough grading and temporary drainage. Some development and building permit fees have not been paid.
Finished Lots
Lots are ready for construction and all developmental fees paid. Only remaining, payment of building permit fees and property inspection.
Key Risks of Undeveloped Residential Land
- Type: more uses for a property, higher value. Thus, single use property risky.
- Location: lots in path of development or near cities, high value. Thus, rural lots risky.
Land as a Call Option
Strike: construction and other costs incurred for development.
Time to Exp: generally unlimited
Underlying Asset: combination of land and improvements
Option Payoff: diff. between value of completed project and all costs of development& construction
Binomial Option Pricing Model to Evaluate Land
current value of improved property=
(UpVal x UpProb) + [DownVal x (1-UpProb)]
Timberland
- long term investments in wood via existing forestland
- returns exhibit low correlation to with stock and bond returns
Advantages of Timberland Investing
- low correlation with stocks and bonds
- may act as hedge against inflation
- invest in real asset, land
- renewable resource although long growth cycle
- flexibility of harvesting
- timber used for variety of products
Disadvantages of Timberland Investing
- trees destroyed by fire
- value tied to cyclical industries
- supply not fixed
- tech and recycling may reduce need
- investment horizon long
Farmland
- real asset that generates crop income
- more closely related to commodity prices than rent
Farmland Benefits
- renewable annual cash flow
- steady cash stream
- short growth cycle
- multi-purpose option
- expected increase in world population
- not dependent on local economies, listed on international futures
- scalable: strong competition to lease farmland
Farmland Disadvantages
- agency risks
- political risks
- less harvest flexibility
- natural forces can destroy
- farm specific inefficiencies
- revenues driven by market factors
Option to Produce Alternative Crop
Based on
- correlation
- volatility
- current closeness to profitability
Farmland Exposure
- best way is to own
- two indices: DAX Global Agribusiness Index & Thomson Reuters in the Ground Global Equity Index
- ETF: MOO
Infrastructure
broadly defined as the underlying foundation of basic services, facilities, and institutions upon which society depends
Greenfield Projects
infrastructure investments that must be constructed
Brownfield Projects
infrastructure projects that may already exist and could be transferred from public to private sector
Government Influence on Infrastructure Projects
Positive: - significant need - economic growth tied - proceeds from sale can be used for other things Risks: - regulatory risk - continued government influence - right to revoke a lease
Types of Infrastructure Investments
- Listed Stocks and Listed Funds
- Closed End Funds: structured like private equity
- Unlisted (evergreen) Open End Funds
Intellectual Property
intangible asset that can be owned
Intellectual Property Modeling
- discounted cash flow model
V = (p x CF1)/(r-g)
Smoothing
- results in lower price and return volatility, which makes assets look less risky than they might be
Historical Performance of Timber and Farmland (January 2000- December 2010)
- returns were generally positive and volatility low
- strong Sharpe ratio
- returns based on appraisal
- tendency to smooth
- based on quarterly
Fixed Rate Constant Payment, Fully Amortized Mortgage
- requires the borrower to pay a constant periodic amount, usually monthly, that will completely pay off the loan amount with the last payment
- over time larger amount becomes principal repayment, less interest
Monthly Mortgage Payment Calculation
MP = MB x [i/ (1 -i)^-n)] where: MP= constant monthly payment MB= mortgage balance at beginning of loan i = monthly interest rate n = number of months in the loan term
Calculating Monthly Interest, Principal and the Outstanding Balance
Book One, Page 290
Unscheduled Principal Payments
- borrowers may make additional payment
- cause balance to decline more rapidly
- benefit borrowers in a falling interest rate environment
Interest Only Mortgages
calls for interest only payments during the first part of the loan , and fully amortized payments during the second part of the loan